Notes on the Week Ahead

The Investment Implications of the Oil Slide


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At his press conference on November 2nd, Fed Chairman, Jay Powell opined that the window for a soft landing had narrowed.  This was very much in line with his messaging for many months which has emphasized that the Fed regards inflation as being much too high and is willing to put the economy in recession, if necessary, to return it to its 2% target.  However, it also underscores the economic problem caused by “supply-shock” inflation: it simultaneously boosts inflation expectations, inducing a more restrictive monetary policy, and drags on economic growth.

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Notes on the Week AheadBy Dr. David Kelly

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