The Ochelli Effect 9-10-2026 Larry Hancock
Nine Eleven, Then and Now
(NOTES from Larry)
Ill-Prepared: How We Have Unlearned the Lessons of 9/11
https://ourpublicservice.org/know-the-facts/resource-library/reports/ill-prepared-how-we-have-unlearned-the-lessons-of-9-11
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This is an excellent AI summary
AI Overview National security experts, intelligence officials, and
public policy centers are deeply divided on this question, but the
consensus as of 2026 is that while the U.S. is vastly better prepared to
stop a complex, large-scale coordinated foreign plot like the original
September 11 attacks, it has simultaneously become more vulnerable to a
fragmented, tech-driven wave of decentralized terrorism.
Why We Are More
Hardened Architecture & Intelligence Sharing: According to the FBI and
U.S. Intelligence Community, the government is "way better postured"
today due to institutionalized tracking and legal frameworks created
after 2001. The "siloed" communication between agencies that failed to
stop the 9/11 hijackers has been broadly replaced by streamlined
databases and task forces.
Aviation & Border Infrastructure: A repeat of the exact 9/11
method—hijacking multiple commercial airliners using rudimentary
weapons—is highly improbable due to reinforced cockpit doors, aggressive
passenger vetting, and advanced biometric screening at borders.
Disruption of Foreign Safe Havens: Long-term counterterrorism operations
have severely degraded the capability of core Al-Qaeda and ISIS command
structures to organize multi-year, internationally coordinated
operations.
Why We Are Less Prepared
Conversely, a wave of warnings from international think tanks and former
officials suggest that a mix of complacency, geopolitical shifts, and
new technology has left the country exposed to different, highly
unpredictable dangers:
"Institutional Neglect" and Diverted Resources: An extensive report by
The Guardian features experts sounding the alarm over "complacency". As
the U.S. shifts focus toward Great Power Competition (e.g., tensions
with China and Russia) and experiences internal government shakeups and
budget cuts, core counterterrorism personnel and resources have been
heavily diverted.
The Evolution of "Lone Wolf" and Domestic Threats: As detailed by the
New York Daily News, law enforcement is no longer looking for
centralized terrorist networks. Instead, they are fighting
self-radicalized lone actors, domestic extremists, and jihadist-inspired
individuals operating within the U.S., which are significantly harder to
track and intercept.
Technological Disruption: Modern terrorists leverage advanced tech,
encrypted messaging (like Telegram), artificial intelligence for
propaganda, and commercial drones to plan and execute decentralized
attacks instantly, eliminating the long planning timelines that used to
tip off intelligence agencies.
Global Instability and Geopolitical Catalysts: An assessment published
by the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) argues that intense violence
in the Middle East has fueled a potent wave of anti-U.S. extremist
sentiment.
Concurrently, Newsweek reports that Africa's Sahel region has become a
dangerous new epicenter for active Al-Qaeda and ISIS affiliates largely
operating outside Washington's primary focus.
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Note: none of these exercises cover focused drone attacks or drone
swarms on major national targets including those in DC or NYC
These are results for what are the current national level red team and
practice drills for major terrorist attacks
Search instead for what are the current national level red team and
practice drills for major terrorist attacks
AI Overview
The primary national-level exercise currently underway is National Level
Exercise 2026 (NLE 2026), a major biennial preparedness drill overseen
by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). Launched in April
2026 and concluding in 2027, this massive multi-agency simulation
focuses directly on consequence management coordination following
critical infrastructure damage caused by cyberattacks facilitated by a
transnational terrorist organization. It serves as the primary federal
mechanism to stress-test the nation’s defense, collaboration, and
response networks.
FEMA.gov +2
National-level practice drills and red team programs targeting major
terrorist attacks are structured across several federal pillars:
🌐 FEMA National Exercise Program (NEP)
National Level Exercise 2026 (NLE 2026): This active
operations-based drill involves thousands of participants from federal
agencies, state, local, tribal, and territorial (SLTT) governments, and
private-sector giants like the Edison Electric Institute. It simulates
realistic cascading failures across public utilities and communications
networks triggered by foreign terrorists.
Congress.gov +1
Homeland Security Exercise and Evaluation Program (HSEEP): A
continuous program that provides standardized doctrine and funding for
local governments to execute counter-terrorism simulations. This
includes tabletop exercises simulating active shooters, dirty bombs, and
improvised explosive devices (IEDs).
FEMA.gov +3
💻 Cybersecurity & Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA)
Red Team Assessments (RTAs): CISA regularly deploys an elite,
offensive "red team" to simulate real-world malicious cyber operations
against critical infrastructure. These live-fire, unannounced
adversarial simulations analyze how well operational technology (OT) and
information systems can detect and withstand nation-state or terrorist
cyberattacks.
CISA (.gov) +1
Terrorist Attack Cycle Training: Component drills and training
blocks—such as AWR-334: Introduction to the Terrorist Attack
Cycle—educate critical infrastructure operators on how to spot
pre-operational planning behaviors and interrupt a terrorist operation
before deployment.
FEMA.gov
✈️ Physical & Intelligence Red Teaming
TSA Aviation Security Drills: The Transportation Security
Administration (TSA) utilizes undercover "red teams" that conduct
active, non-destructive penetration tests at approximately 100 U.S.
airports annually. These operatives attempt to smuggle simulated
weapons, explosives, and contraband past security lines to identify
vulnerabilities in aviation infrastructure.
Wikipedia +1
National Guard Homeland Response Force (HRF) Drills: Regionally
distributed National Guard teams routinely execute massive physical
response rehearsals. These drills simulate domestic chemical,
biological, radiological, or nuclear (CBRN) terrorist attacks, training
personnel to conduct tactical victim extraction, decontamination, and
emergency medical triage.
Army.mil
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LARRY HANCOCK:
https://larryhancock.wordpress.com/
https://aarclibrary.org/larry-hancock-archive/
CONTACT LARRY & Mention The Ochelli Effect To him
[email protected]
Oswald Puzzle: Reconsidering Lee Harvey Oswald
https://www.amazon.com/Oswald-Puzzle-Reconsidering-Lee-Harvey/dp/1510783407
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