On today's show we are examining a hypothesis as to why long bond rates are falling, with the corresponding benefit to interest rates for investors.

---------------

**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

To learn more, visit https://ystreetcapital.com or visit our investor portal at https://ystreetcapital.invportal.com/login

On today’s show we are talking about how the active adult segment is one of the most important new segments in residential real estate. When we think about residential real estate, we need to think about demographics. All people tend to go through a housing life cycle. They start out living at home with their parents. Then they get their first place on their when they move out for the first time. This is usually a rental apartment, maybe student housing, maybe with a roommate. This is the start of the expansion phase. It’s more space than just the childhood bedroom. Then eventually they may buy a house if and when they start a family. Then maybe a larger house to accommodate a growing family. 

The empty nesters will live in a big house for a while with a lot of empty rooms and eventually realize that it’s too much house and too much property. It’s time to downsize. This can take the shape of several different decisions, depending on when they make that decision. They might choose a smaller home. Downsizing involves several steps as well. This might culminate in a senior home, or moving in with adult children. But the intermediate steps, before senior housing are particularly important for real estate investors to understand. 

At some point people may choose something that is lower maintenance. That could take the form of a condo, or a rental apartment. The process of downsizing involves getting rid of a few decades of accumulated belongings. It’s a process that involves a sense of loss. But the problem with all these choices is that these moves disrupt the social fabric, especially if the move involves a change of city. 

Adult children have moved out and are launching their own lives. The parents feel an acute sense of loneliness. The contact with their children is vastly diminished. Contact with friends is reduced, especially if they move city. 

Our western society faces a crisis of loneliness and this is even more acute for people in their middle aged years. 

Nobody aspires to move into an old folks home. So senior housing is seen as a necessity more than a choice. Moreover, senior housing is extremely expensive compared with any other form of housing.

This is where a relatively new category of product comes into play, called active adult. This is an age restricted product with an emphasis on class A finishes, an amenities rich offering, and a strong sense of community. The community has an activities director who organizes all of the social activities, whether it is a fitness class in the indoor swimming pool, or a pickleball tournament, evening social events, all manner of activities which emphasize an active lifestyle but also cement social connections. Active adult is positioned in between a market rate apartment and independent living. 

----------------

**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are quantifying the impact of lumber tariffs on new construction. The fact is, the market has already priced in the cost of the tariffs. We're breaking down the contribution of lumber, the tariff, as a percentage of the overall construction. As a result, I expect the impact to be at most 4%, and in fact much less. This assumes that lumber prices rise across the board to match the price of the tariff burdened lumber which only accounts for 25-30% of US lumber supply.

--------------

**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Adiel Gorel is based in Northern California where he is focused on investing across the sun belt of the US. On today's show we are talking about long term investment strategy that is resilient in the face of economic cycles.

To connect with Adiel, visit icgre.com where you will find numerous resources.

---------------

**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are live from the Pearl Islands in Panama where we are inspecting a 2000 acre property with 3 miles of beach front. This is largely a fact finding mission to see if and how this property could be developed. Join us on this tour of Isla Del Rey.

------------------

**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today’s show we are talking about the impact of tariffs on real estate investors and on global events. I believe we need to listen to what the President says, but also more importantly observe what he does. These don’t always line up perfectly. 

As real estate investors we should prepared to adapt our supply chains for new construction and for construction materials as they pertain to improving existing properties or building from scratch.

There is no question in my mind that the tariffs are not being imposed for the sake of tariffs. They are a chess piece in a larger game. But the problem facing most participants is that they don’t know the objective of the game, much less the rules of the game. 

--------------

**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today’s show we are talking about how to buy surplus real estate from the US government. But first, if you believe that high quality real estate with strong operators and developers is still a good long term investment, irrespective of any executive order in the past 24 hours, then check out our projects at Y Street Capital. Register for our investor portal where you will get to see the numerous projects we have underway across multiple states in the US and in two provinces in Canada. We promise we won’t be spamming you with tons of email. Goto YStreet⁠capital.com⁠ and the link to register for our investor portal is here. 

--------------

On today’s show we are talking about how to buy surplus real estate from the US government. 

The US General Services Administration is the US Government’s landlord. They own, operate and sell the real estate assets of the US Federal Government.

After what seems like a false start, the GSA had listed a number of properties for sale in recent days. Then the number of properties was cut back and then removed almost entirely. General Services Administration removed from its website about 440 federal buildings representing nearly 80 million square feet of space that only hours earlier it had listed for sale.

There is no question that the US government is going to be getting rid of a lot of property in the coming weeks and months. We got a preview of some of those properties, but can’t really speculate which ones will be re-offered for sale. 

Properties listed for sale on the GSA website are generally managed as an online auction. 

As of now the GSA website is listing only a handful of properties. I’m going to summarize the information on one building that I’m actually somewhat familiar with.

---------------

**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today’s show we are looking at the evolving cost of capital for real estate investors. 

There seem to be 3 main variables that affect short term interest rates.

The first is the inflation metrics which quite frankly are showing themselves to be quite sticky. Tariffs and trade wars could also increase consumer prices. 

The second factor is employment and the third factor is the economy overall. 

Long term interest rates seem to be determined by a combination of supply and demand, combined with a sentiment of economic outlook. If the economy seems strong, then the feeling is that there will be less pressure on interest rates. The current tariff  regime affecting Canada, Mexico, China, and soon some European countries, could have economic backlash within the US. That could lead to economic contraction which in turn could cause the Fed to lower short term rates. The lowering of rates would likely cascade to the longer duration bonds. There are plenty of signs of economic weakness in the private sector. In fact, with the exception of artificial intelligence and AI related investment, I can’t see any sector of the economy that is growing right now.

---------------

**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today's show we are live on location in Houston Texas. I'm sharing some insights on the Houston market that are only possible with a direct boots on the ground perspective.

----------------

**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

On today’s show we are talking about security for your real estate projects. But first, we have several opportunities for investment within the Y Street Capital portfolio. Our storage fund continues to make investments in some great projects across the US. To learn more about our storage projects, visit

https://ystreetcapital.invportal.com/login

These opportunities are only visible to those who register for our investor portal. This podcast is not a solicitation for investment. Any investment is by private placement memorandum only, is open to accredited investors and is in compliance with securities regulations.

----------------

On today’s show we are talking about security for your real estate projects. There is a conventional wisdom that security cameras offer very little protection. Even if an event of interest is captured, the image resolution or lighting is often insufficient to really capture enough detail to identify prosecute and convict. But this is changing. 

There are numerous optimizations that can be made when recording security video.

Most cameras today are using a wide angle lens and capturing a very wide area. But that means a large percentage of the image is not going to contain information of interest. For example, if the upper half of the image is pointing at the sky, you are unlikely to find many security events in that upper half of the image. 

AI is increasingly sophisticated in its ability to distinguish between transient and persistent events in security camera footage. This capability is crucial for reducing false alarms and focusing security efforts on genuine threats. Here's how AI achieves this:

•   AI algorithms can analyze the movement patterns of objects. A car driving by exhibits a consistent, linear motion over a short period, which AI can recognize as a transient event.

•  Conversely, someone loitering, repeatedly returning to a specific area, or leaving an object behind displays persistent behavior that AI can flag as potentially suspicious.

------------------

**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:**
 Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)  
 iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)  
 Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)  
 LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)  
 YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)  
 Email: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])  
**Y Street Capital:**
 Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)  
 Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)  
 Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)