The S&P 500 fell over 1%, though this represents a mild pullback despite the apparent anxiety. High-volume trading in cryptocurrencies, particularly iBit (ranking fifth in overall options volume), signals market capitulation with Bitcoin breaking below key levels.
AMD earnings loom with an $18 expected move, prompting a rare downside put calendar spread play based on tech stocks' recent underwhelming earnings performances. SMCI and KAVA also report with approximately 10% expected moves.
The dollar has risen for five consecutive days, breaking above the key 100 level, which traditionally pressures equities and gold. This inverse correlation makes sense in the current market environment, providing clarity despite volatility.
VIX movements bear watching – if it closes above 20, markets could face further pressure as earnings season winds down.