The Odd Years

This pollster predicted Trump's surprising 2024 coalition. How's it holding up?


Listen Later

Back in 2023, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini wrote a book that laid out a path for how the party could win future elections with a working class multiracial coalition.

Later that year, Amy talked with Patrick on this very podcast where they discussed whether Trump could expand his base to include those voters of color. Well, as we saw, he did. In fact, in 2016, the coalition that elected Trump was 88% white. By 2024, it was down to just 78% white.

So we wanted to have Patrick Ruffini back on for a conversation about how well that same coalition is holding up six months into Trump 2.0, whether these voters will show up for Republicans in 2026, and whether the next Republican nominee for president will have a similar appeal these voters.

Patrick is a partner and pollster for Echelon Insights and writes a great Substack, The Intersection.

Also, a quick programming note: we are taking a bit of a summer break in August, but never fear! We'll be back in September with new episodes of The Odd Years.

You can watch part of the conversation our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@thecookpoliticalreport

Sign up for our free weekly newsletter, In Brief: https://www.cookpolitical.com/in-brief-sign-up

Interested in subscribing to CPR? Go to: www.cookpolitical.com/subscribe.

Listeners can use the discount code"ODD10" to save 10% on any subscription. This offer is available only to new subscribers.

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

The Odd YearsBy The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter

  • 4.9
  • 4.9
  • 4.9
  • 4.9
  • 4.9

4.9

80 ratings


More shows like The Odd Years

View all
Conversations with Bill Kristol by Bill Kristol

Conversations with Bill Kristol

1,940 Listeners

The Axe Files with David Axelrod by The Institute of Politics & CNN

The Axe Files with David Axelrod

7,600 Listeners

The Conversation with Dasha Burns by POLITICO

The Conversation with Dasha Burns

1,531 Listeners

The Chuck ToddCast by Chuck Todd

The Chuck ToddCast

2,810 Listeners

Inside the Hive by Vanity Fair

Inside the Hive

1,497 Listeners

The Bulwark Podcast by The Bulwark

The Bulwark Podcast

11,826 Listeners

Hacks On Tap by Hacks On Tap

Hacks On Tap

8,025 Listeners

The Mona Charen Show by The Bulwark

The Mona Charen Show

1,327 Listeners

Politics War Room with James Carville & Al Hunt by Politicon

Politics War Room with James Carville & Al Hunt

4,052 Listeners

Impolitic with John Heilemann by Audacy | Puck

Impolitic with John Heilemann

4,651 Listeners

The Ezra Klein Show by New York Times Opinion

The Ezra Klein Show

15,335 Listeners

The Focus Group Podcast by The Bulwark

The Focus Group Podcast

2,509 Listeners

The Next Level by The Bulwark

The Next Level

2,927 Listeners

George Conway Explains It All (To Sarah Longwell) by The Bulwark

George Conway Explains It All (To Sarah Longwell)

3,442 Listeners

To The Contrary with Charlie Sykes by Charlie Sykes

To The Contrary with Charlie Sykes

656 Listeners