Thoughts on the Market

Thoughts on the Market episodes:

• 04.25.2024

  Meeting the Demand for Anti-Obesity Treatment

  With interest in anti-obesity medications growing significantly, the head of our European Pharmaceuticals Team examines just how large that market could become.

  
• 04.24.2024

  European Markets React to Upcoming U.S. Election

  As the US presidential election remains closely contested, our experts discuss what a change in administration could mean for European equities in terms of trade, China relations and other key issues.

  
• 04.23.2024

  US Economy: Bigger, But Not Tighter

  New data on both immigration and inflation defied predictions and may have shifted the Fed’s perspective.

  
• 04.22.2024

  U.S. Equities: No Landing in Sight

  Recent data indicates the economy may avoid either a soft or hard landing for now. Our Chief U.S. Equity Strategist explains why investors should seek out quality as the economy stays aloft.

  
• 04.19.2024

  Mixed Signals for Asia and Emerging Markets

  Japan and India are currently set to lead growth in these markets, but a higher-for-longer rate environment in the U.S. could favor China, Hong Kong and others, according to our analyst.

  
• 04.18.2024

  A Central Piece of the GenAI Puzzle

  GenAI will likely drive the exponential growth of data centers. Listen as our Capital Goods Analyst shares key takeaways on the electrical equipment central to the data center market.

  
• 04.17.2024

  The Repercussions of Rising Global Tensions

  As global conflicts escalate, our Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Research unpacks the possible market outcomes as companies and governments seek to bolster security.

  
• 04.16.2024

  How Will the GenAI Revolution Be Powered?

  Our Global Head of Sustainability Research and U.S. Utilities Analyst discuss the rapidly growing power needs of the GenAI enablers and how to meet them.

  
• 04.16.2024

  A Sobering View on the Spirits Sector

  Markets are suggesting that spirits consumption will return to historical growth levels post-pandemic, but our Head of European Consumer Staples Research disagrees.

  
• 04.12.2024

  Unpacking Correlation

  The math of ‘bond-equity correlation' is complicated. Our head of Corporate Credit Research breaks it down, along with the impact of bond rates on other asset classes.

  
• 04.11.2024

  US Energy: The Minerals and Materials at Risk

  With global temperatures rising and an increasing urgency to speed progress on the energy transition, our Head of Sustainability Equity Research examines the key materials needed—and the risks of disruption from U.S.-China trade tensions.

  
• 04.10.2024

  2024 US Elections: Inflation’s Possible Paths

  Our Global Chief Economist joins our Head of Fixed Income Research to review the most recent Consumer Price Index data, and they lay out potential outcomes in the upcoming U.S. elections that could impact the course of inflation’s trajectory.

  
• 04.09.2024

  What is Driving Big Moves in the Oil Market?

  Our Chief Fixed Income Strategist surveys the latest big swings in the oil market, which could lead to opportunities in equities and credit around the energy sector.

  
• 04.08.2024

  Looking Back for the Future

  Our Global Chief Economist explains why the rapid hikes, pause and pivot of the current interest rate cycle are reminiscent of the 1990s.

  
• 04.05.2024

  A ‘Hot’ Summer for Oil?

  Oil demand has been higher than expected so far in 2024; our Global Commodities Strategist explains what could drive oil to $95 per barrel by summer.

  
• 04.04.2024

  The Threat to Clean Energy in the US

  Experts from our research team discuss how tensions with China could limit U.S. access to essential technologies and minerals.

  
• 04.03.2024

  The Growing Importance of Where Data Lives

  Consumers are increasingly sensitive about where their personal data is being processed and stored.

  
• 04.02.2024

  U.S. Elections: Potential Implications for Businesses and Consumers

  We discuss how the upcoming U.S. elections could affect trade and tax policy, and which scenarios are most favorable to retailers and brands.

  
• 04.01.2024

  How Immigration’s Rise Could Boost Economic Growth

  Our Global Chief Economist surveys recent U.S. and Australian census data to explain immigration’s impact on labor supply and demand, as well as the implications for monetary policy.

  
• 03.28.2024

  US Housing: Will Lower Fees Means Higher Sales?

  A landmark settlement with the National Association of Realtors will change the way brokers are paid commissions. How would this affect people looking to buy or sell homes? Our co-heads of Securitized Products Research discuss.

  
• 03.27.2024

  Are Credit Scores Inflated?

  Consumer credit scores have ticked higher in the last two years – but so have the rate of delinquencies and defaults. Our Global Head of Fixed Income discusses “credit score migration” with the firm's Asset-Backed Security Strategist.

  
• 03.26.2024

  Finding Late-Cycle Winners

  As investors look for clues on market durability, our Chief U.S. Equity Strategist highlights which sectors could show more widely distributed gains in the near term.

  
• 03.25.2024

  The Evolution of Private Credit

  Morgan Stanley’s Chief Fixed Income Strategist explains why private credit markets have expanded rapidly in recent years, and how they may fare if public credit makes an expected comeback.

  
• 03.22.2024

  Can ‘As Expected’ Still Give New Information?

  Our Head of Corporate Credit notes that while recent central bank meetings offered few surprises, there was still plenty to be gleaned that could affect credit valuations.

  
• 03.21.2024

  European Financials: Why Confidence Has Returned

  The perspective from our recent European Financials Conference looked positive for UK markets, loan demand and M&A activity.

  
• 03.20.2024

  2024 US Elections: Global Investors' Key Questions

  Our Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Research outlines the potential impact the upcoming US elections could have on increasing treasury yields, U.S.-China policy and Japan’s current trajectory.

  
• 03.19.2024

  Asia Equities: A Quarter of Dispersion

  Our Chief Asia and Emerging Market Equity Strategist reviews an up-and-down first quarter for markets across the region, and gives an update on which sectors investors should be eyeing.

  
• 03.18.2024

  Finding the Equity Sweet Spot

  Our CIO and Chief Equity Strategist discusses the continued uncertainty in the markets, and how investors are now looking at earnings growth and improving valuations.

  
• 03.15.2024

  Rate Cut Uncertainty

  Our Head of Corporate Credit Research explains why leveraged loans would benefit if bumpy inflation data leads the Federal Reserve to delay interest rate cuts.

  
• 03.14.2024

  Economics Roundtable: Updating our 2024 Outlook

  Morgan Stanley’s chief economists have their quarterly roundtable discussion, focusing on the state of inflation across global regions, the possible effect of the US election on the economy and more.

  
• 03.13.2024

  Revving Up the Speed of E-Commerce Delivery

  Our Freight Transportation & Airlines Analyst unboxes the latest trends around parcel transit times and systems in the U.S. and their impact on the future of e-commerce supply chains.

  
• 03.12.2024

  Where AI Is Advancing

  Our roundtable of experts recaps highlights from the 2024 Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference, including AI innovation, trends in live entertainment and the need for operational efficiency.

  
• 03.11.2024

  AI, Scale and Privacy

  Matt Cost of the firm’s U.S. Internet team shares his key takeaways from the 2024 Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference, including the online ad market’s rebound and the future of property tech.

  
• 03.08.2024

  M&A Rebound Ahead?

  Our Head of Corporate Credit Research cites near-term and long-term factors indicating that investors should expect a major boost in merger and acquisition activity.

  
• 03.07.2024

  Why European Data Centers Are Set for Major Growth

  Morgan Stanley’s Europe Telecom Analyst outlines three factors pointing to a boom, the obstacles to overcome and the associated industries most likely to benefit.

  
• 03.06.2024

  Three Long-Term Trends by the Numbers

  Our Global Head of Fixed Income shares some startling data on decarbonization, the widespread use of AI and longevity.

  
• 03.05.2024

  How US Consumers Will Spend 2024 Tax Refunds

  With tax season underway, our U.S. economist explains what the average refund will look like and how people are likely to spend it.

  
• 03.04.2024

  Hedging in a Robust Equity Market

  The U.S. stock market is rising to new highs, but investors should still try to minimize risk in their portfolios.

  
• 03.01.2024

  The Predictive Power of PMIs

  Our head of Corporate Credit Research explains why the Purchasing Manager’s Index is a key indicator for investors to get a read on the economic outlook.

  
• 03.01.2024

  Making Sense of Confusing Economic Data

  Our Global Macro Strategist explains the complex nature of recent U.S. economic reports, and which figures should matter most to investors.

  
• 02.28.2024

  Should Investors Care About a Government Shutdown?

  As the deadline to fund the government rapidly approaches, Michael Zezas explains what economic effect a possible shutdown could have and whether investors should be concerned.

  
• 02.27.2024

  Why Is the Price of Food Still Rising?

  As grocery and dining costs continue to increase, our analysts break down how this has affected consumers and when food prices may stabilize.

  
• 02.26.2024

  The Gap Between Corporate Haves and Have-Nots

  Our Chief U.S. Equity Strategist reviews how the unusual mix of loose fiscal policy and tight monetary policy has benefited a small number of companies – and why investors should still look beyond the top five stocks.

  
• 02.23.2024

  Eyeing a Market of Many

  The valuations of stocks and corporate bonds, which have been driven largely by macroeconomic factors since 2020, are finally starting to reflect companies’ underlying performance.

  
• 02.22.2024

  Behind the Rapid Growth of the Private Credit Market

  As traditional financial institutions tightened their lending standards last year, private credit stepped in to fill some of the gaps.

  
• 02.21.2024

  An Atlantic-Sized Divide in Monetary Policy

  Central banks in the U.S. and Europe are looking to cut rates this year, but the path to those cuts differs greatly.

  
• 02.20.2024

  Accelerating the Shift from AI Enablers to AI Adopters

  Our Head of Thematic Research in Europe previews the possible next phase of the AI revolution, and what investors should be monitoring as the technology gains adoption.

  
• 02.16.2024

  Commercial Real Estate's Uncertain Future

  Our Fixed Income Strategist outlines commercial real estate’s post-pandemic challenges, which could make regional bank lenders vulnerable.

  
• 02.15.2024

  What the U.S. Election Could Mean for NATO

  Michael Zezas, Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Research, gives his take on how the U.S. election may influence European policy on national security, with implications for the defense and cybersecurity sectors.

  
• 02.15.2024

  The Rising Risk of Global Trade Tensions for Asia

  Key developments in China and the U.S. will impact global trade and the growth outlook for Asia in 2024. Morgan Stanley's Chief Asia Economist, Chetan Ahya, explains.