Turley Talks

The political illiteracy from Bill Maher is but one of numerous miscalls from Liberal Media Pundits who predicted a Kamala victory and were totally and colossally wrong. It wasn’t even close and we’re going to see precisely why.

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Highlights:

• “Norpoth gave Harris a 75% chance of winning based on a model that predicts her chances by virtue of her performance in primaries that she never competed in!”
• “I’m not saying that these people are themselves corrupt. What I’m saying is that they’re all part of a corrupt system, a rotting degenerating system that has clearly corroded their judgments in their fields of expertise.”

Timestamps:

[00:21] Bill Maher predicting a Kamala victory

[03:31] Newsweek’s headline on election day and the Economist's forecast

[05:30] Democrat strategist James Carville giving three reasons why Harris would win

[06:42] Ultra-liberal  Michael Moore’s and anti-Trumper Allan Lichtman's predictions

[10:35] How Professor Helmut Norpoth’s Primary Model predicted a Kamala win  

[12:47] The reason why am I highlighting all of these predictions

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**The use of any copyrighted material in this video is done so for educational and informational purposes only including parody, commentary, and criticism. See Hosseinzadeh v. Klein, 276 F.Supp.3d 34 (S.D.N.Y. 2017); Equals Three, LLC v. Jukin Media, Inc., 139 F. Supp. 3d 1094 (C.D. Cal. 2015). It is believed that this constitutes a "fair use" of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.

It’s time to pour ourselves a cup of liberal tears today, and I want to use this golden opportunity to gloat as a learning opportunity. We’re going to see how much the woke meltdowns actually end up inadvertently admitting who woke liberals really are, and thus they only end up ultimately implicating themselves in their own defeat!

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Highlights:

• “Now it’s white women. They’re the ones to blame. The insanity knows no end. One side thinks it’s misogynist black men and Latinos, the other side of this woke mind virus thinks it’s white women!”
• “The establishment lies. And then, to make it even worse, they cover up those lies by threatening to punish you if you stand up and call out those lies! You’re the problem! You’re the liar! You’re the spreader of disinformation! You’re the reality denier! That is the essence of this sick, psychopathic, psychotic managerial class!” 

Timestamps:

[03:42] Jen Psaki’s meltdown over Trump’s win

[03:57] Joe Scarborough blaming racism and sexism

[07:09] Joy Reid blaming white women plus the meltdown over at The View

[10:08] A PBS version of a woke meltdown from Jonathan Capehart

[14:43] A brilliant observation from conservative commentator Christine Rosen 

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**The use of any copyrighted material in this video is done so for educational and informational purposes only including parody, commentary, and criticism. See Hosseinzadeh v. Klein, 276 F.Supp.3d 34 (S.D.N.Y. 2017); Equals Three, LLC v. Jukin Media, Inc., 139 F. Supp. 3d 1094 (C.D. Cal. 2015). It is believed that this constitutes a "fair use" of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.

It’s being called the single greatest political comeback in history. We’ve simply never seen anything like it. Last night, the entire world witnessed the establishment, the deep state, the swamp, the legacy media brutally and overwhelmingly defeated, and we’re going to see just how decisive that defeat was.

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Highlights:

• “We defeated a $1 BILLION campaign, Hollywood, Big Tech, Big Business. And it wasn't even close.”
• “Trump won with a 3.5 margin, with nearly 4 million votes to spare. Kind of makes you wonder what happened to those 20 million votes we saw in 2020 for Biden, doesn’t it?”
• “There are 3,144 counties in America and Kamala failed to outperform Biden in a single one. Not one! That’s how dominant this election was!” 

Timestamps:

[03:42] Trump and the Republican’s astonishing win

[08:39] How yesterday’s election proved that Gen. Z is the most conservative generation we have on record

[10:36] Trump won Michigan Latinos, outperformed in the suburbs, won Hispanics, and won Texas by double digits, all with very high turnout electorate

[14:47] The two takeaways from yesterday’s election

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**The use of any copyrighted material in this video is done so for educational and informational purposes only including parody, commentary, and criticism. See Hosseinzadeh v. Klein, 276 F.Supp.3d 34 (S.D.N.Y. 2017); Equals Three, LLC v. Jukin Media, Inc., 139 F. Supp. 3d 1094 (C.D. Cal. 2015). It is believed that this constitutes a "fair use" of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.

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Timestamps:

[00:21] David Miller & Sam Fisher Interview on PA Amish votes

[16:44] Another metric for discerning the electorate

[29:24] Interview with Cliff Maloney on what’s happening in PA

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**The use of any copyrighted material in this video is done so for educational and informational purposes only including parody, commentary, and criticism. See Hosseinzadeh v. Klein, 276 F.Supp.3d 34 (S.D.N.Y. 2017); Equals Three, LLC v. Jukin Media, Inc., 139 F. Supp. 3d 1094 (C.D. Cal. 2015). It is believed that this constitutes a "fair use" of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.

In this episode, I want to give you our 3rd update of the day on the big day, Election Day! We're more than halfway through Election Day, and we're beginning to get a pretty good sense of the electorate that's coming out to vote today.

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Highlights:

• “Harris needs Democrats to turn out en masse! They simply did not come out in the early voting, they need to come out today, that, at least it seems to me, is the only chance she has given how well the Republicans did in early voting.”
• “The big story of the day is that the Democrats are getting absolutely massacred in FL. Republicans are winning by over 10 points right now.”
• “The bottom line here is, based on the data that we have now, and we're talking hard data, not hearsay, not wives tales, not apocryphal stories, hard data, Democrats are not showing up in the numbers they need to.” 

Timestamps:

[00:40] How we’re not seeing a surge for election day Democrat voters in Florida

[06:42] Trump leading in GA counties - Dekalb County and Duval

[10:22] How Trump is crushing it in bellwether county of Miami-Dade

[11:02] Some amazing numbers coming from NV and AZ

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**The use of any copyrighted material in this video is done so for educational and informational purposes only including parody, commentary, and criticism. See Hosseinzadeh v. Klein, 276 F.Supp.3d 34 (S.D.N.Y. 2017); Equals Three, LLC v. Jukin Media, Inc., 139 F. Supp. 3d 1094 (C.D. Cal. 2015). It is believed that this constitutes a "fair use" of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.

We’ve got our first flip! We’ve got the latest numbers coming in on the Republican vs Democrat turnout! 

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Highlights:

• “According to the exit polling, it appears that Republicans have flipped the Guam legislature for the first time in the last 16 years!”
• “The GOP has just surpassed a million ballot lead over the Democrats in Florida.”

Timestamps:

[00:44] How the US island territory of Guam flipped red

[05:28] Understanding what to expect in the election today - looking at the numbers in Florida

[09:15] The latest numbers coming out of AZ and Clark County, NV

[10:53] The percentage of white and black vote as another electorate indicator - the result of early voting in Louisiana

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**The use of any copyrighted material in this video is done so for educational and informational purposes only including parody, commentary, and criticism. See Hosseinzadeh v. Klein, 276 F.Supp.3d 34 (S.D.N.Y. 2017); Equals Three, LLC v. Jukin Media, Inc., 139 F. Supp. 3d 1094 (C.D. Cal. 2015). It is believed that this constitutes a "fair use" of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.

We have officially arrived! After four long years, the day has come, and it’s come with some huge endorsements. Joe Rogan has formally endorsed Trump. The New Hampshire Libertarian Party, a very big presence in New Hampshire politics, has also endorsed President Trump, as have a slew of others in the last 24 hours! We’ve got the latest stats on the Republican turnout on election day, this is going to blow you away!

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Highlights:

• “This is what makes analyzing this election rather simple: if Republicans are tied or ahead in the early voting in 6 of the 7 swing states, then all Republicans have to do today is show up!”
• “As of the making of this video: the Republican turnout is leading the Democrats by 24%. A 6-point swing from 2020.”

Timestamps:

[00:21] Trump’s response to Joe Rogan officially endorsing him

[03:58] Analyzing the election in relation to the early voting results

[06:56] How Democrats are doing today in FL compared to their performance in 2020

[10:58] Where we are on the election right now

Resources Mentioned:

• https://x.com/DataRepublican
• https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/

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**The use of any copyrighted material in this video is done so for educational and informational purposes only including parody, commentary, and criticism. See Hosseinzadeh v. Klein, 276 F.Supp.3d 34 (S.D.N.Y. 2017); Equals Three, LLC v. Jukin Media, Inc., 139 F. Supp. 3d 1094 (C.D. Cal. 2015). It is believed that this constitutes a "fair use" of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.

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**The use of any copyrighted material in this video is done so for educational and informational purposes only including parody, commentary, and criticism. See Hosseinzadeh v. Klein, 276 F.Supp.3d 34 (S.D.N.Y. 2017); Equals Three, LLC v. Jukin Media, Inc., 139 F. Supp. 3d 1094 (C.D. Cal. 2015). It is believed that this constitutes a "fair use" of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.

This election is going to be the most important election of our lifetime. So much is riding on the results of this election: the economy, the border, inflation, foreign affairs! And I think we all agree that if Trump were to lose, we are all going to be in for a very hard next 4 years!

But how likely is it that Trump will lose? If we trust the polls they would say it's a toss-up. Is there another way to look at it? And if there is, how is Trump measuring up? 

My guest today, Josiah Lippincott, is here to answer that. Josiah is one of my favorite X accounts to follow when it comes to all things polls and election cycles. 

Go Follow Josiah On X @jlippincott_  Subscribe to Josiah’s Stubstack https://lippincott.substack.com/

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Thank you for taking the time to listen to this episode.  If you enjoyed this episode, please subscribe and/or leave a review.

FOLLOW me on X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/DrTurleyTalks

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**The use of any copyrighted material in this video is done so for educational and informational purposes only including parody, commentary, and criticism. See Hosseinzadeh v. Klein, 276 F.Supp.3d 34 (S.D.N.Y. 2017); Equals Three, LLC v. Jukin Media, Inc., 139 F. Supp. 3d 1094 (C.D. Cal. 2015). It is believed that this constitutes a "fair use" of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.

The Amish are voting and voting en mass, but they’re just riding what appears to be a red wave that’s sweeping the key swing state of PA! Tune in to learn the latest on what to expect tomorrow in the Keystone State.

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Highlights:

• “Elon Musk noted that the Democrats are over 600 thousand early votes worse off than they were at this time in 2020 when Trump lost by only 80 thousand votes.”
• “Seth notes that 64 of PA’s 67 counties have all swung to the right since 2020. PA has gone from a D plus 7.5 advantage back in 2020 to now just a D plus 3 advantage. So their voter registration has been slashed in half.”
• “Democrats are simply not that jazzed about Kamala. They’re not coming out in the numbers they did back in 2020.”

Timestamps:

[00:21] Amish community voting for Trump

[02:38] Elon Musk’s excitement about Trump winning in PA

[03:45] The significant minority Democrat turnout problem in PA

[07:14] Elon to bus PA Republicans to the polls plus Seth Keshel’s final 2024 prediction

[12:17] Looking at Washington and Oregon - how Democrat vote by mail is down as compared to 2020

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**The use of any copyrighted material in this video is done so for educational and informational purposes only including parody, commentary, and criticism. See Hosseinzadeh v. Klein, 276 F.Supp.3d 34 (S.D.N.Y. 2017); Equals Three, LLC v. Jukin Media, Inc., 139 F. Supp. 3d 1094 (C.D. Cal. 2015). It is believed that this constitutes a "fair use" of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law.