On this week’s episode of Viewpoints, Burkhard outlines the investment case for global markets to continue their climb higher and provides a performance update on some of CIO’s investment themes. We also cover considerations for investors when it comes to climate change-related investment risks, along with reflect on the potential impacts of Japan’s fiscal deficit to global markets.

The manufacturer of Barbie dolls has warned that higher prices are coming to US consumers, as a direct consequence of tariffs. Moving production to the US does not seem to be an option. Rationing dolls to two per child while raising prices has limited consequences, but US President Trump has signaled medicines will be next. Rationing medicines with higher prices may have more significant consequences (raising health insurance prices, for instance).

Jason joins the podcast this week from Zurich as we discuss the drivers behind the recent upside momentum across US equities. Plus, we weigh the upside case for US growth staying even in the face of higher tariffs, reflect on Q1 corporate earnings, and outline the latest allocation recommendations from CIO. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Investors await the Federal Reserve’s Wednesday policy decision. There is little expectation of a rate change. Preliminary April employment data showed reasonable strength although some areas of job growth (e.g. trucking) are clearly vulnerable as import volumes slow.

Shane reflects on the first 100 days of the Trump administration, along with updates on where efforts and negotiations stand on Capitol Hill surrounding a substantial reconciliation bill. Plus, a look at current US-Ukraine relations and where efforts stand with Russia peace talks. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisors, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

We close out a busy macro week with thoughts from Brian on the latest US employment and GDP data. Plus, a look at what to expect in the week ahead. Featured is Brian Rose, Senior Economist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

The US “Temu tax” takes effect at midnight, whereby US consumers pay their government for the privilege of buying low cost products directly from China. The tax is unlikely to show up in consumer price data (it is doubtful that Temu prices are used in the calculation), but it is a visible price increase to many US consumers—a reminder that they, not exporters, pay trade tariffs.

Having just attended the IMF-World Bank meetings in Washington DC, Alejo rejoins the conversation for some boots-on-the ground takeaways around the impacts of US trade policy to global economies. Plus, a review of focus points when it comes to broader emerging markets, China, and Latin America. Featured is Alejo Czerwonko, CIO for Emerging Markets Americas, UBS Chief Investment Officer. Host: Daniel Cassidy

The only certainty economists have about yesterday’s first-quarter GDP data is that it is wrong. Declining survey response rates and economies that structurally change more rapidly than statisticians can measure have conspired to make GDP everywhere subject to more frequent and larger revisions. Nonetheless, broad trends show an economy being rapidly shaped by US President Trump’s policy.

As the Trump administration marks 100 days in office, Burkhard reflects on how global markets have performed during this span. Plus, we dive into the US-China tariff conflict and discuss how this trading relationship may evolve from here, along with what investors should be mindful of when it comes to China’s economic model.