Oil jumps, ships stall, and a regional war starts rewriting the rules of global trade. We follow the Iran conflict from the headlines into the real economy, where the Strait of Hormuz becomes a pressure point for energy logistics, freight capacity, and consumer prices. As Brent crude spikes and markets slide, we ask the uncomfortable question: is the US paying the bill while others quietly advance?

We also look at the second-order effects that supply chain leaders can’t ignore. China and Russia appear positioned to benefit from distraction and higher energy revenue, while tariff volatility and retaliation add another layer of uncertainty to sourcing, compliance, and planning. We talk through the emerging patchwork of trade deals, attempts to reform the World Trade Organization, and what “fragmentation” actually means when you’re trying to move goods across borders on time and on budget.

Then the lens tightens on power and control in technology. The Anthropic fight with the Pentagon raises hard questions about AI ethics, safety guardrails, and what happens when government pressure collides with private AI policy. From there we unpack agentic AI in supply chain management: autonomous decision-making in procurement and manufacturing, the data governance problem of multiple sources of truth, and the new cybersecurity attack surface that comes with AI agents acting inside operational systems.

If you care about supply chain resilience, geopolitics, tariffs, energy security, and the future of AI in operations, this one connects the dots. Subscribe to Chain Reaction, share the episode with a colleague, and leave a review. What risk feels most underestimated right now: shipping chokepoints, trade fragmentation, or agentic AI autonomy?

Read the article referred to in the episode here: https://wp.me/p7A9ob-1gk

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About Tony Hines and the Chain Reaction Podcast – All About Supply Chain Advantage
I have been researching and writing about supply chains for over 25 years. I wrote my first book on supply chain strategies in the early 2000s. The latest edition is published in 2024 available from Routledge, Amazon and all good book stores. Each week we have special episodes on particular topics relating to supply chains. We have a weekly news round up every Saturday at 12 noon. ...