What Goes Up

The OPEC+ oil cartel may not ramp up oil production enough to offset the loss of Russian supply that has sent crude above $100 a barrel, according to Javier Blas. Blas, the co-author of “The World For Sale: Money, Power, and the Traders Who Barter the Earth’s Resources” and a Bloomberg Opinion columnist, joined this week’s “What Goes Up” podcast to discuss the global energy supply shock. One highlight of the conversation: “Putin has been talking to Mohammed bin Salman, who is the crown prince of Saudi Arabia. And they have been talking about energy and energy cooperation. So I think that OPEC may not come to the rescue this time, just because they're just working with the Russians.”

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When assessing what a political leader is going to do, Marko Papic doesn’t pay much attention to what the person’s desires are. Instead, he looks at what he calls “material constraints.” In other words, what factors will limit the leader’s ability to get what he or she wants. To Papic, the chief strategist at hedge-fund seeding firm Clocktower Group, Russia’s Vladimir Putin is ignoring his material constraints with the invasion of Ukraine. And ultimately, he says, that could lead to Putin’s downfall. Papic joined the “What Goes Up” podcast to discuss the war and its effects on markets. “I give Putin 12 months, and I’m taking the under,” said Papic, the author of “Geopolitical Alpha: An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future.”

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Meltem Demirors, chief strategy officer at CoinShares International Ltd., joined the “What Goes Up” podcast to discuss this year’s collapse in cryptocurrencies and how traditional financial institutions are growing more comfortable with the asset class’s volatility.

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Peter Atwater, the consultant and finance professor who coined the phrase “K-shaped recovery” to describe the rebound from the 2020 recession, joined the “What Goes Up” podcast to discuss how a wide disparity in consumer confidence could affect the economy and markets. One thing that’s caught his eye lately: A troubling move out of stock-market investing and into online gambling among young people.  

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We’ve all heard it a million times: stocks got really expensive in the post-financial crisis bull market, especially when looking at cyclically adjusted valuation metrics that include corporate earnings over the past decade. But what should investors do with that information? Victor Haghani, founder and CIO of Elm Wealth — and one of the founding partners of Long-Term Capital Management — joins this week’s “What Goes Up” to weigh in, discuss recent market volatility and much more.

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Crypto was red-hot in 2021 — so much so that it spawned a whole ecosystem of related products, including the first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund in the U.S. But can companies maintain enthusiasm for the growing industry as prices tumble in the new year? Hany Rashwan, co-founder and CEO of 21Shares, a provider of crypto exchange-traded products, joins this week's "What Goes Up" to talk about that and his company's plans for expanding its own offerings.

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The balanced-portfolio strategy known as risk parity, which typically relies on investing in both stocks and bonds, needs to adapt as both asset classes come under pressure in a rising-rate environment, according to Max Gokhman, the chief investment officer at AlphaTrAI Inc. Gokhman joined the "What Goes Up" podcast to discuss this and other current market topics, as well as how his firm is applying artificial intelligence to investing.  

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Morgan Stanley’s Andrew Slimmon joined the “What Goes Up” podcast to discuss how loading up on cyclical stocks helped the MSIF U.S. Core Portfolio mutual fund that he co-manages post a 36% return in 2021, and how he’s reluctant to buy the dip in high-growth stocks because “once the fever breaks, it lasts a long time.”

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Technology stocks have gotten clobbered this year, and investor attention has focused on rising interest rates as the reason behind it. But that’s not the whole story, says Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist Gina Martin Adams.

On this episode, she helps dissect the shifting leadership in the U.S. stock market and shares her thoughts on an upcoming earnings season that—thanks to inflation, supply chain chaos and other pandemic fallout—remains shrouded in mystery.

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Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy Chris Harvey joined the “What Goes Up” podcast to discuss why he’s predicting a 10% market correction by the summer and share his thoughts on the volatility that followed this week’s Federal Reserve meeting minutes. 

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