Alex Gurevich talks about the next perfect trade! We discuss major shifts in the macro investing landscape, including the breakdown of the traditional stock-bond relationship, why U.S. Treasuries no longer act as a reliable flight-to-safety asset, and how inflation, fiscal policy, and changing market regimes are reshaping investment strategies. Alex shares his framework for identifying high-probability trades, explains why he believes interest rates could ultimately return to zero if the labor market weakens, and discusses opportunities and risks in global markets, currencies, gold, emerging markets, and China. We also explore the long-term impact of artificial intelligence on productivity, employment, and economic growth and more!

We discuss...

• The breakdown of the traditional stock-bond relationship and how it is changing portfolio diversification strategies.
• Why U.S. Treasuries are no longer acting as a reliable flight-to-safety asset and what that means for investors.
• The impact of inflation, fiscal policy, and shifting market regimes on the macroeconomic outlook.
• Why labor market trends remain the most important factor influencing future Federal Reserve decisions.
• The possibility that interest rates could eventually return to zero if economic growth and employment weaken.
• Investment opportunities and risks across currencies, bonds, emerging markets, and international equities.
• The relative attractiveness of gold, U.S. Treasuries, and other hard assets in the current environment.
• China's economic challenges, AI ambitions, and its position in the global race for technological leadership.
• How artificial intelligence is driving investment, productivity gains, and economic growth across multiple sectors.
• The potential for AI-driven job displacement and a temporary economic adjustment period before larger long-term benefits emerge.
• Key market risks stemming from geopolitical conflict, energy prices, and evolving global economic dynamics.

Today's Panelists:

• Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth
• Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance
• Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management

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For more information, visit the full show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/next-perfect-trade-alex-gurevich-824