Mixed Signals from Semafor Media

When Biden Lost It & Nate Silver's Bet


Listen Later

Where were you when Joe Biden lost the debate to Trump? Max was in the CNN Spin Room, Nayeema watched with a cabal of crypto bros and Ben was at home scrolling X. They discuss the moment the debate was decided (9:22 or 9:23 EST) — and who gets to call it. Then, Ben and Nayeema turn to an interview with political statistician and professional gambler Nate Silver to talk election prediction, Biden’s age, and why Nate’s new Silver Bulletin model gives Trump a 66% chance of winning the election in November. 

Finally, Nayeema makes us eat our spinach with a quick tour of global elections whose participants can’t possibly produce 90 minutes of television as bad as we just watched.

Drop us a line if you’ve got a tip: [email protected]

Find us on X: @semaforben, @nayeema @maxwelltani or on Instagram @nayeemaraza 

Sign up for Semafor Media’s Sunday newsletter: https://www.semafor.com/newsletters/media 

Sign up for Nate Silver’s newsletter, Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/subscribe

Mixed Signals from Semafor Media is presented by Think with Google

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Mixed Signals from Semafor MediaBy Semafor Podcasts

  • 4.5
  • 4.5
  • 4.5
  • 4.5
  • 4.5

4.5

193 ratings


More shows like Mixed Signals from Semafor Media

View all
The Political Scene | The New Yorker by WNYC Studios and The New Yorker

The Political Scene | The New Yorker

3,954 Listeners

The New Yorker Radio Hour by WNYC Studios and The New Yorker

The New Yorker Radio Hour

6,691 Listeners

Pivot by New York Magazine

Pivot

9,257 Listeners

Channels with Peter Kafka by Vox Media Podcast Network

Channels with Peter Kafka

552 Listeners

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat by New York Times Opinion

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat

6,880 Listeners

Hacks On Tap by Hacks On Tap

Hacks On Tap

8,025 Listeners

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway by Vox Media Podcast Network

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway

5,414 Listeners

Hard Fork by The New York Times

Hard Fork

5,462 Listeners

The Ezra Klein Show by New York Times Opinion

The Ezra Klein Show

15,335 Listeners

The Powers That Be: Daily by Puck | Audacy

The Powers That Be: Daily

362 Listeners

On with Kara Swisher by Vox Media

On with Kara Swisher

3,365 Listeners

Politix by Politix

Politix

96 Listeners

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova by Pushkin Industries

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

262 Listeners

Good on Paper by The Atlantic

Good on Paper

360 Listeners

The Grill Room by Audacy | Puck

The Grill Room

47 Listeners