Expert Intelligence with Paul Estes

Why AI Won't Steal 50% of Jobs with Tom Davenport


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Tom Davenport has been watching technology transformations for over 30 years, and he's not joining the AI hype wagon. As a distinguished professor at Babson College and author of 27+ books, Tom brings hard-earned wisdom to the AI conversation that's refreshingly realistic. While Silicon Valley promises instant transformation and a job apocalypse, Tom reveals why real AI success requires the unglamorous work of process redesign, patient leadership, and years of persistent effort.

In this eye-opening conversation, Tom debunks the myth that AI will eliminate 50% of white-collar jobs while sharing practical insights on how organizations can actually capture value from AI. From his "super tech leader" framework to the critical mistake of not planning for entry-level hiring, Tom provides a clear and realistic vision of AI's true potential and timeline.

You'll Learn:

  • Why AI job replacement predictions have been consistently wrong for decades
  • How to organize AI initiatives across departments
  • How to use process mining and redesign to unlock real AI value in your organization
  • Why citizen development and "vibe coding" are democratizing technology creation
  • The critical role "boring," entry-level work plays in developing future expertise
  • Which workflows every business should consider automating first
  • Why persistence and patience matter more than speed in AI transformation
  • Subscribe to Expert Intelligence so you don't miss any future conversations — these industry leaders separate signal from noise in this rapidly evolving technological landscape.

    ...more
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    Expert Intelligence with Paul EstesBy Paul Estes

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