Contrarian strategist Michael Green lays out why “passive” isn’t passive at all—it’s a flow-driven algorithm, turbocharged by policy, that funnels capital into mega-caps, starves small caps, and raises the odds of market non-clearing shocks.

We unpack Sharpe’s arithmetic vs. rebalancing reality, lessons from Volmageddon, the aging of investor cohorts, why stress may be deflationary before inflationary, and how to “doom-proof” a portfolio with assets that throw off cash (including overlooked duration/TIPS and munis).

Michael also separates crypto’s burn-it-down narrative from its true promise: tokenized, programmable securities that fix TradFi’s paper plumbing.

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

4:52 Finance Twitter vs Crypto Twitter

6:42 Fundamentals vs Narrative

9:53 Passive Index Investing

22:12 Message for Passive Investors

28:43 Market Cap vs FDV

30:23 Large Cap Dominance

40:45 Other Distortions

43:40 Volmageddon

50:14 Demographics

55:17 Passive Doom-Proof Portfolio

1:04:15 Currency Collapse

1:09:51 Gold & Precious Metals

1:15:58 Bitcoin vs Gold

1:18:29 Ray Dalio Debt Cycles

1:22:43 Stablecoins & Tokenization

1:28:53 Message to the Listeners

1:34:32 Action Items

1:35:28 Closing & Disclaimers

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RESOURCES

Michael Green

https://x.com/profplum99

Michael’s Substack

https://www.yesigiveafig.com/subscribe?coupon=879f4ac8 

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