The Science of Politics

Will Trump Anger Motivate Black Turnout?


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Black turnout was down in 2016, costing Hillary Clinton pivotal votes and raising questions about whether post-Obama Democrats can mobilize Black voters. We know President Trump is angering and mobilizing a lot of White Democrats but that may not translate the same way for Black voters. Davin Phoenix finds that Black Americans express less anger than White Americans and anger does not stimulate them as much to participate in politics. Christopher Towler finds that African-Americans who strongly disliked Trump did turn out at Obama-level rates; but not everyone feels that strongly. Both say Black turnout is hardly destined to rebound in 2020, especially if Democrats don't change their strategy.
Photo: Phil Roeder under CC BY 2.0.
https://www.flickr.com/photos/tabor-roeder/43105749360
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The Science of PoliticsBy Niskanen Center

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