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Over 10.5 million Bitcoin are currently underwater. Everyone is panicking about a grueling bear market, but I see things differently. In today's Take, I explain why this recent drop actually signals deep liquidity and a historically accurate market bottom. The traditional four-year cycle is breaking. And as the national debt keeps doubling and the fiat printing won't stop, let's talk about why staying patient right now means everything.
Chapters
(00:00:00) - Another big dump & 10.5M BTC underwater
(00:01:25) - Capitulation signal that’s called every bear bottom
(00:02:22) - From 90% crashes to a muted bear
(00:03:10) - Liquidity, ETFs, and Bitcoin as collateral & SoV
(00:04:57) - Patience: the rarest Bitcoin skill
(00:05:28) - Exponential US debt and the long‑term Bitcoin lens
(00:06:15) - How past cycles felt vs how they look on the chart
(00:06:42) - From $15K to a $60K+ floor: what that implies
(00:07:10) - Self‑custody, ETFs, and why keys matter
(00:08:01) - Volatility vs risk in a fast‑growing asset
(00:09:21) - Max pain, hopelessness, and where opportunity lives
(00:10:08) - Blood in the streets & hunting one more dip
Affiliate Links
Host Links
Guy on Nostr (Link: http://tinyurl.com/2xc96ney)
Guy on X (Link: https://twitter.com/theguyswann)
Guy on Instagram (Link: https://www.instagram.com/theguyswann)
Guy on TikTok (Link: https://www.tiktok.com/@theguyswann)
Guy's Takes on YouTube (Link: https://www.youtube.com/@GuysTake)
Guy Swann on YouTube (Link: https://www.youtube.com/@theguyswann)
Bitcoin Audible on X (Link: https://twitter.com/BitcoinAudible)
The Guy Swann Network Broadcast Room on Keet (Link: https://tinyurl.com/3na6v839)
References from the episode
Coindesk: tinyurl.com/26l8pqzbInvesting.com: tinyurl.com/2a2wubsq
BitBo: tinyurl.com/2anzw6g2
FT: tinyurl.com/23eglpaz
Reason: tinyurl.com/2687zybx
Yahoo Finance: tinyurl.com/27crbd6v
Fortune: tinyurl.com/25nvhgzt
CNBC: tinyurl.com/2ynpzq8v
Yellow: tinyurl.com/28e43f7o
FRED: tinyurl.com/2ddoz54u
Decrypt: tinyurl.com/2ylup3hm
CoinDesk: tinyurl.com/253cflvk
Guardian: tinyurl.com/2bynazae
Reuters: tinyurl.com/26p89zjm
Trading Key: tinyurl.com/2cceq344
Yahoo Finance: tinyurl.com/2boso8gs
Spark: tinyurl.com/2422njur
Yahoo Finance: tinyurl.com/29yn59sx
By Guy Swann3.5
22 ratings
Over 10.5 million Bitcoin are currently underwater. Everyone is panicking about a grueling bear market, but I see things differently. In today's Take, I explain why this recent drop actually signals deep liquidity and a historically accurate market bottom. The traditional four-year cycle is breaking. And as the national debt keeps doubling and the fiat printing won't stop, let's talk about why staying patient right now means everything.
Chapters
(00:00:00) - Another big dump & 10.5M BTC underwater
(00:01:25) - Capitulation signal that’s called every bear bottom
(00:02:22) - From 90% crashes to a muted bear
(00:03:10) - Liquidity, ETFs, and Bitcoin as collateral & SoV
(00:04:57) - Patience: the rarest Bitcoin skill
(00:05:28) - Exponential US debt and the long‑term Bitcoin lens
(00:06:15) - How past cycles felt vs how they look on the chart
(00:06:42) - From $15K to a $60K+ floor: what that implies
(00:07:10) - Self‑custody, ETFs, and why keys matter
(00:08:01) - Volatility vs risk in a fast‑growing asset
(00:09:21) - Max pain, hopelessness, and where opportunity lives
(00:10:08) - Blood in the streets & hunting one more dip
Affiliate Links
Host Links
Guy on Nostr (Link: http://tinyurl.com/2xc96ney)
Guy on X (Link: https://twitter.com/theguyswann)
Guy on Instagram (Link: https://www.instagram.com/theguyswann)
Guy on TikTok (Link: https://www.tiktok.com/@theguyswann)
Guy's Takes on YouTube (Link: https://www.youtube.com/@GuysTake)
Guy Swann on YouTube (Link: https://www.youtube.com/@theguyswann)
Bitcoin Audible on X (Link: https://twitter.com/BitcoinAudible)
The Guy Swann Network Broadcast Room on Keet (Link: https://tinyurl.com/3na6v839)
References from the episode
Coindesk: tinyurl.com/26l8pqzbInvesting.com: tinyurl.com/2a2wubsq
BitBo: tinyurl.com/2anzw6g2
FT: tinyurl.com/23eglpaz
Reason: tinyurl.com/2687zybx
Yahoo Finance: tinyurl.com/27crbd6v
Fortune: tinyurl.com/25nvhgzt
CNBC: tinyurl.com/2ynpzq8v
Yellow: tinyurl.com/28e43f7o
FRED: tinyurl.com/2ddoz54u
Decrypt: tinyurl.com/2ylup3hm
CoinDesk: tinyurl.com/253cflvk
Guardian: tinyurl.com/2bynazae
Reuters: tinyurl.com/26p89zjm
Trading Key: tinyurl.com/2cceq344
Yahoo Finance: tinyurl.com/2boso8gs
Spark: tinyurl.com/2422njur
Yahoo Finance: tinyurl.com/29yn59sx

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