Grain Markets and Other Stuff

45Z Confusion! Biofuel Investments at Risk


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🌿 45Z Tax Credit Guidelines: Conflicting Reports and Uncertainty Ahead πŸ’°

There’s confusion surrounding the 45Z tax credit guidelines, as Reuters and Bloomberg have released conflicting reports regarding their finalization. Reuters suggests that the US Treasury will not issue guidance before President Biden’s term ends due to disagreements between agricultural lobbyists and environmentalists over how the program should align with climate goals 🌎. On the other hand, Bloomberg reports that a Treasury spokesperson confirmed the guidance would be issued before the end of Biden’s term, allowing eligible producers to claim 45Z tax credits for 2025 πŸ“…. The biofuel industry is urging lawmakers to extend blender credits, which are set to expire at the end of the year, hoping for clarity before the shift in administration πŸƒ.

🌾 US Farmer Sentiment Surges After Election πŸ“Š

US farmer sentiment hit its highest level in over three years following the presidential election πŸ“ˆ. The Purdue CME Group Ag Economy Barometer rose by 30 points in November, reaching 145, its highest since May 2021. The Future Expectations Index jumped by 37 points, reaching 161, its best since April 2021 🌱. Farmers are more optimistic about future regulations and taxes, but concerns remain over agricultural trade, with more than 40% of respondents believing that a trade war with China is likely under the Trump administration πŸ›’πŸŒ.

🌍 EU Delays Deforestation Law Amid Global Criticism 🌳

The European Union has reached a tentative deal to delay its deforestation law, which aims to limit the import of products tied to deforestation 🌍. The law requires importers to prove their goods, such as soy, beef, and coffee, are not linked to deforested areas 🌱. Brazil, Indonesia, and other major agricultural producers have been critical of the law. The delay will provide time for European businesses and farmers to prepare before the law takes effect. The final adoption of the deal by EU member states and parliament is expected to be a formality by the end of the month πŸ“….

🏒 ADM Focuses on Cost Reductions Amid Farm Economy Challenges πŸ’Ό

ADM (Archer Daniels Midland) is implementing cost reduction measures as it faces ongoing challenges in the farm economy. The grain trader anticipates declining profits next year due to low crop prices 🌾. Additionally, uncertainty around biofuel regulations and the potential for a trade war between the US and China could weigh on ADM's profitability πŸ“‰. The company is also under investigation by the SEC and federal authorities over accounting errors in its Nutrition division πŸ“Š, contributing to a 25% drop in its stock this year πŸ’”.

⚑ Biden's Clean Energy Grants Total Over $100 Billion 🌞

President Biden has awarded $100 billion in clean energy grants through the Inflation Reduction Act, his signature climate legislation 🌱. Over 80% of these grants have already been allocated, securing funding for projects like carbon capture, wind power, and solar energy β˜€οΈ. These funds aim to support the transition to clean energy, making it challenging for President-elect Donald Trump, a climate skeptic, to cancel them once he takes office 🌍. The grants also include tax incentives for clean energy projects, which would require congressional action to reverse πŸ“œ.

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Grain Markets and Other StuffBy Joe Vaclavik

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