The Ag View Pitch

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Corn prices have dropped after USDA’s latest reports, but are the best grain marketing opportunities already behind us? Chris Barron and Texas A&M’s Mark Welch discuss what larger corn supplies mean for farmers, where harvest basis could offer opportunities, and why it’s worth looking at 2027 crop sales now.

In this Weekly Market Outlook for October 19–23, 2026, Chris and Mark cover:

• How the Grain Stocks and October WASDE reports changed the corn supply outlook.

• Why calling local grain buyers may uncover opportunities beyond posted bids.

• Why Mark’s marketing plan is already 30% sold on the 2027 crop.

• How fund positioning, inflation, and higher fertilizer and fuel costs could influence grain markets.

• What El Niño could mean for production in Brazil and Argentina.

• Building 2027 corn and soybean budgets around realistic costs, breakevens, and margin targets.

Mark also explains why extending your marketing window can create more chances to sell, even when you don’t know every detail of next year’s budget. The goal is a consistent process that works for your farm without depending on hitting the market high.

Ag View Executive Business Conference
January 20–22, 2027 | Hollywood Beach, Florida

TEPAP: The Executive Program for Agricultural Producers
Learn more about the farm business management program discussed in this episode using the link above.

#CornPrices #GrainMarketing #FarmManagement

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Can farmers run red diesel in their semi trucks without facing a tax bill later? Farm CPA Paul Neiffer joins Chris Barron to discuss the 2026 diesel tax relief announcement, the difference between a tax deferral and a tax exemption, and what farmers should consider before using dyed diesel on the highway.

With harvest underway and diesel prices squeezing margins, Paul and Chris weigh the potential cash-flow benefit against tax paperwork, state rules, and the risk of costly mistakes. They explain why temporary relief doesn’t necessarily mean the tax disappears and why hauling grain across state lines adds another layer of uncertainty.

Topics include:

• Red diesel versus clear diesel in farm trucks

• Federal diesel excise taxes and temporary tax relief

• Why state rules matter when hauling grain across state lines

• Potential Form 720 filing requirements and preparation costs

• Fuel records, enforcement concerns, and what happens when relief ends

• Putting higher diesel prices into perspective on a per-bushel basis

Recorded October 13, 2026. The discussion reflects the information available at the time of recording.

Read Paul Neiffer’s Farm CPA Report:
https://www.farmcpareport.com/

Join us for the 2027 Ag View Executive Business Conference, January 20–22 at Margaritaville Beach Resort in Hollywood Beach, Florida. Register using the link above.

#RedDiesel #FarmTaxes #FarmManagement

Ag View Executive Business Conference information:

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Will interest rates fall in time for 2027 farm loan renewals? Shay Foulk welcomes Jim Iuorio to the Ag View Pitch to discuss farm borrowing costs, inflation, diesel prices, and what the broader U.S. economy could mean for farmers heading into next season.

Jim explains why he sees potential for lower long-term Treasury yields while remaining cautious about the upcoming operating-loan renewal window. They discuss the Federal Reserve’s dilemma: responding to higher energy prices without slowing the economy too far.

The conversation also covers:

• The AI investment boom, bubble concerns, and risks to the broader economy.

• Federal debt, annual deficits, and why Jim argues the distinction matters.

• Global bond markets and what developments in France and Japan could mean for U.S. interest rates.

• Why crude oil and diesel prices don’t always move together.

• How higher corn and soybean prices compare with increased diesel costs on the farm.

• SpaceX, Starlink, and the potential for better rural cell service.

For farmers preparing their 2027 budgets, this discussion connects the economic headlines to financing, input costs, and farm profitability.

Follow Jim on X: @JimIuorio

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#FarmLoans #InterestRates #FarmProfitability

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USDA’s surprise corn yield increase sent prices sharply lower. Can corn recover, and where should farmers look for grain marketing opportunities during harvest? Chris Barron and Daniel Elsner with Cargill in Cedar Rapids discuss the October WASDE report, corn and soybean markets, and decisions to consider for the week of October 12–16.

USDA raised its corn yield estimate by 2.7 bushels per acre to 181.2, increasing projected carryout despite stronger demand estimates. Daniel explains the technical support he’s watching and what could open the door to a 30–40 cent corn bounce.

They also discuss:

• Harvest basis opportunities when nearby farmers are busy cutting soybeans.

• Storage decisions, carrying costs, and the effect of interest on grain sales.

• Export demand, ethanol use, and South American weather.

• Why 2027 corn and soybean bids deserve another look.

With harvest demanding most of your attention, knowing your costs and revisiting your marketing plan can help you recognize opportunities when they appear.

#CornPrices #GrainMarketing #WASDE

Join us at the Ag View Executive Business Conference, January 20–22, 2027, in Hollywood Beach, Florida. Details and registration: ⁠https://conference.agviewsolutions.com⁠

Can corn prices recover while harvest picks up? Chris Barron and Duane Lowry discuss the corn and soybean market outlook for October 5–9, 2026, including the USDA Grain Stocks report, harvest delays, and decisions about storing grain or making sales.

Duane explains why he questions USDA’s corn production estimates and believes further reductions are possible. He also shares why he thinks managed money could remain interested in grain markets despite the recent selloff.

Topics include:

• Corn and soybean yield expectations as more combines get rolling.

• Why strong spot basis premiums could fade when harvest resumes.

• Storing corn, selling soybeans for cash flow, and evaluating basis and futures spreads.

• How war, China trade developments, and South American weather could change the outlook.

• Connecting 2027 grain sales with fertilizer purchases and other input commitments.

They also discuss why a rally could affect nearby corn contracts differently than December 2027 futures, and how that could influence new-crop marketing decisions.

#CornPrices #SoybeanPrices #GrainMarketing

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What could move corn and soybean markets this week? Jim McCormick, founding partner and COO of AgMarket.Net, joins the Ag View Pitch to break down China trade negotiations, the upcoming USDA Quarterly Grain Stocks report, harvest pressure, crop conditions, and the major risks facing grain markets heading into October.

Jim and Jeremy discuss what the latest U.S.-China trade developments could mean for corn and soybean demand, why Wednesday’s USDA grain stocks report could create major volatility, and what farmers should be watching as harvest progresses across the Corn Belt.

They also cover:

• Corn and soybean price outlooks

• China’s potential demand for U.S. grain

• USDA Quarterly Grain Stocks expectations

• Corn and soybean harvest conditions

• Yield variability across the Corn Belt

• Rising diesel and input costs

• Interest rates and the broader economy

• South American weather and El Niño risk

• Cattle and hog market outlooks

• Commercial grain storage decisions

• Knowing your true farm breakeven

• When to reward grain market rallies

• Building a grain marketing plan instead of reacting emotionally

With volatile markets, rising costs, uncertain export demand, and major USDA reports ahead, Jim explains why knowing your breakevens and having a marketing plan could be especially important over the next several months.

Subscribe to Ag View Pitch for weekly grain market updates, farm financial insights, commodity outlooks, and practical marketing discussions for farmers.

#GrainMarkets #CornPrices #SoybeanPrices #GrainMarketing #FarmMarkets #Agriculture #USDA #CornMarket #SoybeanMarket #AgMarkets

Register for the 2027 Ag View Executive Business Conference:⁠https://conference.agviewsolutions.com⁠

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Corn prices above $5 and soybeans near $13 have given farmers better marketing opportunities, but this market still needs fresh bullish news to keep speculative money engaged. With harvest approaching and the September 30 USDA Grain Stocks report ahead, the next move could happen quickly.

Chris Barron and Jarod Creed discuss:

• Early corn and soybean yield reports and why the yield debate may be on hold until January

• Strong corn demand, soybean crush margins, export sales and rising transportation costs

• Why higher grain prices could eventually weaken demand

• How to move past seller’s remorse and make disciplined 2027 grain sales

• What farmers should consider pricing before combines begin rolling

• Why MCO may be worth considering before September 30, including its 95% to 90% coverage band

• The December 11 ARC-County and PLC deadline and why some producers may want more data before making an election

Contact Jarod and the Elite Ag Insurance team:
https://eliteaginsurance.com
402-680-1744

#CornPrices #GrainMarketing #CropInsurance

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Artificial intelligence is changing agriculture faster than almost any technology we’ve seen before. But what does AI actually mean for farmers today, and how can you use it without getting lost in the hype?

In this episode of The Ag View Pitch, Chris sits down with AI and technology expert Scott Klososky to break down where AI in agriculture is right now, where it’s headed, and the practical ways farmers can start using tools like ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, and Grok today.

They discuss how farmers can use AI to:

• Save hours researching equipment, markets, parts, and business decisions
• Analyze farm financials and prepare for lender conversations
• Learn new topics and solve problems faster
• Research major equipment and land purchases
• Improve communication and decision-making within the farm
• Use voice AI from the cab, truck, or field
• Understand AI security and what information you should avoid uploading
• Prepare for AI agents that can monitor information and take actions automatically

They also look beyond the farm at some of the biggest questions surrounding artificial intelligence, including AI safety, cybersecurity, jobs, data centers, rural communities, and how quickly this technology could continue advancing.

AI is not just another piece of farm software. It is quickly becoming a tool farmers can use to research, learn, make decisions, save time, and run a better business.

Whether you’re brand new to AI or already using it every day, this conversation will give you practical ideas for what to try next and what to watch as AI continues to evolve.

Check out Farm Profit Manager: farmprofitmanager.app

#AI #Agriculture #Farming #ArtificialIntelligence #AgTech #FarmManagement #ChatGPT #FarmBusiness #FarmTechnology

Farm equipment inventory is creating some real opportunities this fall, but the right move depends heavily on machine age, hours, options, and the trade sitting behind it. Chris Barron talks with Brent Judisch of P&K Midwest about where deals are showing up on grain carts, combines, tractors, and tillage equipment, and why waiting until spring could leave farmers competing for the same clean used machines.

Brent brings nearly 40 years of equipment experience and farms himself. He explains:

• Why 1,100-bushel grain carts remain the sweet spot
• Where the best late-model combine and tractor opportunities are
• When equipment hours begin to hurt resale value
• Why putting a $500,000 tractor on a grain cart can drive up harvest costs
• Which tillage tools are gaining demand and which have become a buyer’s market
• The deck plates, guards, sickles, and chopper parts farmers often overlook before harvest
• Why farmers considering an upgrade may want to act after harvest instead of waiting until spring

If machinery changes are on your list, this conversation gives you a practical framework for deciding what to buy, trade, or keep.

#FarmEquipment #FarmMachinery #Harvest2026

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USDA lowered the 2026 U.S. corn yield to 178.5 bushels per acre, but corn still struggled to extend its rally. Chris Barron and grain market advisor Jeff Fichtelman explain why that muted response matters as harvest approaches, especially with funds heavily long, farmer selling ahead, and export demand beginning to show cracks.

They also look beyond the current crop. Chris shares early Farm Profit Manager cost-of-production data for 2027, while Jeff explains why roughly $5.30 futures may offer a strong place to begin pricing next year’s corn. They cover seller’s remorse, storage, basis, HTA fees, upside calls, and the question every farmer holding grain needs to answer: What exactly are you waiting for?

• USDA’s 178.5-bushel U.S. corn yield and 219-bushel Iowa estimate

• Why corn failed to make new highs after the September crop report

• The risk of a fast fund exit if market momentum turns lower

• Why soybean prices deserve caution despite strong demand arguments

• Early 2027 corn and soybean cost-of-production trends

• When to sell cash grain, use an HTA, or buy March calls

• How to build a grain marketing plan around margin instead of emotion

Register for the 2027 Ag View Executive Business Conference, January 20–22 in Hollywood Beach, Florida:
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#CornPrices #GrainMarketing #USDAReport