Bloomberg Intelligence

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Bloomberg Intelligence hosted by Paul Sweeney and Alix Steel 

*Broadcasting live from Bloomberg Invest*

Today's Podcast Features:

Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics and Policy Correspondent, discusses ISM services and ADP data, along with tariffs. Hiring at US companies slowed in February to the lowest pace since July, led by job cuts in the service sector and in regions of the US that were hit by severe weather. US service providers expanded in February at a faster pace as resilient demand helped drive a measure of employment to a more than three-year high.

Katie Fogertey, Chief Financial Officer at Shake Shack, discusses the company’s growth strategy, pricing dynamics, and expansion plan.
With inflation, tariffs, and supply chain disruptions affecting food and labor costs, Katie discusses how Shake Shack is balancing menu pricing and profitability while maintaining its premium brand appeal. 

Chris Hyzy, Chief Investment Officer, at Bank of America Private Bank and Merrill, talks about how high-net-worth and institutional investors are positioning their portfolios amid market volatility, inflation, and rising interest rates.
Chris talks about whether the traditional 60/40 portfolio model still works in today’s macroeconomic environment or if investors are shifting more toward alternatives like private equity, private credit, and real assets.

Yup Kim, CIO at Texas Municipal Retirement System, discusses how TMRS is managing a $40+ billion pension fund in today’s complex economic landscape, focusing on long-term sustainability, investment strategy, and risk management.

Purnima Puri, Governing Partner & Portfolio Manager for Public Credit, HPS Investment Partners, talks about the evolving landscape of private credit, leveraged finance, and alternative asset management in a high-interest rate environment.

Steven Meier, NY City Retirement Systems Asset Management CIO & Deputy Comptroller, talks about how NYCRS is navigating market volatility, rising interest rates, and long-term pension obligations, while balancing risk, return, and fiduciary responsibility.

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President Donald Trump acknowledged there may be an “adjustment period” as his tariffs take effect, but defended his push to remake the US economy and declared “momentum is back” in a primetime speech to Congress on Tuesday night.

“Tariffs are about making America rich again and making America great again. And it’s happening, and it will happen rather quickly,” Trump said in the longest-ever presidential address to a joint session. “There’ll be a little disturbance, but we’re okay with that. It won’t be much.”

Trump’s address comes at a pivotal moment. Data shows new strains on the economy as factory activity stagnates, inflation simmers, consumer confidence ebbs, and stocks lag behind equity markets in other countries.

Stocks swung wildly Tuesday following Trump’s most recent tariff actions against the US’s largest trading partners, with the S&P 500 Index closing at its lowest level since before the president’s election last year. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted the administration might announce a pathway for tariff relief for goods from Mexico and Canada — two of the countries hit — that are covered by a free trade agreement as soon as tomorrow.

For instant reaction and analysis to President Donald Trump's joint address to Congress, plus Michigan Democratic Senator Elissa Slotkin's speech in response, Bloomberg Balance of Power hosts Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz along with Bloomberg Surveillance cohost Annmarie Hordern speak with:

• • Bloomberg politics contributors Rick Davis and Jeanne Sheehan Zaino
  • US Secretary of Energy Chris Wright
  • US Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Scott Turner
  • Senator Adam Schiff of California

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Watch Alix and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.    

Bloomberg Intelligence hosted by Paul Sweeney and Alix Steel 

*Broadcasting live from Bloomberg Invest*

Today's Podcast Features:

Nathan Dean, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Policy Analyst, discusses President Donald Trump’s tariffs taking effect. Donald Trump delivered on his threat to hit Canada and Mexico with sweeping import levies and doubled an existing charge on China, spurring swift reprisals that plunged the world economy into a deepening trade war.

Robert Rubin, Senior Counselor, Centerview Partners; 70th US Secretary of the Treasury, discusses the biggest economic risks facing the U.S. and global markets. He also talks about how soaring national debt and deficits could impact long-term economic stability and whether Washington is underestimating fiscal risks in an era of rising interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty.

Mark Mahaney, Senior Managing Director at Evercore ISI, discusses the state of the tech sector, including how AI, digital advertising, and e-commerce are reshaping the industry. He also talks about whether the AI boom is sustainable or at risk of overheating, and which companies are best positioned for long-term AI-driven growth.

Bin Ren, Sigtech CEO, siscusses the evolving role of quantitative finance and AI in asset management. He also discusses how SigTech’s platform enables faster deployment of trading models, reducing time-to-market for investment strategies.

Marc Lipschultz, Blue Owl Capital Co-CEO, discusses the growing dominance of private credit as traditional banks face stricter regulations and reduced lending capacity. With interest rates remaining elevated, Marc discusses how is this affecting both private and public credit markets.

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President Donald Trump delivered on his threat to hit Canada and Mexico with sweeping import levies and doubled an existing charge on China, spurring swift reprisals that plunged the world economy into a deepening trade war.     

This podcast brings you the latest details and analysis, from Nathan Hager and Karen Moskow on Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition.     

You can subscribe to the Bloomberg Daybreak podcast here:   
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The US new tariffs — 25% duties on most Canadian and Mexican imports and raising the charge on China to 20% — impact roughly $1.5 trillion in annual imports, an expansive move signaling to markets that the Republican president is committed to wielding import duties to obtain fresh revenue and create domestic manufacturing jobs. 
Canada hit back with phased levies on $107 billion worth of US goods while China imposed tariffs of as high as 15%, mainly on American agricultural shipments. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum on Monday said her government would await Trump’s decision before reacting with any retaliatory measures and is expected to address reporters on Tuesday morning local time. 
The moves mark a new phase in Trump’s broadening economic and diplomatic reset of America’s place in the world. Confirmation of the levies lays to rest doubts the US president would actually follow through on his repeated threats to upend global economic ties to counter what he casts as imbalanced trade. 
“We are in a new era where the mantra is to protect markets and the US is leading in this,” said Alicia Garcia Herrero, chief Asia-Pacific economist at Natixis. “China retaliated focusing on Trump’s staunchest voters in the agriculture sector. But that is not going to stop him.” 
The tariffs bring American import levies to their highest average level seen since 1943, according to the Budget Lab at Yale. That would lead to as much as $2,000 in additional costs for US households. It also will mean significantly slower economic growth in the US, especially if other countries retaliate, according to a report published Monday. 
And Trump has indicated more tariffs are to come, including in April reciprocal tariffs on all US trading partners that have their own levies or other barriers on American products, as well as sectoral taxes of 25% on cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals. Those tariffs are also poised to be cumulative — in addition to any across-the-board tariff on a particular nation. 
Trump has also said a 25% tariff is in the works for the European Union and is investigating levies on copper and lumber imports. Steel and aluminum tariffs are also set to take effect on March 12, further impacting Canada and Mexico.
Financial markets largely took the moment the tariffs came into effect in stride — with Chinese stocks even climbing intraday. In the run-up to the deadline, though, US equities tumbled the most this year, while Treasury yields earlier fell to the lowest in four months and oil dropped to a three-month low. 
The Canadian government late Monday announced it will proceed with a sweeping package of counter-tariffs against US-made products. The first stage is 25% tariffs on about C$30 billion ($20.6 billion) worth of goods from US exporters to go into effect at the same time as the US levies. A second round of tariffs at the same rate will be placed on C$125 billion of products in three weeks — a list that will include big-ticket items like cars, trucks, steel and aluminum. 
“Canada will not let this unjustified decision go unanswered,” Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said in a statement. The retaliation plan is the same as the one he announced in February after Trump signed his executive order for broad tariffs. 

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Watch Alix and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.    

Bloomberg Intelligence hosted by Paul Sweeney and Alix Steel 

Today's Podcast Features:

Timothy Fiore, Chair for the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee, discusses ISM Manufacturing PMI data. US factory activity edged closer to stagnation in February, with orders and employment contracting, while a gauge of prices paid for materials surged to the highest since June 2022.

Josh Wingrove, Bloomberg Senior White House Reporter, discusses President Donald Trump being on the verge of slapping new tariffs on Canada and Mexico. The tariffs would put a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico, except Canadian energy, which would face a 10% rate, and would also double a tariff on China to 20%.

Jaewon Kang, Bloomberg Retail Reporter, talks about Kroger’s CEO resigning. Kroger replaced CEO Rodney McMullen following an investigation into his personal conduct, which was unrelated to the company's financial performance and didn't involve Kroger employees.

Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Markets Strategist at Invesco, discusses her outlook for the markets and Fed policy. She talks about the potential impact of tariffs on markets. Kristina also discusses the health of the consumer and why Walmart’s most recent earnings highlight economic uncertainty.

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On this podcast: Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, recaps Nvidia earnings. Daniel McGahn, AMSC CEO, discusses the energy sector. Michael Halen, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Restaurant and Foodservice Analyst, talks about Starbucks cutting 1,100 corporate jobs. Mark Gurman, Bloomberg Chief Correspondent on Global Technology, talks about Apple saying it will add 20,000 U.S jobs. Drew Reading, Bloomberg Intelligence U.S Homebuilding Analyst, discusses Home Depot earnings. Matthew Palazola, Bloomberg Intelligence, Senior Analyst, P&C Insurance, talks Berkshire Hathaway earnings. Devin Leonard, Bloomberg Businessweek Senior Global Business Writer, discusses the Bloomberg Big Take story “Walmart Wants to Be Something for Everyone in a Divided America.”

Bloomberg Intelligence, the research arm of Bloomberg L.P., has more than 400 professionals who provide in-depth analysis on more than 2,000 companies and 135 industries while considering strategic, equity and credit perspectives. BI also provides interactive data from over 500 independent contributors. It is available exclusively for Bloomberg Terminal subscribers.

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Priya Misra, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, at JPMorgan Asset Management, discusses the latest US economic data and the markets. Dr Ariel Cohen, Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, joins to discuss today’s Trump, Zelenskiy meeting. Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, discusses the latest on the markets.

Hosts: Paul Sweeney and John Tucker

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Brendan Murray, Bloomberg Global Trade Editor, discusses President Donald Trump’s tariffs. Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, joins to talk Nvidia earnings. Frank Monkam, Head of Macro Trading at Buffalo Bayou, discusses the latest on the markets.

Hosts: Paul Sweeney and Alix Steel

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Nvidia, the chipmaker at the center of an AI spending boom, gave solid quarterly results and a bullish revenue forecast for the current period, even if the numbers didn’t reach the blowout level that some investors were banking on.

The outlook comes at a shaky time for the AI industry. Nvidia shares have dipped this year on concerns that data center operators will slow spending. Chinese startup DeepSeek also sparked fears that chatbots can be developed on the cheap, potentially reducing the need for Nvidia’s powerful chips for AI.

For instant reaction, Bloomberg Businessweek hosts Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with analysts and experts from across the Bloomberg newsroom, including:

• Bloomberg News earnings reporter Redd Brown
• Bloomberg Technology co-host Caroline Hyde
• Bloomberg Intelligence senior tech industry analyst Mandeep Singh
• Bloomberg News senior editor for technology and strategic industries Michael Shepard

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Erik Wasson, Bloomberg Congressional Reporter, discusses House Republicans passing a budget blueprint calling for deep cuts in safety-net programs such as Medicaid, paving the way for $4.5 trillion in tax cuts. Daniel McGahn, AMSC CEO, discusses company earnings and the energy sector. Matt Stucky, Chief Portfolio Manager, Equities, at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, discusses the markets and looks ahead to Nvidia earnings.

Hosts: Paul Sweeney and Alix Steel

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