Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature a conversation with Angela Stent.

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- Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors
- Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro
- Gennadiy Goldberg, Head: US Rates Strategy at TD Securities
- Kelly Grieco, Senior Fellow at the Stimson Center

Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, joins to discuss the outlook for markets and the labor market ahead of Jay Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro, talks about the chances of a September rate cut as mixed data on inflation and the consumer come in. Gennadiy Goldberg, Head: US Rates Strategy at TD Securities, discusses the Fed's rate easing cycle and when it could begin. Kelly Grieco, Senior Fellow at the Stimson Center, breaks down the Trump-Putin summit and what's next for the war in Ukraine.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 18th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Michael Darda, Chief Economist at Roth Capital Partners, joins to discuss the Fed's case for a rate cut and what he expects from Jackson Hole this week. Traders are staying cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s annual retreat at Jackson Hole later this week, with Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech keenly watched for guidance on a September interest-rate cut.
2) Blake Gwinn, Head of US Rates Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, joins to discuss his rate cut call as traders prep for Jay Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Investor expectations for monetary easing next month fluctuated in recent days, pricing in more than a quarter-point cut at one point, amid mixed signals on inflation and the strength of US consumers.
3) Angela Stent, Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institute, offers her analysis of the Trump-Putin summit and what Russian President Vladimir Putin gained from the meeting. President Trump and Vladimir Putin agreed that the US could offer security guarantees to Ukraine, according to Steve Witkoff, Trump's special envoy. The details of the security guarantees and any potential territorial concessions remain unclear, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio offering less certainty on the topic than Witkoff.
4) Kona Haque, Head of Commodities Research at ED&F Man, discusses her note on the major moves in coffee prices and how tariffs will affect it, and offers her macro and oil outlook. Coffee remains highly volatile due to geopolitical and weather instability.

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US President Donald Trump called his meeting with Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin “extremely productive” but indicated that a deal to end the war had still not been finalized, adding that he would speak to NATO allies and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy.

“There’s no deal until there’s a deal,” Trump said Friday in Anchorage, Alaska as he stood alongside Putin for a joint event. 

Putin spoke first at the event, casting the conversations as useful and said they were held “in a constructive atmosphere.” He talked of unspecified agreements with Trump, and suggested that Ukraine was only one of multiple issues discussed, pointing to the potential for increased trade and business cooperation as well as work in the Arctic and in space exploration.

The event followed the longest ever face-to-face meeting between the two leaders.

On this special edition of Bloomberg Balance of Power, we hear instant reaction to and analysis of the summit and the press conference. Host Joe Mathieu speaks with:

• Bloomberg Politics Contributors Rick Davis and Jeanne Sheehan Zaino.
• Bloomberg Managing Editor Kevin Whitelaw. 
• Bloomberg Chief Political Correspondent Annmarie Hordern.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Peter Tchir & Jennifer Lee.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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- Binky Chadha, Chief US Equity & Global Strategist at Deutsche Bank
- Eddie Fishman, Professor at Columbia University
- Marc Sumerlin, Managing Partner and founder at Evenflow Macro
- Veronica Clark, Director: Research at Citi

Binky Chadha, Chief US Equity & Global Strategist at Deutsche Bank, joins to discuss his S&P target and outlook for equities amid policy and global uncertainty. Eddie Fishman, Professor at Columbia University, previews the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska. Marc Sumerlin, Managing Partner and founder at Evenflow Macro, discusses the latest on the Fed and chair candidates. Veronica Clark, Director: Research at Citi, offers her outlook on markets, the economy, and inflation.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 15th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Kate Moore, CIO at Citi Wealth, brings us into retail sales and discusses the outlook for equities and rate cuts amid concern over an inflation resurgence. S&P 500 futures edged higher 0.1% after a flat session Thursday, following back-to-back record closes earlier in the week, after a surprising PPI report that showed higher services costs in the US as tariffs take effect.
2) Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, talks about how markets might play or shrug off the Trump-Putin summit and inflation fears reigniting in the US. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 advanced 0.2% toward the highest level since March amid guarded hopes that Friday’s US-Russia summit could be an initial step toward brokering a peace deal in Ukraine and thawing relations.
3) Heidi Crebo-Rediker, Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, talks about the Trump-Putin summit and why she believes there's "no chance" that Russia negotiates a ceasefire on acceptable terms for Europe and Ukraine. President Trump and Russian president Vladimir Putin will measure success at their summit in Alaska very differently, with Trump seeking a ceasefire in Ukraine and Putin seeing the meeting as a win without making concessions.
4) Jennifer Lee, Senior Economist at BMO Capital Markets, reacts to retail sales and discusses the paradigm shifts across global economies.

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The Trump administration is in talks with Intel Corp. to have the US government potentially take a stake in the beleaguered chipmaker, according to people familiar with the plan, in the latest sign of the White House’s willingness to blur the lines between state and industry. The deal would help shore up Intel’s planned factory hub in Ohio, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the deliberations are private. The company had once promised to turn that site into the world’s largest chipmaking facility, though it’s been repeatedly delayed. The size of the potential stake isn’t clear.

The plans stem from a meeting this week between President Donald Trump and Intel Chief Executive Officer Lip-Bu Tan, the people said. While the details are still being sorted, the idea is for the US government to pay for the stake, one of the people said. Another cautioned that the plans remain fluid. Shares of Intel climbed as much as 8.9% on Thursday.

For instant reaction and analysis, Bloomberg Businessweek Daily hosts Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with:

• Bloomberg senior executive editor for Global Tech Tom Giles
• Bloomberg News deals reporter Ryan Gould

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Jim Bianco & Scott Ladner.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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- Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research
- Norman Roule, Senior Adviser at Center for Strategic & International Studies
- David Malpass, former President at The World Bank
- Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP

Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research, discusses the equity bull case amid clarity on tariff policy and the potential for rate cuts. Norman Roule, Senior Adviser at Center for Strategic & International Studies, previews the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska. David Malpass, former President at The World Bank, discusses political and economic priorities for the second Trump administration with just over a year to go until the 2026 Midterms. Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP, reacts to jobless claims and PPI and talks about the health of the US labor market.

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