Bloomberg Surveillance

Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management Chief Economist, says the Fed is stepping harder on the brakes. Earl Davis, BMO Asset Management Head of Fixed Income & Money Markets, doesn't expect any Fed hikes next year. Pierre Ferragu, New Street Research Head of Global Technology Infrastructure, says China has to be very careful with what they do with Apple because China depends on Apple for many things. Steven Major, HSBC Global Head Of Fixed Income Research, says yields will probably go sideways. Anna Ashton, Eurasia Group Director China Corporate Affairs and US-China, says the China slowdown is systemic.
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Anastasia Amoroso, iCapital Chief Investment Strategist, suggests buying the AI dip. Stephanie Roth, J.P. Morgan Private Bank Senior Markets Economist, says it's been a pretty impressive cooling of the labor market over the course of this year. Michael Nathanson, SVB MoffettNathanson Senior Research Analyst, discusses the Disney, Charter Communications standoff. Kona Haque, ED&F Man Head of Research, says oil at $90 a barrel is "significant" as it pushes the whole commodity index higher. Daniel Tannebaum, Oliver Wyman Global Anti-Financial Crime Practice Leader, says the US is still calibrating how to respond to China.
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Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, says the US is staring down the barrel of a sluggish economy. Nela Richardson, ADP Chief Economist, says the Fed's job is more complicated now. Kevin Book, Clearview Energy Partners Co-Founder, says there is still room to run for oil. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, says a Fed cut could cause a weaker dollar and potentially ease some China pressures. David Lebovitz, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, expects airlines to continue to raise prices to defend their margins.
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Neil Dutta, US Economic Research Head, Renaissance Macro Research says the Fed shouldn't signal rate cuts in 2024. Katy Kaminski, AlphaSimplex Chief Research Strategist sees higher yields for a little longer. Wendy Schiller, Taubman Center for American Politics & Policy Director at Brown University discusses the latest Wall Street Journal presidential poll.David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group, Co-Founder & "Bloomberg Wealth with David Rubenstein" Host talks about his interview with legendary investor Jeremey Grantham for "Bloomberg Wealth".

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Julie Su, US Acting Labor Secretary gives the Biden Administrations reaction to the August payrolls report. Following the jobs report, Randall Kroszner, Fmr. Fed Governor & University of Chicago Booth School Professor says we're seeing the kind of goldilocks scenario the Fed wants. Jeff Rosenberg, Blackrock Portfolio Manager of The Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund says the main message from the August jobs report is that the labor market is normalizing. Sarah Hunt, Alpine Saxon Woods Chief Market Strategist says the August jobs data was what the Fed was looking for.

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Andrew Hollenhorst, Citi Chief US Economist expects the Fed to pause in September. John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist is sticking with his bullish forecast, expecting the S&P to finish the year at 4,900. Cameron Dawson, Newedge Wealth Chief Investment Officer says there is no evidence that a recession is imminent. Bloomberg's Jan-Patrick Barnert discusses UBS's record breaking profit. Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing F1 Driver looks ahead to the Monza Grand Prix this weekend.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance 

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Ian Lyngen, BMO Capital Markets Head of US Rates Strategy, says the 10-year treasury is a 'screaming buy.' Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley Chief Global Economist, still sees the US avoiding recession. Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says China is clearly experiencing trouble. Margie Patel, Allspring Global Investments Senior Portfolio Manager, says there's no recession in sight because everything in the US is pretty well balanced.
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University of California at Berkeley economist Barry Eichengreen presented a paper on ballooning government debt at this year’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. On this bonus content episode of the Odd Lots podcast, Joe and Tracy speak with Eichengreen about his research, why it's of importance to central bankers, and what history says about the prospects for fiscal consolidation.

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Chris Verrone, Strategas Partner & Head of Technical & Macro Strategy, says it's hard to embrace the short dollar call. Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, says the bar for a September rate hike is high. John Lovallo, UBS US Homebuilders & Building Products Equity Research Analyst, says the supply chains for most US homebuilders have gotten better but the biggest headwind is labor. Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Managing Director & Senior Portfolio Manager, expects a strong fourth quarter. Sheila Kahyaoglu, Jefferies Senior Equity Research Analyst, discusses the state of airline travel post-summer.
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In the global financial system, US Treasuries play a special role. So what can be done to improve the way Treasuries are bought and sold? In this episode of Odd Lots, Joe and Tracy speak with Stanford University finance professor Darrell Duffie, who just presented a paper about this very issue to central bankers at the annual Jackson Hole symposium.

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