Bloomberg Surveillance

David Malpass, World Bank President, says developing countries are under immense debt pressure in the midst of a global pandemic. Jason Furman, Harvard Kennedy School Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy, says the current recession is unlike the last financial crisis because there has been a V-shape recovery in consumer spending. Carsten Nickel, Teneo Intelligence Managing Director for Europe, says EU leaders joining together to create a recovery fund is politically transformative. Dan Ives, Wedbush Securities Analyst, says Amazon and Google seem to be the technology companies most susceptible to regulatory risk in the next year.

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Abigail Wozniak, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Opportunity & Inclusive Growth Institute Director & Senior Research Economist, says it is imperative for small and medium-sized businesses to receive continual support. Brian Levitt, Invesco Global Market Strategist, says a protracted U-shaped recovery could be sufficient for the equity market. Wolfgang Munchau, Eurointelligence Director, says it would be reckless to think that the proposed EU virus stimulus is the beginning of the end of the European debt crisis. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Bank Analyst, gives the banks a B+ for the second quarter.

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Geoffrey Okamoto, IMF First Deputy Managing Director, says certain sectors are not going to be as economically viable if their business models can't adapt to the structural changes caused by the coronavirus pandemic. Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, says a NASDAQ retraction of 10 percent could be a healthy development in the long-term. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Head of Macro Strategies, expects central banks to remain stuck in quantitative easing for a very long time. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives Founder & President, says the U.S. economic outlook could take a turn for the worse again as some states increase virus restrictions.

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Patrick Harker, Philadelphia Fed President, says the economy can't get back to full throttle until we get the virus under control. Paschal Donohoe, Ireland Finance Minister, says big digital companies like Apple need to be taxed fairly and effectively. Dan Tannebaum, Oliver Wyman Partner, says investors evacuating the Hong Kong market at this point would be acting prematurely. Jared Woodard, Bank of America Securities Head of Research Investments Committee, says investors should start taking a peak at European banks for potential dividends.

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George Rusnak, Wells Fargo Co-Head of Global Fixed Income Strategy, says the fiscal and monetary stimulus injected into the U.S. economy is necessary but will cause challenges over time. David Bianco, DWS Investment Management Chief Investment Strategist of Americas & Head of U.S. Equities, says the American financial system is sound, despite a few challenges. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says everybody focuses on the yield curve when they should be looking at the lack of revenue growth. Chris Verrone, Strategas Research Partners Head of Technical Analysis, says the signal from credit markets is a more important indicator for investors than the daily virus count.

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Binky Chadha, Deutsche Bank Chief Global Strategist & Head of Asset Allocation, says need rates to start going up in order for cyclicals to perform. Mike Pyle, BlackRock Global Chief Investment Strategist, says he has confidence in European policy ahead of the EU Summit's proposed recovery fund. Lewis Alexander, Nomura Securities Chief U.S. Economist, says China's economy can't expand unless the rest of the world recovers and export demand picks up. Marta Wosinska, Duke-Margolis Center for Health Policy Deputy Director of Policy, says there are certain states in the U.S. where in-person learning can occur safely this fall.

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Vitor Gaspar, IMF Director of Fiscal Affairs, says global debt is at some of the highest levels in history. Jim Paulsen, Leuthold Weeden Capital Management Chief Investment Officer, says U.S. markets are experiencing an expansion in a new bull market. Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz Chief Economic Advisor, says the migration of layoffs from small to large companies is causing an economic shift. Helane Becker, Cowen Senior Research Analyst, says up to 200,000 airline industry employees could lose their jobs in the fourth quarter.

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Rob Waldner, Invesco Advisers Chief Strategist of Fixed Income & Head of Multi-Sector, says investors should do their homework before investing in assets that are dependent on economic recovery. Jill Carey Hall, Bank of America U.S. Equity Strategist & Head of U.S. SMID Cap Strategy, says small cap companies were a lot worse positioned before Covid-19 than before previous recessions. Michael Gapen, Barclays Chief U.S. Economist, says the service sector has only recovered about one-third of its lost jobs. Jason Farley, Johns Hopkins Nursing Professor, describes how antibody testing can help us determine a more accurate Covid-19 infection rate.

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Ebrahim Rahbari, Citigroup Global Markets Global Head of FX Analysis & Content, says Brexit uncertainty will inevitably weigh on sterling and that the currency has found its bottom. Rep. Patrick McHenry, U.S. House Financial Services Committee Ranking Republican, says a tapering down of unemployment benefits may help in safely getting America's workforce back to normal. Ron Kirk, Former U.S. Trade Representative, says U.S. trade tariffs have compromised our ability to access the tools we need to fight Covid-19. Austan Goolsbee, University Of Chicago's Booth School of Business Professor, says the economies in the U.S. and Sweden will have a hard time recovering if the virus is not contained soon.

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This is a special Bloomberg Surveillance podcast with our Chief Washington Correspondent Kevin Cirilli. Kevin spent the day talking to officials in the halls of the West Wing and we're putting those conversations together for you in this special podcast.

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