Bloomberg Surveillance

Marvin Loh, State Street Senior Global Market Strategist, says big tech stocks can maintain their competitive advantage. Rep. French Hill, Republican U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 2nd congressional district, says that not having a functioning supply chain will affect every state in the U.S. Stephen Schork, The Schork Report Founder & Editor, says the economy is dead and that we are in a great depression. Joshua Sharfstein Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean for Public Health Practice and Community Engagement, explains the best way to interpret coronavirus studies as more start coming out. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor, says historically, societies affected by plagues have taken on nationalistic behaviors.

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Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, says that U.S. policy measures have inevitably expanded debt as far as the eye can see. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, says U.S. GDP will see the steepest drop in modern history due to the COVID-19 lockdowns. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, expects economic recovery in the second half of next year, but worries about the unanticipated impact of financing 'an awful lot of misery' until that time. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Head of U.S. and Americas Programme, says it's difficult to predict how much more stimulus is needed to combat the coronavirus’s economic impact. Dr. Andrew Pekosz, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Professor and Virologist, says the broad spectrum of disease induced by the novel coronavirus complicates the effectiveness of drug treatments.

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Paul Sankey, Mizuho Americas Oil & Gas Analyst, says crude futures could trade negatively again in May, if commodity trade advisors who must get out of their positions the day before settlement "get caught again." Savita Subramanian, Bank of America Head of U.S. Equity and Quantitative Strategy, says earnings have come down, but prices are still relatively high. Narayana Kocherlakota, University of Rochester Economics Professor, Former Head of the Minneapolis Fed and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says that as long as interest rates & inflation remain low, congress and the Fed will continue to feel comfortable with expansionary programs. Jason Farley, John Hopkins University Nursing Professor, says he fully expects a second wave of COVID-19 infections. Jon Lieber, Eurasia Group Managing Director for the United States, says President Trump's immigration order is less about protecting jobs and more about setting up a contrast on immigration with Joe Biden in the fall election.

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Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Analyst, says oil production has to fall quickly for prices to recover. Karen G. Mills, Harvard Business School Senior Fellow and Former Head of U.S. Small Business Administration, says she is more optimistic about this next round of funding for small businesses. Lauren Sauer, Johns Hopkins University Assistant Professor of Emergency Medicine, says the CDC needs support to roll out broad, systematic testing. Sebastien Galy, Nordea Asset Management Senior Macro Strategist, says the United States cannot sustain the decline in oil prices for long.

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Greg Boutle, BNP Paribas US Head of Equity and Derivative Strategy, says equities are now

more expensive than they were before the recent turmoil. Martijn Rats, Morgan Stanley Global Oil Strategist, says the restart of oil demand will likely be uneven across crude products so we'll likely see more driving before flying again. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, says the state of New York is projected to lose at least $15 Billion dollars in revenue in this budget year. Michelle Patch, Johns Hopkins School of Nursing Assistant Professor, examines the emotional toll of the coronavirus pandemic.

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Jim Caron, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says this is a bond picker's market and investors need to be selective. Erik Nielsen, UniCredit Group Chief Economist, says that this recession will be deep with a very brief duration. Josh Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean for Public Health Practice and Community Engagement, says that we have seen a plateau in virus cases in the United States. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, says meaningful climate change policies could be followed now that don't involve shutting down the entire world.

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Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity Chief Market Strategist, says he would not bet against the market and that this is a good time to remain neutral. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester says it’s going to take time for economy to reopen and that it needs to be done very carefully. Dr. Andrew Pekosz, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Professor and Virologist, says that right now there really is no good evidence to suggest that people are getting reinfected after their first exposure. Jared Bernstein, Center on Budget and Policy Administration Senior Fellow and Former Economic Adviser to Vice President Joseph Biden, says the U.S. is very behind the curve on testing for COVID-19.

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Savita Subramanian, Bank of America Head of U.S. Equity and Quantitative Strategy, says we're in a fast and furious market. Jason Farley, Johns Hopkins University Professor of Nursing, says we are being very resilient in our efforts to make sure we have enough personal protective equipment. Michelle Meyer, BofA Securities Head of U.S. Economics, says the latest U.S. jobless claims numbers suggest an unemployment rate of 14%-15%. Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Securities Global Head of Economic Research, says unemployment is short of Great Depression levels in large part due to the Fed and Congress. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, says the current plan to reopen the economy is a mess because of the White House administration. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Co-Chairman and host of Peer-to-Peer Conversations, discusses his interview with Didi President Jean Liu.

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Joseph Stiglitz, Columbia University Professor, says Trump's decision to withhold W.H.O. funding is like defunding a fire department in the middle of a fire. Lauren Sauer Johns Hopkins University Assistant Professor of Emergency Medicine, says a coronavirus vaccine for the general public is likely one year away. Ken Leon, CFRA Director of Equity Research, says there is real risk in commercial real estate and construction at this time. Bill Priest, Epoch Investment Partners Executive Chairman and Co-Chief Investment Officer, says don't expect any buybacks by any U.S. bank this year.

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Tom Michaud, KBW CEO, says he has never seen a recession come this quickly and this hard. Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of U.S. Equity Strategy, warns that earnings season will show collateral damage from the coronavirus pandemic. Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Acting Chief Economist, says the unemployment rate will not go back to 3.5 percent this year. Michelle Patch, Johns Hopkins University School of Nursing Assistant Professor, details the physical and emotional toll taken on by medical workers during the COVID-19 epidemic. Harry Tchilinguirian, BNP Paribas Head of Commodity Research & Senior Oil Analyst, does not expect a sustained recovery in the oil price until pent-up demand is released in Q3.

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