Bloomberg Surveillance

Ben Laidler, Tower Hudson Research CEO, thinks valuations are very well supported for U.S. markets. Representative John Yarmuth, Democrat from Kentucky and Chairman of the Budget Committee, says Donald Trump is the biggest motivating factor for Democrats right now. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, says the Chinese threat to U.S. hegemony is a long term challenge rather than an immediate crisis. Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, doesn't see the Fed moving on rates anytime before the U.S. election. John Butler, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Telecoms Analyst, says the T-Mobile-Sprint deal will allow T-Mobile to move more aggressively on 5G.

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John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist, says there is a remarkable resilience built into the global economy. Jared Bernstein, Senior Fellow at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities and Former Chief Economist and Economic Adviser to Vice President Joseph Biden, argues that Republicans want to get rid of safety net programs that bridge the gap between what people earn and what they actually need. Kit Juckes, Societe Generale Chief FX Strategist, does not see much that can prevent U.S. growth from slowing further. Sarah House, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Economist, says as the economy slowed over the past year, demand for labor has shifted downward.

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David Herro, Harris Associates Chief Investment Officer, calls for Credit Suisse chairman Urs Rohner to resign. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, talks about jobs and salaries, and the recent income trend for people moving into prime of life. Elisa Martinuzzi, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says Credit Suisse's strategy will not take a turn under the new leadership of incoming CEO Thomas Gottstein. Lawrence Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says the U.S. is engaged with China over export purchases.

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David Folkerts-Landau, Deutsche Bank Chief Economist, says there is no question that the movement away from the political center is infecting monetary and fiscal policy. Jeffrey Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research, says the biggest impact from the coronavirus is coming from the quarantine. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy, says Senator Romney will receive significant backlash for his conviction vote against President Trump. Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says we are in a liquidity driven bull market and the market is being traded very defensively. Lanhee Chen, Hoover Institution Research Fellow and Policy Director for Mitt Romney's 2012 Presidential Campaign, reacts to Senator Mitt Romney's decision to vote to convict President Trump of abusing his power.

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Steve Eisman, Eisman Group Neuberger Berman Senior Portfolio Manager, discusses the companies he is currently shorting. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, talks about parabolic moves, like the one in Tesla, reminding they almost always return to the point of breakout; also Kass explains why he thinks shares of Amazon will trade $5000 a share by 2023. John Hudak, Brookings Senior Fellow Governance Studies, hopes this is the end of the Iowa caucuses. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says that the Fed cutting rates has created a huge tailwind for risk assets and commodities. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says moderate growth is the new normal for 2020.

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Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, says the drop in Chinese tourism as a result of the coronavirus will be a major hit to other countries' economies. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Head of U.S. & Americas Programme, says the delay in the Iowa Caucus could cast a shadow over the results. Michael Nathanson, Moffettnathanson Senior Research Analyst, says the cost inflection point may have come come for cord-cutting. Dr. Anthony Fauci Director of National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, says the coronavirus looks increasingly like a pandemic. Gene Munster, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of Loup Ventures, says Tesla deserves a valuation like Apple because it is a combination of hardware, software, and services.

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John Ryding, Brean Capital Chief Economic Advisor, says the coronavirus is more of a supply shock than a demand shock outside of China. Miranda Carr, Haitong Securities Senior Analyst, says consumption might see a bigger hit from the coronavirus than manufacturing. Dr. Amesh Adalja, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Senior Scholar, expects the 2% fatality rate from the coronavirus to come down as we gain more patient data. Mickey Levy, Berenberg Capital Markets Chief Economist U.S., Americas & Asia, says China’s coronavirus is dampening effects on global trade and could postpone a widely anticipated pickup. Edward Morse, Citi Global Head of Commodities, discusses their latest cut in oil prices forecast.

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Dr. Peter Hotez, Dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor College of Medicine in Houston, says the coronavirus is just as capable of being transmitted as SARS, but it is not as lethal. Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research Strategy, details how China's political system is affecting its response to the coronavirus. Antony Phillipson, British Consul General to New York and Her Majesty's Trade Commissioner for North America, discusses next steps after the U.K. leaves the EU today. Margaret Patel, Wells Fargo Senior Portfolio Manager, says low inflation will be with us for the foreseeable future. Eileen Burbidge, Passion Capital Partner, says Amazon "absolutely" has more room to run from here.

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David Blanchflower, Dartmouth College Economist and former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, says the Fed is now paying the consequences of its rate rises. Randall Kroszner, Former Fed Board Governor and University of Chicago Booth School Professor, says central banks not reaching their inflation goals is potentially raising questions about their credibility. Daniel Morris, BNP Paribas Senior Investment Strategist, says U.S. GDP Growth looks quite solid. Mark Mahaney, RBC Analyst, thinks that we have reached peak regulation in big tech.

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Vincent Reinhart, BNY Mellon Asset Management Chief Economist says central banks do not create extra demand; they borrow it. William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former Fed President, discusses his latest column on the repo market. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School Professor and Former White House Economic Adviser to President Obama, says there are parts of the economy that are quite weak despite the unemployment rate being low. Dr. Jennifer Rohn, University College London Principal Research Associate, says there may be a delay of developing information surrounding the coronavirus coming from China. Dan Ives, Wedbush Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, says the IPhone 11 product cycle is much stronger than anyone could have anticipated, especially in China.

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