Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Glenn Hubbard & Frances Donald.

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- Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo
- Jim Bullard, Dean: Purdue University Business School
- Jim DeMare, President: Global Markets at Bank of America
- Scott Kirby, United Airlines CEO

Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo, discusses his recent notes on the US economy and AI and also discusses Fed independence. Jim Bullard, Dean: Purdue University Business School, talks about the importance of Federal Reserve independence and his path for rate cuts. Jim DeMare, President: Global Markets at Bank of America, discusses the health of the US economy and global economies, as well as the global inflation outlook. Scott Kirby, United Airlines CEO, discusses earnings and the outlook for the airlines industry.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 17th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Glenn Hubbard, Dean Emeritus at Columbia Business School, talks supply side economics and how it's been put into practice by the Trump administration as well as the impact of Fed independence on the US economy. President Trump said he would send letters to more than 150 countries notifying them their tariff rates could be 10% or 15%. Trump said the rate would "be probably 10 or 15%, we haven’t decided yet" in an interview with Real America’s Voice.
2) Lakshman Achuthan, COO and co-founder at ECRI, on his new, un-released research on a forward-looking, non consensus disinflation view. US Treasuries rose for the first time in a week after better-than-estimated producer prices data soothed fears that tariff-stoked inflation will push back Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.
3) Dana Telsey, CEO and Chief Research Officer at Telsey Advisory Group, parses through today's retail sales figures.
4) Frances Donald, Chief Economist at RBC, on the US labor market and Fed independence concerns. President Trump said he's not planning to fire Jerome Powell, but added that he doesn't rule out anything, unless Powell has to leave for fraud. Trump's comments came after he ran the idea of sacking Powell by a receptive group of Republican lawmakers, and an aide said he was likely to follow through. Trump's pressure campaign against Powell is rooted in his view that the Fed is keeping interest rates too high, and he has begun the search for a successor, with his term as chair ending next May.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on whether diamonds are luxury anymore and Bloomberg's report that cinemas are considering a launch of a large screen brand to challenge Imax.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with David Malpass & Amanda Lynam.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

President Donald Trump is likely to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell soon, a White House official said, and discussed the possible move in a meeting with congressional Republicans on Tuesday night.   

While the lawmakers voiced support for the move, which would likely roil financial markets and lead to a consequential legal showdown, Trump has not made a final decision and could change his mind, according to the official who requested anonymity to discuss a private conversation.   

In response to multiple similar reports, President Trump says his administration is “very concerned”, but “not planning on doing anything” about Fed Chair Jerome Powell.   

Paul Sweeney and Lisa Mateo speak with Bloomberg's Chris Condon about the potential fallout.

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- David Malpass, former President at the World Bank
- Devin Ryan, Managing Director at Citizens
- Pierre Ferragu, Head: Global Technology at New Street Research
- Kara Murphy, CIO at Kestra Investment Management

David Malpass, former President at the World Bank, joins to discuss President Trump's economic and political priorities both domestically and abroad. Devin Ryan, Managing Director at Citizens, reacts to bank earnings. Pierre Ferragu, Head: Global Technology at New Street Research, talks about Nvidia's valuation after the latest move by the Trump administration on chip trade curbs and also talks about the broader outlook for big tech. Kara Murphy, CIO at Kestra Investment Management, offers her equity outlook for the second half of 2025.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 16th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Amanda Lynam, Head of Macro Credit Research at BlackRock, joins to talk about corporate credit resilience amid continued policy shifts. Stocks slipped as negative tariff headlines and dialed-back expectations for interest-rate cuts prompted doubts about the market’s ability to sustain recent highs. US Treasuries held steady.
2) Gerard Cassidy, Head: US Bank Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, wraps big bank earnings. Investors will continue to follow bank executives' guidance during and after earnings on how they plan to allocate extra capital and drive larger profits.
3) David Malpass, former President at the World Bank, discusses the economic and geopolitical policies of the second Trump administration and what President Trump must do to gain broader support in his second term. It comes amid a rift within the Republican Party over the release of documents related to Jeffrey Epstein and uncertainty over President Trump's tariff policy.
4) Patrick Armstrong, CIO at Plurimi Wealth, brings us into PPI and talks about how inflation could weigh on markets. Robin Brooks, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, wrote that “the tariff inflation shock starts to hit” and this effect will keep building in intensity as pre-tariff inventories are depleted.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a New York Post story on the redesigned Waldorf-Astoria and a Boston Globe column on the seven best lobster rolls around Boston.

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Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.

In this episode, we feature conversations with Barry Ritholtz & Gene Munster.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF

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- Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary
- Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods
- Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research
- David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management

Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary, joins to discuss President Trump's economic priorities and tariff policy in the months ahead. Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods, talks about the sustainability of the equity rally ahead of today's CPI reading and also breaks down the biggest risks to the market. Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research and David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management react to CPI.

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Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 15th, 2025
Featuring:
1) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU, and Greg Boutle, Head of US Equity & Derivative Strategy at BNP Paribas, react to CPI and discuss their market and economic outlooks. Stocks advanced in early trading after Nvidia secured US assurances to resume sales of some artificial intelligence chips to China.
2) Alison Williams, Senior Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, wraps this morning's bank earnings. America’s biggest banks are heading into earnings season with tailwinds from trading and lending as they benefit from market volatility and steady borrowing costs. JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup report today.
3) Huw van Steenis, Vice Chair at Oliver Wyman, joins to talk about how private credit is reshaping portfolios. It comes off the heels of a recent Bloomberg report showing family offices, representing around $3.1 trillion globally, are seeking new sources of returns as private equity distributions slow. According to the 2025 BlackRock Family Office Survey, a third of respondents wanted to increase their allocations to private credit, the highest of any asset class.
4) Jan Szilagyi, CEO of Reflexivity (formerly Toggle AI), talks about AI growth amid Nvidia's rally and what his company's doing to use AI to help investors. Nvidia plans to resume sales of its H20 AI chip in China after securing Washington's assurances that such shipments would get approved. The move is seen as a "massive win" for Nvidia's Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang, and is also viewed positively by Vey-Sern Ling, managing director at Union Bancaire Privee, who says it is "obviously positive" for Nvidia, the AI semiconductor supply chain, and China tech platforms.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on the plunging dollar leaving American travelers with less buying power this summer and a Bloomberg report on Starbucks corporate managers working remotely having to pack their bags and relocate in a year.

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