LPL Research

Checking In on Consumers and China | LPL Market Signals


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In the latest Market Signals podcast, LPL Financial’s Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, and Chief Economist, Dr. Jeffrey J. Roach, recap another positive week for stocks including more S&P 500 record highs, discuss whether the impact of China’s stimulus moves might be lasting, explain why consumers are in good shape, and preview this week’s jobs report. The S&P 500 has set 42 record highs now after the stock market’s latest rally continued. The strategists highlighted strength in China-sensitive risk assets, including the materials sector and industrial metals, and outperformance of cyclical over defensive sectors. The strategists then discuss the flurry of stimulus announcements in China and the prospects for lasting impact on the growth outlook for the Chinese economy and its markets. After, the strategists walk through several data points to make the case that consumers remain in good shape and have a larger savings buffer than previously believed. Next, the strategists discuss some drivers of rising gold prices and assess prospects for the precious metal going forward. Lastly, the strategists preview the week ahead which includes the important and always much-anticipated monthly jobs report. Job gains below 100 thousand or above 200 thousand would likely be market moving. There are upside risks to the unemployment rate per reports from the Conference Board. LPL Research expects a quarter-point rate cut at each of the next two Fed meetings in November and December.
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