Grain Markets and Other Stuff

China Imports a Record Amount of Soybeans, but NONE from the US


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0:00 China Imports
5:26 Crop Progress
9:21 Brazil Planting Begins
10:57 Russia Wheat
11:54 Grain Shipments

🌎 Welcome back! Today we’re breaking down key moves in global grain markets.

📊 China Soybean Demand
China ramped up soybean purchases in August, bringing in a record 12.3mmt for the month. Stockpiles now sit at 6.8mmt—the highest since March. While the US export window is just opening, China continues to rely heavily on Brazil amid the ongoing US-China trade war.

🌽 US Corn & Soy Conditions
Corn ratings slipped slightly, with 68% good/excellent vs. 69% last week, still the best since 2018. 4% of the crop is harvested vs. 3% average. Soybean ratings dipped to 64% g/e, the lowest of the year. 21% of beans are dropping leaves—a touch ahead of average.

🌾 Wheat Update
Spring wheat harvest is 85% complete, nearly in line with average. Winter wheat planting is just getting started at 5%, steady with last year.

🇧🇷 Brazil Planting Pace
AgRural reports 12% of first corn crop planted, behind last year’s 15%. Soybean planting has just begun at 0.2%. USDA projects 131mmt corn and 175mmt soybeans for Brazil this season.

🇷🇺 Russia’s Bigger Wheat Crop
Sovecon lifted its wheat estimate to 86.1mmt, matching IKAR’s latest call. Black Sea production strength continues to weigh on global wheat prices.

🚢 Export Inspections
Corn: 1.4mmt (57m bu)—up 70% vs. last year 📈
Soybeans: 452k mt (17m bu)—+24% y/y
Wheat: 425k mt (16m bu)—down sharply w/w

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Grain Markets and Other StuffBy Joe Vaclavik

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