Natasha Kaneva is joined by Ted Hall to discuss supply-demand dynamics in the global fuel market. Western refiners were already shutting down refining capacity before the COVID demand shock drove another 2 mbd of refining capacity closures over the past two years. Sanctions on Venezuela and now Russia have reduced effective capacity in Europe and the US even further. While Russia finds it difficult to find alternative markets for its products, China has cut fuel export quotas by over 50%. With demand set to pick up pace as US driving season kicks off and China comes out of lockdowns, fuel prices will continue to rise until they reach the point of demand destruction.

Speakers

Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Oil and Commodities Research

Ted Hall, Vice President of Global Oil Research

 

This podcast was recorded on June 10, 2022.

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