We have seen how NPI opens up tournament consideration to a wider set of Division III men’s basketball teams than the previous regional ranking/committee selection system - but does NPI actually give every team a chance at an at-large tournament berth?

Observers of the previous system know that it seemed some teams with poor SOS numbers just couldn’t win enough to overcome it. With NPI we can run scenarios and get direct answers without having to guess how the human members of the RACs or National Committee might view a particular resume.

In this episode we take a look at two cases from last season of teams that ranked with the worst two strengths of schedule according to NPI to see if there is a point at which they enter the at-large picture if enough losses were turned to wins. The results might be surprising, and do they have implications for how a team should put together their schedule? Join us as our NPI summer series continues!

Related Episodes:

Did NPI Pick the Right Teams? - Episode 114: https://youtu.be/FZK-_qKO1CUNon-D3 Games in the NPI Era - Episode 115: https://youtu.be/I0H7dyrNw0M

Related Links:

Efficiency Ratings: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/

NPI Rankings: https://d3datacast.com/npi/

Show Links:

▶ Website:  https://d3datacast.com/

▶ Subscribe to the channel: https://www.youtube.com/@d3datacast

▶ Follow on Twitter: https://twitter.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Facebook: https://facebook.com/d3datacast

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▶ D3 Datacast Merch: https://www.bonfire.com/store/d3-datacast/

Show hosts:

Matt Snyder: https://twitter.com/FFTMAG

Zac Snyder: https://twitter.com/ZacSnyder

From time to time we see Division III basketball programs play games against non-D3 opponents. With NPI taking over as the way teams at-large teams are selected and the national tournament is seeded, are non-D3 games good or bad? As it seems with anything NPI-related the answer is: it depends!

There are many considerations to be made when putting together a basketball schedule. In this entry into our NPI summer series we talk through two scenarios in which it could be good (or at least OK) to play a non-D3 opponent and two scenarios in which it is bad to play a game outside the division.

Related Episodes:

Did NPI Pick the Right Teams? - Episode 114: https://youtu.be/FZK-_qKO1CU

Related Links:

Efficiency Ratings: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/

NPI Rankings: https://d3datacast.com/npi/

Show Links:

▶ Website:  https://d3datacast.com/

▶ Subscribe to the channel: https://www.youtube.com/@d3datacast

▶ Follow on Twitter: https://twitter.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Facebook: https://facebook.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1twRPsVN00cCOxnFMldaw1?si=96c775bee5904b8e

▶ Become our Teammate on Patreon: https://patreon.com/D3Datacast

▶ D3 Datacast Merch: https://www.bonfire.com/store/d3-datacast/

Show hosts:

Matt Snyder: https://twitter.com/FFTMAG

Zac Snyder: https://twitter.com/ZacSnyder

The first Division III men's basketball tournament with at-large teams selected by NPI is in the books. We got a great tournament but did NPI pick the right teams?Join us for this episode as we look at the results NPI produced for teams in and around the bubble and compare and contrast that to how some other rating and ranking systems might have picked the limited number of at-large bids to the 2025 tournament. In the process we talk about the difference between the "best" teams and the "most deserving" teams and how that distinction is important to understanding how NPI works and what it is trying to accomplish.Related Episodes:What Every D3 Basketball Fan Needs To Know About NPI - Episode 101: https://youtu.be/gqYqgCoG8aARelated Links:Efficiency Ratings: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/NPI Rankings: https://d3datacast.com/npi/Top 10 Dunks - 2024-2025 D3 Basketball Season: https://youtu.be/OgEHwiZsxrYShow Links:▶ Website: https://d3datacast.com/▶ Subscribe to the channel: https://www.youtube.com/@d3datacast▶ Follow on Twitter: https://twitter.com/d3datacast▶ Follow on Facebook: https://facebook.com/d3datacast▶ Follow on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1twRPsVN00cCOxnFMldaw1?si=96c775bee5904b8e▶ Become our Teammate on Patreon: https://patreon.com/D3Datacast▶ D3 Datacast Merch: https://www.bonfire.com/store/d3-datacast/Show hosts:Matt Snyder: https://twitter.com/FFTMAGZac Snyder: https://twitter.com/ZacSnyder

We are back from Fort Wayne, Indiana and what a weekend it was! Congratulations to the Trinity (CT) Bantams for winning the 2024-2025 NCAA Division III Men’s Basketball Championship and to NYU, Wesleyan and WashU for a great Final Four weekend.This past weekend saw three great games played between four tremendous teams. Join us for this last show of the season for some final words on what took place in Fort Wayne and thanks and recognition for some of the key people who helped make it happen.We close out with a look back at how we did in our various silly little games and pick ‘em contests and open up the mailbag one last time for this season as we hear from our great viewers.Related Episodes:2025 Final Four Picks! - Episode 112: https://youtu.be/qomFKR84W8kTrinity WINS in the National Semifinal: https://youtu.be/FDTfReaO9AENYU Takes Down Washington U. to Head to the National Championship Game: https://youtu.be/FDTfReaO9AERelated Links:Efficiency Ratings: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/Daily Score Predictions: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/score-predictions/NPI Rankings: https://d3datacast.com/npi/Show Links:▶ Website: https://d3datacast.com/▶ Subscribe to the channel: https://www.youtube.com/@d3datacast▶ Follow on Twitter: https://twitter.com/d3datacast▶ Follow on Facebook: https://facebook.com/d3datacast▶ Follow on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1twRPsVN00cCOxnFMldaw1?si=96c775bee5904b8e▶ Become our Teammate on Patreon: https://patreon.com/D3Datacast▶ D3 Datacast Merch: https://www.bonfire.com/store/d3-datacast/Show hosts:Matt Snyder: https://twitter.com/FFTMAGZac Snyder: https://twitter.com/ZacSnyder

The second weekend of the 2025 NCAA Division III men’s basketball tournament saw favorites bounce-back after underdogs out-performed the D3 Datacast computer expectation in rounds one and two. The second weekend of the tournament saw a lot of chalk but that doesn’t mean we didn’t still get a bunch of great games.

That’s two weekends down with just one weekend to go. The focus of the Division III men’s basketball world shifts to Fort Wayne, Indiana as just Wesleyan, NYU, Trinity (CT) and WashU remain. A NESCAC-UAA final is guaranteed with the semifinals determining whether it will be Wesleyan or Trinity (CT) taking on NYU or WashU. Join us once again as we break down the matchups and take one last look at each of the remaining teams’ odds to cut down the nets.

We close out with a look back at how we did against last week’s picks slate and finish out this season of picks by picking against the computer line for the semifinals and call our shot for the National Championship.

Related Episodes:

2025 D3 Basketball Tournament First Round Picks and Preview - D3 Datacast - Episode 109: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WnLmHtEVjNU

2025 Sweet 16 Preview and Updated Championship Odds - D3 Datacast - Episode 111: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMWRNUHnwMo

Related Links:

Efficiency Ratings: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/

Daily Score Predictions: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/score-predictions/

NPI Rankings: https://d3datacast.com/npi/

Show Links:

▶ Website:  https://d3datacast.com/

▶ Subscribe to the channel: https://www.youtube.com/@d3datacast

▶ Follow on Twitter: https://twitter.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Facebook: https://facebook.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1twRPsVN00cCOxnFMldaw1?si=96c775bee5904b8e

▶ Become our Teammate on Patreon: https://patreon.com/D3Datacast

▶ D3 Datacast Merch: https://www.bonfire.com/store/d3-datacast/

Show hosts:

Matt Snyder: https://twitter.com/FFTMAG
Zac Snyder: https://twitter.com/ZacSnyder

The first weekend of the 2025 NCAA Division III men’s basketball tournament is in the books and what a weekend it was! The first and second rounds saw a little bit of everything - favorites cruising, upsets, overtime, great plays and great games. We can expect more of that in the tournament’s second weekend and we’re back to break it all down.

As we did going into the first round, we have another in-depth look at the matchups we will see in Friday’s matchups in the sectionals. Join us as we dive deep into the matchups and gain some context with how the D3 Datacast computer sees each pairing all the way down to win probabilities and point spreads.

Then it’s time to zoom back out and take an updated look at what the computer sees as the odds for each team to advance through each round of the bracket all the way up to winning it all. It is interesting to see how some teams’ chances have changed from their outlook at the beginning of the tournament and we talk about why that might be.

We close out with a look back at how we did against last week’s picks slate and are back with a new slate of five Sweet 16 games to pick against the computer line.

Related Episodes:

2025 D3 Basketball Tournament First Round Picks and Preview - D3 Datacast - Episode 109: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WnLmHtEVjNU

Related Links:

Efficiency Ratings: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/

Daily Score Predictions: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/score-predictions/

NPI Rankings: https://d3datacast.com/npi/

Show Links:

▶ Website:  https://d3datacast.com/

▶ Subscribe to the channel: https://www.youtube.com/@d3datacast

▶ Follow on Twitter: https://twitter.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Facebook: https://facebook.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1twRPsVN00cCOxnFMldaw1?si=96c775bee5904b8e

▶ Become our Teammate on Patreon: https://patreon.com/D3Datacast

▶ D3 Datacast Merch: https://www.bonfire.com/store/d3-datacast/

Show hosts:

Matt Snyder: https://twitter.com/FFTMAG
Zac Snyder: https://twitter.com/ZacSnyder

Our last show took a look at the first round favorites in the 2025 Division III men’s basketball tournament but what about beyond the first round? We’re back with another tournament preview show zooming out to look at the odds for each team to advance through the bracket.

Who are the favorites to move on to the tournament’s second weekend? Who are the favorites to make a run to the Final Four and which teams have the best odds to win it all? We fire up the computer powered by the D3 Datacast team efficiency ratings to help answer those big questions before we sit back and enjoy watching it all play out for real.

Related Episodes:

2025 D3 Basketball Tournament First Round Picks and Preview - D3 Datacast - Episode 109: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WnLmHtEVjNU

Related Links:

Efficiency Ratings: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/

Daily Score Predictions: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/score-predictions/

NPI Rankings: https://d3datacast.com/npi/

Show Links:

▶ Website:  https://d3datacast.com/

▶ Subscribe to the channel: https://www.youtube.com/@d3datacast

▶ Follow on Twitter: https://twitter.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Facebook: https://facebook.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1twRPsVN00cCOxnFMldaw1?si=96c775bee5904b8e

▶ Become our Teammate on Patreon: https://patreon.com/D3Datacast

▶ D3 Datacast Merch: https://www.bonfire.com/store/d3-datacast/

Show hosts:

Matt Snyder: https://twitter.com/FFTMAG

Zac Snyder: https://twitter.com/ZacSnyder

The 2025 Division III men’s basketball tournament bracket has been released so it’s time to break it down like only the D3 Datacast can!

As we’ve done in past years we go game-by-game taking a look at how the D3 Datacast computer sees each game, talk about how the teams match up and use the computer ratings to compute win probabilities and computer lines for each matchup. Upsets are what make tournament basketball so much fun but that can only happen with some understanding or context of which games really are upsets.

We also look back at how we did against our week 17 picks slate and make our decisions on a new five-game slate for week 18 picks.

Related Links:

Efficiency Ratings: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/

Daily Score Predictions: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/score-predictions/

NPI: https://d3datacast.com/npi/

NPI Projection/Simulations: https://d3datacast.com/npi/mbb-projections/

Show Links:

▶ Website:  https://d3datacast.com/

▶ Subscribe to the channel: https://www.youtube.com/@d3datacast

▶ Follow on Twitter: https://twitter.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Facebook: https://facebook.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1twRPsVN00cCOxnFMldaw1?si=96c775bee5904b8e

▶ Become our Teammate on Patreon: https://patreon.com/D3Datacast

▶ D3 Datacast Merch: https://www.bonfire.com/store/d3-datacast/

Show hosts:

Matt Snyder: https://twitter.com/FFTMAG

Zac Snyder: https://twitter.com/ZacSnyder

We had a blast tracking the 2025 NCAA Division III basketball tournament picture as the final games of the regular season played out on Sunday afternoon. All the games are now in the books so we take one more look at the final NPI rankings and talk about who is in, who is out and where everyone might be headed with a mock bracket.

The official bracket will be released on Monday, March 3 at noon. Stay tuned for our reactions to the official bracket and more content coming your way as we break down the 2025 tournament from all angles.

Related Episodes:

Championship Sunday livestream: https://www.youtube.com/live/_gyocTtk_Bg

Related Links:

Efficiency Ratings: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/

Daily Score Predictions: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/score-predictions/

NPI: https://d3datacast.com/npi/

NPI Projection/Simulations: https://d3datacast.com/npi/mbb-projections/

Show Links:

▶ Website:  https://d3datacast.com/

▶ Subscribe to the channel: https://www.youtube.com/@d3datacast

▶ Follow on Twitter: https://twitter.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Facebook: https://facebook.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1twRPsVN00cCOxnFMldaw1?si=96c775bee5904b8e

▶ Become our Teammate on Patreon: https://patreon.com/D3Datacast

▶ D3 Datacast Merch: https://www.bonfire.com/store/d3-datacast/

Show hosts:

Matt Snyder: https://twitter.com/FFTMAG
Zac Snyder: https://twitter.com/ZacSnyder

Conference tournament week is here for the 2024-2025 Division III basketball season and what happens this week will shape the landscape heading into the 2025 NCAA Tournament. Join us this week as we talk through all the conference tournament outlooks that have implications for the tournament bubble. Who is in good shape should they fail to win their conference tournament and who has at-large chances hanging on by a thread?

There is also still a lot to play out for the race for the top eight protected seeds and the top 16 who could be in line for hosting an opening weekend pod. We put odds on it all with the help of the D3 Datacast computer running 1,000 simulations.

We also look back at how we did against our week 16 picks slate and make our decisions on a new five-game slate for week 17 picks, then wrap up with a check in with our viewers in the mailbag.

Related Episodes:

What Every D3 Basketball Fan Needs To Know About NPI - Episode 101: https://youtu.be/gqYqgCoG8aA

Related Links:

Efficiency Ratings: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/

Daily Score Predictions: https://d3datacast.com/efficiency-ratings/score-predictions/

NPI: https://d3datacast.com/npi/

NPI Projection/Simulations: https://d3datacast.com/npi/mbb-projections/

Show Links:

▶ Website:  https://d3datacast.com/

▶ Subscribe to the channel:https://www.youtube.com/@d3datacast

▶ Follow on Twitter: https://twitter.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Facebook: https://facebook.com/d3datacast

▶ Follow on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1twRPsVN00cCOxnFMldaw1?si=96c775bee5904b8e

▶ Become our Teammate on Patreon: https://patreon.com/D3Datacast

▶ D3 Datacast Merch: https://www.bonfire.com/store/d3-datacast/

Show hosts:

Matt Snyder: https://twitter.com/FFTMAG

Zac Snyder: https://twitter.com/ZacSnyder