I dive details of a real-time trade that Emmet Peppers put on last week. He bet almost 3 million dollars on a short-term option play where he could easily lose all of it.
Emmet's Twitter: https://twitter.com/emmetpeppers
Emmet's website: https://goodsoilinvestment.com/
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Timestamps
1:40 - S&P inclusion potential catalyst
3:15 - Why bullish short term
5:45 - Looking at call contracts
9:00 - High frequency trades affect on volume
11:30 - Can institutions buy 10M shares every day w/o huge run-up?
12:10 - Run-up possibility
14:05 - On the TSLA run-up til now
16:25 - Will shorts pile in?
17:25 - Benchmark indexers
20:05 - Stock price manipulation
23:55 - Psychology of the trade
26:30 - Details of the trade
28:05 - Explanation of options
29:20 - Risk and expecting to lose it
32:15 - Why concentrated on one strike?
33:30 - Let it ride?
35:30 - Doubt when the trade went against him?
37:43 - Looking at percentage of portfolio vs amount
39:25 - In event of a super run-up will he sell TSLA?
43:30 - Decent possibility of losing all of it
46:10 - Personal financial situation
47:28 - Compartmentalized pool of money
48:25 - Motivation
50:45 - Please do not make this trade
51:29 - Emmet’s advise for new investors
56:30 - Risk with macro events
59:05 - Binary vs probabilities
1:00:35 - Holding stock in revolutionary company offsetting macro risk
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