Hotspotting

Debunking the Link Between First-Home Buyer Support and Price Surges


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Government support for first-home buyers always seems to spark the same criticism: that it drives up prices and does more harm than good. But where’s the evidence?

In this episode, we unpack the recurring claims that FHB schemes like deposit guarantees and grants inflate property values — and ask why these arguments persist despite a lack of supporting data.

We explore how media narratives often miss the mark, focusing blame on young buyers instead of tackling the real issues: supply constraints, high construction costs, and planning bottlenecks.

If helping first-home buyers is always the “wrong move,” what’s the alternative?

In this episode:

  • The myth that FHB support causes price spikes

  • What the data actually says (and doesn’t say)

  • Why the supply-side crisis is the real problem

  • How policy debates are missing the point

This episode is for anyone who’s ever wondered whether helping first-home buyers is hurting the market — and wants an evidence-based perspective instead of a political spin.

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HotspottingBy Terry Ryder & Tim Graham


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