July 18, 2025

Do Recruiting Rankings Prevent Penn State's Championship Hopes? | Big Jeff's Insights

54 minutes

In this episode of the Big Ten Huddle, hosts JR and Jeff dive into the recruiting data behind college football national champions from 2005 to 2025, focusing on how recruiting rankings, NIL deals, the transfer portal, and conference realignment have reshaped the sport. The episode centers on a key question: Can Penn State win a national championship in the modern era of college football? They examine Penn State’s recruiting under Coach James Franklin, the team’s historical performance, and the challenges of competing with elite programs like Ohio State and Michigan. The discussion also covers the five Big Ten teams—Ohio State, Oregon, Penn State, Michigan, and USC—identified as having the best shot at a national title based on recruiting trends.

Jeff's Article: https://bigjeffsfootball.com/national-championship-level-recruiting/

Key Topics Discussed

Recruiting Trends (00:07:50 - 00:20:00): JR and Jeff review data from 247Sports, revealing that 16 of the last 20 national champions had an average four-year recruiting rank of 7.8 or better. They highlight Ohio State’s 2024 championship class (averaging 3.8) and Michigan’s 2023 title team (12.3 average), noting Penn State’s recent classes (e.g., 2025 ranked 13th) fall short of consistent top-10 status (00:09:01 - 00:09:17).

College Football Changes (00:20:00 - 00:33:00): The hosts discuss how NIL, the transfer portal, and the expanded 12-team playoff have raised the bar for roster depth. They note Penn State’s struggles to land elite quarterbacks and wide receivers, despite strong defensive recruiting, as a barrier to championship contention (00:41:00 - 00:41:58).

Penn State’s Title Prospects (00:33:00 - 00:47:00): JR and Jeff debate Penn State’s potential, citing their consistent 10-2 or 11-1 seasons but lack of elite recruiting (e.g., 2023-2025 classes ranked 14th, 13th, and 15th). They highlight quarterback Drew Allar’s development and the 2025 signing of 4-star RB Kiandrea Barker as positives, but argue Penn State needs a top-10 class and a high-end QB to compete with Ohio State or Georgia (00:14:22 - 00:14:36).

Big Ten Contenders (00:47:00 - 00:53:00): The hosts defend their take that only five Big Ten teams (Ohio State, Oregon, Penn State, Michigan, USC) are positioned to win a title, emphasizing Penn State’s need for better offensive skill players to complement their stout defense (00:51:52 - 00:51:56).

Listener Interaction (00:53:00 - 00:57:00): JR responds to fans like Pit Snipe and Trojan Fight, addressing comments about Penn State’s recruiting challenges and Kirby Smart’s perceived Big Ten disrespect, tying it to Indiana’s scheduling decisions (00:13:05 - 00:13:20).

Additional Notes

Husker Throwback Segment (00:57:00 - 01:00:00): The hosts share a nostalgic moment about Penn State’s 1994 undefeated season, led by Kerry Collins, and discuss how that team’s recruiting (top-15 classes) mirrors today’s challenges.

Data Source: Full recruiting data and analysis are available at https://247sports.com/

Article Link: Jeff’s detailed write-up is on https://bigjeffsfootball.com.

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