Disease prevention is a very important aspect of successful swine management but sometimes, no matter how good your biosecurity is, diseases find a way to infect the herd. This is why it is helpful to have effective plans in place to minimize the damage done. In today’s talk Dr. Greiner, Dr. Gustavo Machado discusses how swine disease models work, what they will look like in the future, and how they can be effective to prepare for diseases such as ASF infecting our swine herds.

"𝘐𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘺 𝘪𝘮𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘢𝘯𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘳𝘦𝘮𝘦𝘮𝘣𝘦𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩 𝘴𝘰𝘮𝘦 𝘱𝘦𝘰𝘱𝘭𝘦 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘴𝘬𝘦𝘱𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘣𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘷𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘥 𝘣𝘺 𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘴𝘮𝘪𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘮𝘰𝘥𝘦𝘭𝘴, 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘣𝘦𝘴𝘵 𝘮𝘦𝘵𝘩𝘰𝘥 𝘸𝘦 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘢𝘷𝘢𝘪𝘭𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦." - 𝗗𝗿. 𝗚𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗮𝘃𝗼 𝗠𝗮𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗱𝗼

𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗹𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗻:

1. Disease modeling

2. The changes in disease modeling in the last few decades

3. How do we create a model for a disease we don’t have

4. How do we start to create a disease model

5. What can others do to help create the model

6. The model’s future

7. Key points

𝗠𝗲𝗲𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗴𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘁: Dr. Gustavo Machado is a 2010 graduate of the Veterinary College at the Federal University of Santa Maria, Brazil. He completed a Master of Science in veterinary epidemiology at the Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil on Bovine Viral Diarrhea (BVD) epidemiology in 2013. He received his Ph.D. in 2016 while he worked with computer scientists on the development of machine learning tools applied to epidemiology. After graduating in 2016 he held a position as an assistant professor in the Department of Preventive Veterinary Medicine of the Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul. Furthermore, he held a position as a postdoctoral associate in the Veterinary Population Medicine Department, at the University of Minnesota. Dr. Machado led his research on transboundary epidemiology in the Department of Population Health and Pathobiology. Nowadays, he holds a position as an assistant professor at NC State University in the College of Veterinary Medicine.

𝗟𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗻 𝗼𝗻 𝗔𝗽𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗣𝗼𝗱𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁𝘀, 𝗦𝗽𝗼𝘁𝗶𝗳𝘆 𝗼𝗿 𝗮𝗻𝘆 𝗺𝗮𝗷𝗼𝗿 𝗽𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺.

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