Hear them discuss:

02:10 – Adhi’s background in economics and how he discovered prediction markets

04:15 – Lessons from trading during January 6th: finding edges in uncertainty

07:00 – Influence of Nate Silver’s The Signal and the Noise on his trading approach

09:50 – Key differences between prediction markets and traditional gambling

12:00 – Why Adhi writes about prediction markets

16:00 – Takeaways from the SEC–CFTC roundtable on prediction markets

20:15 – The introduction of parlays on Kalshi and their industry impact

25:30 – Forecasting when prediction markets could break into the mainstream

27:10 – Market controversies and rule challenges

32:00 – Prediction markets as information vs. sportsbooks as entertainment

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