The main reasons that electric cars haven’t taken over are that they didn’t drive far enough on a charge, it took too long to charge them, and, most of all, they cost too much.
In recent years, the problem with driving range has steadily been
disappearing as electric cars that can go over two hundred and even over three
hundred miles on a charge have entered the market. Charging time has also become less of a
problem. Tesla’s network of
Superchargers can provide 200 miles worth of charge in half an hour and their
next generation of chargers, which are just starting to appear, can cut that
As for cost, a new report by transportation analysts at Bloomberg New
Energy Finance predicts that electric vehicles will be cost-competitive with
combustion-engine cars by 2022.
The main reason is that the cost of EV batteries has been
plummeting. In 2015, batteries made up
57% of the total cost of an electric vehicle.
Today, that number is down to 33% and is expected to drop to 20% by
2025. In addition, the cost of electric
powertrain systems is also dropping. The
Bloomberg report predicts that over the next decade, costs for motors, inverters,
and power electronics could be 25 to 30% cheaper than today.
The cost of electric vehicles has been dropping faster than
predicted. Bloomberg’s report on the
subject in 2017 predicted cost parity in 2026.
Last year, they changed it to 2024.
And now, they are saying 2022.
Given that electric cars are much cheaper to drive than gasoline cars,
finding reasons not to drive them is getting harder to do.
Web Links
Electric Cars Could Be As Affordable as Conventional Vehicles In Just Three Years
Photo, posted November 17, 2018, courtesy of Jakob Harter via Flickr.