Sign up to save your podcasts
Or
Share EBS 10: Property Growth History | Why Past Growth ≠ Future Growth
Share to email
Share to Facebook
Share to X
Share to email
Share to Facebook
Share to X
Or
EBS 10: Property Growth History | Why Past Growth ≠ Future Growth
Episode 10 dismantles the idea that strong past growth predicts strong future growth. We show why backtesting single properties is misleading, explain that features set price rather than growth, and reveal a clear inverse relationship in the data when you group suburbs by their last 10 to 20 years of performance.
Markets that have run hard tend to slow as higher prices dampen demand, while laggards often lead the next cycle.
The takeaway is simple. Do not buy on long term outperformance alone. Rely on broad, current supply and demand signals and be ready to rotate your capital when a run has played out.
Episode Highlights
00:00 - Introduction
00:50 - Back testing
07:38 - Past growth vs future growth
20:13 - Apples vs oranges
21:46 - What’s the point?
24:37 - Misleading growth history
27:56 - Conclusion
🎙️ Watch all Expert Busting episodes:
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLWD8h9iMOyGg14F66DTdoZuS63mUJwJ82
📚 Read the full data-backed articles:
https://suburbdata.com.au/education-expert-busting/
🔎 Learn how to use Suburb Data to analyse property data:
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLWD8h9iMOyGhDsFFEMdzP5fvfenYvbp0B
Expert Busting Series
A data-driven investigation into property myths.
We fact-check bold claims, expose misleading advice, and reveal what the numbers actually say.
Evidence over confidence. Data over hype.
#expertbustingseries #propertymyths #australianproperty #propertyinvesting #datadriveninvesting #suburbdata #DSR #propertytruths #realestateinvesting
DISCLAIMER
Please be aware that the content presented in this episode is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
• The information provided is not tailored to your individual circumstances, and we do not consider your specific financial situation.
• It is strongly recommended to consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any financial decisions based on this content.
• We do not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence as defined by section 9 of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) and are not authorised to provide financial services.
• Any actions taken by listeners based on this content are at their own risk.
View all episodes
By suburbdataEpisode 10 dismantles the idea that strong past growth predicts strong future growth. We show why backtesting single properties is misleading, explain that features set price rather than growth, and reveal a clear inverse relationship in the data when you group suburbs by their last 10 to 20 years of performance.
Markets that have run hard tend to slow as higher prices dampen demand, while laggards often lead the next cycle.
The takeaway is simple. Do not buy on long term outperformance alone. Rely on broad, current supply and demand signals and be ready to rotate your capital when a run has played out.
Episode Highlights
00:00 - Introduction
00:50 - Back testing
07:38 - Past growth vs future growth
20:13 - Apples vs oranges
21:46 - What’s the point?
24:37 - Misleading growth history
27:56 - Conclusion
🎙️ Watch all Expert Busting episodes:
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLWD8h9iMOyGg14F66DTdoZuS63mUJwJ82
📚 Read the full data-backed articles:
https://suburbdata.com.au/education-expert-busting/
🔎 Learn how to use Suburb Data to analyse property data:
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLWD8h9iMOyGhDsFFEMdzP5fvfenYvbp0B
Expert Busting Series
A data-driven investigation into property myths.
We fact-check bold claims, expose misleading advice, and reveal what the numbers actually say.
Evidence over confidence. Data over hype.
#expertbustingseries #propertymyths #australianproperty #propertyinvesting #datadriveninvesting #suburbdata #DSR #propertytruths #realestateinvesting
DISCLAIMER
Please be aware that the content presented in this episode is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
• The information provided is not tailored to your individual circumstances, and we do not consider your specific financial situation.
• It is strongly recommended to consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any financial decisions based on this content.
• We do not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence as defined by section 9 of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) and are not authorised to provide financial services.
• Any actions taken by listeners based on this content are at their own risk.
More shows like Suburb Data with Damien & Jeremy
View all
The Property Couch
67 Listeners
Property Investment Podcast Network
21 Listeners
The Money Puzzle
45 Listeners
Investopoly
14 Listeners
Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast
25 Listeners
Equity Mates Investing Podcast
61 Listeners
The Elephant In The Room Property Podcast | Inside Australian Real Estate
11 Listeners
Australian Investors Podcast
21 Listeners
Pizza and Property
12 Listeners
this is property
6 Listeners
Inside Commercial Property
5 Listeners
Dev Raga Personal Finance
8 Listeners
Retire Right
29 Listeners
Scouting Australia Podcast
6 Listeners
Australian Property Podcast
5 Listeners