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EBS 11: Apples, Oranges & the Ripple Effect | Why Long-Term Outperformance Is a Myth
Episode 11 shows why long term outperformance is a myth. National multi-decade historical data shows extremes fade. Markets converge to the long-term average. The growth leaders of the past become the laggards of the future as buyer focus shifts to better value.
The takeaway is to avoid betting on a permanent edge. But if you must, favour houses over units, old over new, and avoid supply-heavy vacant land corridors.
Episode Highlights
00:00 - Introduction
00:50 - Apples vs Oranges
02:52 - Fruit vs Property
05:54 - Cheaper alternatives create the ripple effect
07:06 - Capital growth cases
17:50 - Long term, all markets tend to grow at the same rate
19:42 - Unrealistic stereotypical growth profile
20:51 - Realistic stereotypical growth profile
24:26 - What has worked?
25:39 - New amenities
28:44 - Conclusion
Got questions or feedback?
Email us: PODCAST (AT) SUBURBDATA.COM.AU
Viewer Favourites
👉 Q&A with Jeremy Sheppard: Entering and Exiting Markets, Buyers Agents, Suburb Selection and More
https://youtu.be/nrxq5l2MIuw
👉 How to Analyse a Property Market
https://youtu.be/TMgvL07LzXs
👉 DSR Success Rate
https://youtu.be/tSBtiD1BLqo
👉 Demand to Supply Ratio Tutorials
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLWD8h9iMOyGi7zCG37dRhAxXows2SZw7-
DISCLAIMER
Please be aware that the content presented in this episode is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
• The information provided is not tailored to your individual circumstances, and we do not consider your specific financial situation.
• It is strongly recommended to consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any financial decisions based on this content, as we have neither offered nor provided legal, financial, or taxation advice to the listener, reader, or viewer.
• We do not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence as defined by section 9 of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) and are not authorised to provide financial services.
• Any actions taken by listeners based on this content are at their own risk.
View all episodes
By suburbdataEpisode 11 shows why long term outperformance is a myth. National multi-decade historical data shows extremes fade. Markets converge to the long-term average. The growth leaders of the past become the laggards of the future as buyer focus shifts to better value.
The takeaway is to avoid betting on a permanent edge. But if you must, favour houses over units, old over new, and avoid supply-heavy vacant land corridors.
Episode Highlights
00:00 - Introduction
00:50 - Apples vs Oranges
02:52 - Fruit vs Property
05:54 - Cheaper alternatives create the ripple effect
07:06 - Capital growth cases
17:50 - Long term, all markets tend to grow at the same rate
19:42 - Unrealistic stereotypical growth profile
20:51 - Realistic stereotypical growth profile
24:26 - What has worked?
25:39 - New amenities
28:44 - Conclusion
Got questions or feedback?
Email us: PODCAST (AT) SUBURBDATA.COM.AU
Viewer Favourites
👉 Q&A with Jeremy Sheppard: Entering and Exiting Markets, Buyers Agents, Suburb Selection and More
https://youtu.be/nrxq5l2MIuw
👉 How to Analyse a Property Market
https://youtu.be/TMgvL07LzXs
👉 DSR Success Rate
https://youtu.be/tSBtiD1BLqo
👉 Demand to Supply Ratio Tutorials
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLWD8h9iMOyGi7zCG37dRhAxXows2SZw7-
DISCLAIMER
Please be aware that the content presented in this episode is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
• The information provided is not tailored to your individual circumstances, and we do not consider your specific financial situation.
• It is strongly recommended to consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any financial decisions based on this content, as we have neither offered nor provided legal, financial, or taxation advice to the listener, reader, or viewer.
• We do not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence as defined by section 9 of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) and are not authorised to provide financial services.
• Any actions taken by listeners based on this content are at their own risk.
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