The Studies Show

Episode 23: Statistical significance


Listen Later

It’s mentioned on the podcast pretty much every week. But what does “statistical significance” actually mean?

In this episode of The Studies Show, Tom and Stuart start 2024 off with the most exciting subject possible: p-values. THRILL as they discuss statistical misconceptions! MARVEL as they talk about how “effect size” differs from “statistical significance”! CHUCKLE as they resort to endless coin-flipping analogies! And GASP as they discuss ways to stop scientists from “hacking” their p-values and ending up with misleading research!

The Studies Show is brought to you by Works in Progress magazine - an online magazine full of essays about science, technology, and human progress. Works in Progress is the kind of magazine that makes its readers massively better-informed about every subject it covers, with deeply-researched articles by experts in the relevant fields - and it’s all free. Check it out at their site right here.

Show notes

* 89% of psychology textbooks get p-values wrong

* Letter on how the research on power-posing went wrong

* The classic “false-positive psychology” paper on how p-hacking can get you any result you want

* The FiveThirtyEight online p-hacking tool

* The “p-curve” method for detecting p-hacking

* How p-hacking is just “overfitting” by another name

* List of weasel terms like “approaching significance”

* Reading on a screen before bed “might be killing you”!

* The (much less scary) relevant study

* Tom’s BuzzFeed News article on the idea to lower the p-value threshold to 0.005

* The original paper, plus the response arguing that scientists should “justify their alpha

* Registered Reports, and how they can deter p-hacking

Credits

The Studies Show is produced by Julian Mayers at Yada Yada Productions.



This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thestudiesshowpod.com/subscribe
...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

The Studies ShowBy Tom Chivers and Stuart Ritchie

  • 4.7
  • 4.7
  • 4.7
  • 4.7
  • 4.7

4.7

53 ratings


More shows like The Studies Show

View all
More or Less: Behind the Stats by BBC Radio 4

More or Less: Behind the Stats

902 Listeners

The New Statesman | UK politics and culture by The New Statesman

The New Statesman | UK politics and culture

140 Listeners

Page 94: The Private Eye Podcast by Page 94: The Private Eye Podcast

Page 94: The Private Eye Podcast

290 Listeners

The Briefing Room by BBC Radio 4

The Briefing Room

78 Listeners

Oh God, What Now? by Podmasters

Oh God, What Now?

213 Listeners

Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford by Pushkin Industries

Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford

5,086 Listeners

IFS Zooms In: The Economy by Institute for Fiscal Studies

IFS Zooms In: The Economy

5 Listeners

The Rest Is History by Goalhanger

The Rest Is History

12,035 Listeners

Razib Khan's Unsupervised Learning by Razib Khan

Razib Khan's Unsupervised Learning

200 Listeners

The Rest Is Politics by Goalhanger

The Rest Is Politics

3,422 Listeners

Origin Story by Podmasters

Origin Story

101 Listeners

The News Agents by Global

The News Agents

1,006 Listeners

Past Present Future by David Runciman

Past Present Future

285 Listeners

These Times by UnHerd

These Times

140 Listeners

The Expert Factor by IFS/IfG/UKICE

The Expert Factor

3 Listeners