Cheap Talk

Exercise in Optimism


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Doomsday clock trivia; the origins of the clock; over-interpreting what time it is; becoming desensitized to global threats; public education and advocacy around existential risk; risk assessment by the global elite; the perils of expert prediction; and Marcus thinks this is a trick question

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Further reading:
“2024 Doomsday Clock Announcement.” 2024. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

“Doomsday Clock Timeline.” 2023. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

Kennette Benedict. 2023. “Answers to Common Questions.” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

“Global Risks Report 2024.” 2024. World Economic Forum.

Philip E. Fetlock and Dan Gardner. 2015. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. Crown Books.

Seth Walder. 2023. “Going for 2 down 8 points: Explaining NFL analytics strategy.” ESPN.com.

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Cheap TalkBy Jeff Kaplow and Marcus Holmes

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