The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Fed Minutes Reveal The Easing Cycle Has Already Begun – Ep. 179


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Gold and silver prices continue to march higher
Gold was up another $7 today; it closed at $1363.20 - that is the high for the year
Silver was up .15 at $20.06
Silver is now going up relative to the price of gold which is very for the precious metals complex
Gold stocks are on fire; the XAU index, a gold stock index was up 3.27% today
It's now up better than 135% on the year and well over 150% from the lows on the third week in January
But do you think that any major players on Wall Street have recommended gold stocks?
Do any of the big hedge funds have positions in gold?
No! They are clueless
What is happening, as I have said before, is that there is a picture, that's kind of blurry, but it's coming into focus, still not clear, but it's a game changer
The perception is that we had this great recovery and that the Fed was going to be able to unwind its balance sheet, normalize interest rates and everything was going to be great
So the whole investment world was preparing for higher rates, a stronger dollar and a stronger U.S. economy
But what is the actual picture?
The actual picture is an economic recovery that is over, if it ever even happened,
The Fed is finished tightening and they're about to start a new easing campaign
We're not done with QE; we're just getting started - QE3 is closer to the beginning than the end
Rather than shrinking the balance sheet, it's about to explode
This picture is getting clearer and now you see the markets re-pricing
Gold is going up every day
Gold stocks are going up
The banks are getting crushed
The European banks hit new lows again today
FOMC minutes came out for June and what did the minutes reveal?
The members were concerned about weakening employment number and they wanted more data before raising rates
They wanted to make sure the weakening numbers were an aberration rather than a new trend
Who didn't see that coming?
Also they wanted to see what happened with the Brexit vote
We knew about the Brexit vote all year - why did the Fed ever pretend that they would raise rates in June?
Because they wanted the market to believe that a rate hike was possible because it validates the phony recovery
So now the instead of raising rates, they spoke about raising them and they are going to cut rates by just talking about reducing them
They can do a lot by adjusting their rhetoric before they actually cut rates
They are already cutting by backtracking their rhetoric, because that's all they've got
Teddy Roosevelt said, "Walk softly but carry a big stick."
The Fed has to speak loudly because it has no stick
...more
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