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In his weekly update, Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro, notes that ten-year U.S. Treasury yields are near where they were pre-pandemic. COVID-19 vaccinations have increased, and hospitalizations have decreased. In the U.S., another $1.9 trillion in stimulus is expected, bringing the total to over $5 trillion, and the 2021 reconciliation process starts after this bill, in the form of Build Back Better, which will bring another $4 trillion in stimulus measures. Jurrien notes that commodities are on fire right now: that makes sense, as part of the reflation narrative. A rotation is happening in which we are seeing a shift from U.S., large-cap and growth stocks to international, small-cap and value stocks.
Recorded on February 22, 2021.
Portfolio Manager Brett Dley heads up the Fidelity Market Neutral Alternatives Fund, which launched in October 2020 to investors. In this episode, he explores liquid alternatives as an emerging asset class and how to use market-neutral strategies to diversify amid potential volatility. Brett breaks down the structure of the fund and his strategy behind it. The fund works on pair trades and areas of dispersion and change. The sectors he's focusing on are technology, healthcare, industrials and consumer discretionary. He points out that it doesn't matter what direction the market goes for this fund. The purpose of this fund is to have positive absolute return independent from any market direction. Brett takes a bottom-up approach to stock picking. Prior to becoming a portfolio manager, he was an analyst. For this fund, he's sticking to the same approach he's been doing for the past 10 years as he continues to build this new fund.
Recorded on February 19, 2021
Portfolio manager Ramona Persaud takes you through her worldview and shares her thoughts on valuations and where she is finding yield and pockets of opportunity. Observing the current concerns about inflation, Ramona notes that dividends can offer a source of real income growth. High-quality stocks typically have pricing power, which means that they can price above their costs; this allows for real pricing that translates into real cash flow. Ramona believes financials are cheaper than they should be right now, because there has been a belief, until very recently, that rates will stay low, and financials are better positioned this cycle than in previous cycles. Ramona likes the fact that financials and banks can offer better valuations and higher dividend yields.
Recorded on February 18, 2021.
Portfolio manager Jeff Moore examines the importance of diversifying in fixed income in 2021 and tackles the discussion on finding yield in this low-rate environment. Jeff notes that the main role of a bond portfolio is to offer diversification and potential for downside protection. In the new Fidelity Multi-Asset Innovation Fund that Jeff manages alongside Mark Schmehl, the balanced nature of the Fund causes the beta to tech exposure to drop about 50%. Jeff is trying to find bonds that yield 3–4% in multi-asset classes in the bond market. Jeff will not buy convertible debt for the Fund; he only buys bonds, and leaves stock volatility to the equity portion of the Fund.
Recorded February 17, 2021.
Portfolio manager Nicole Connolly discusses the key trends and outlook for ESG investing in 2021, as well as an update to how she is currently positioning Fidelity Women’s Leadership Fund. Nicole believes that COVID-19 has brought more attention to how companies are treating their employees, and customers. Nicole, who is also head of ESG investing at Fidelity, shares some success stories of gender-diverse companies with host Emily Anonuevo, and explains how she leverages Fidelity’s deep fundamental and quantitative research expertise.
Recorded on February 11, 2021.
Catherine Yeung, Investment Director at Fidelity International joins us from Hong Kong, for a special episode to celebrate the Year of the Ox in the lunar calendar, and to share her market update and outlook for Asia-Pacific. In speaking with Glen Davidson, host and VP Regional Sales for Ontario, Catherine looks at how this year’s lunar new year celebration is different from years past, and comments on China’s strong reopening after 2020’s coronavirus lockdowns. Catherine also explores the rise of the middle class and the rise of the domestic investor in China, as well as electric vehicles and semiconductors.
Recorded on February 17, 2021.
Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro, notes that the number of hospital beds in the U.S. occupied by COVID-19 patients has fallen from around 20% to less than 11% in less than a month, and one in eight people are now vaccinated, marking a dramatic improvement. Jurrien notes that small caps have been on fire for several months. Value is still lagging behind growth, but both are moving in the same direction. Emerging markets are outperforming the S&P 500 Index by 12% on a year-over-year basis, and earnings are recovering faster in emerging markets than in any other region in the world. Jurrien calls it an “all systems go” type of market that we are currently seeing. Follow along with Jurrien’s charts @TimmerFidelity on Twitter.
Recorded on February 16, 2021.
Les gestionnaires de portefeuille Hugo Lavallée et Maxime Lemieux discutent des actions canadiennes en 2021. M. Lemieux gère le Fond Fidelity Frontière Nord et M. Lavallée gère les Fonds Potentiel Canada et Canada Plus. Les deux gestionnaires partagent leurs perspectives avec l’animateur Charles Danis concernant les investissements dans les actions canadiennes, et expliquent comment ils continuent a diversifié leur portefeuille pour l’avenir. Ils partagent également leurs réflexions sur la crypto-monnaie, les placements ESG et l’inflation.
Date : 10 février 2021
Portfolio manager Eileen Dibb examines investment opportunities in Asia-Pacific equities, as well as the impact of trade relations and economic recoveries throughout the region. Eileen notes that China has made a big push in response to climate change over the last decade. Steel production was a major polluter, and the country has focused heavily on improving air quality. China is a big investor in and producer of solar energy and is also focused on improving wind power resources. Eileen’s focus in this area is on hydrogen, and where it fits into renewable energy, as a longer-term play. China and India have populations of billions, so investing in Asia has the potential to benefit from product proliferation: introducing an item to a population this vast can create a huge opportunity.
Recorded on February 11, 2021.
Sector strategist Denise Chisholm doesn’t believe the recent uptrend in the market is due to investors’ reaction to U.S. fiscal stimulus, because that had been expected and, therefore, already priced in. She believes it is more likely that investors have been surprised by the decline in COVID-19 cases in the U.S. Denise considers small caps, financials, tech, consumer discretionary and energy service companies as the best risk/reward sectors. Financials showed the cheapest valuations at the end of 2020. Energy and health care stocks were also inexpensive, based on price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios. Historically, extreme market volatility tends to be followed by above-average stock market returns. She believes that small-cap stocks may be primed for outperformance; in the past, when those factors lined up, the odds of outperformance increased. Denise will be a regular guest, so please subscribe to not miss an episode.
Recorded on February 9, 2021.
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