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A forecast can be useful for running a business and still lack the evidence needed to defend it.
What happens when accounting and FP&A report different revenue numbers for the same month, and the disagreement comes down to how a contract is interpreted? In this episode of FP&A Today, Sarah Schlott welcomes Norm Osumi to explore the judgment calls that sit between financial reporting, business performance and forward-looking forecasts.
Through a SaaS revenue-recognition example, Norm examines why bookings, billings and recognized revenue are not interchangeable, and how implementation fees and sales commissions complicate the picture. The conversation then turns to EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA, where excluding recurring expenses or making aggressive add-backs can change the story a business tells about its performance.
The central question is what happens when an FP&A forecast becomes evidence for an auditor, lender or investor. Norm discusses an auditor requesting five years of purchase orders to substantiate future revenue and explains why assumptions around growth, customer activity and the sales pipeline need to be reasonable and documented. For smaller finance teams, the lesson is not to build more elaborate models. It is to understand which numbers matter, what supports them and when to bring accounting into the conversation.
Key Moments
Recognized revenue, bookings and billings serve different purposes. A sound FP&A forecast needs to account for the underlying revenue-recognition rules.
SaaS implementation fees and subscriptions can produce different monthly revenue outcomes depending on the contract and performance obligations.
Sales commissions raise both operational and accounting questions, especially when bookings, revenue and related costs fall into different periods.
Adjusted EBITDA requires judgment. Recurring expenses cannot simply become one-time adjustments because excluding them creates a more attractive result.
Forecasts can become part of an audit, valuation or financing process. Assumptions may need to be supported by customer activity, purchase orders and a credible growth pipeline.
Smaller finance teams still benefit from documenting the handful of assumptions that materially drive their forecasts.
Repeated misses against publicly communicated financial projections can damage management's credibility.
FP&A and accounting need shared definitions, clear communication and a process for challenging assumptions before numbers reach external stakeholders.
Timestamps
05:42 - Why FP&A and accounting can recognize different revenue amounts
09:04 - Bookings versus billings versus recognized revenue
12:21 - How smaller companies should approach accounting for sales commissions
16:46 - EBITDA and the judgment behind adjustments
21:14 - GAAP, non-GAAP and adjusted EBITDA reporting
28:08 - When an FP&A forecast becomes audit evidence
33:33 - What auditors look for in forecast assumptions
36:45 - Documenting assumptions that support revenue projections
42:15 - Does forecast accuracy actually matter?
45:13 - Rapid fire with Norm Osumi
Earn CPE Credit
If you would like to earn CPE credit for listening to the show, visit:
https://earmarkcpe.com/fpa
Download the app, take a short quiz, and get your CPE certificate.
Further Reading/Listening
Related FP&A Today episode:
The $100M Revenue Mistake Everyone Missed, with Devon Coombs
https://www.devoncoombs.com/
The books were closed. The audits were supported. Then the CEO asked two simple questions: which products make the most money, and which ones don’t? Nobody could answer.
Purity Kibaki was the consultant hired to implement the system that was supposed to answer them.
Purity, CPA(K), leads group reporting, consolidation and finance systems at Hatch Africa. She previously founded Zirconn Black Group. She has been the accountant closing the books, the FP&A analyst who inherited them, and the consultant building the system underneath. She and Sarah explore what happens when finance systems are built around transactions and order-to-cash, but not around the questions FP&A eventually has to answer.
The result is familiar to many FP&A teams. Accounting closes successfully, but finance still can’t answer basic questions about product profitability, regional performance, campaigns, utilization or operational drivers without pulling data together by hand. Purity and Sarah discuss why “heroic Excel workarounds” can hide weaknesses in the underlying process. They also cover why FP&A data rarely gets the same scrutiny as accounting data, and why buying another planning tool doesn’t fix a broken source.
The conversation also gets practical. Purity explains which dimensions and tags need to be captured at the point of entry. She argues that system requirements should come from the people doing the work, not only senior leaders, and that finance professionals are better placed to become systems-aware than technologists are to become finance-aware. Her core message is simple: fix the source, and let everything downstream flow from it.
Key Moments:
A system can close the books correctly and still fail FP&A if it was never designed around forward-looking business questions.
"Heroic Excel workarounds" may keep reporting moving while hiding weak controls, manual dependencies and missing source data.
FP&A quantity and operational data often does not receive the same audit discipline as revenue, inventory or the general ledger.
Finance and accounting should help define system requirements before a business selects or configures its ERP or planning tools.
Product, region, segment, campaign and cost-driver tags need to be captured at entry if FP&A wants to analyze them later.
The best requirements often come from the person actually doing the work, because that is where undocumented process knowledge and reporting gaps live.
Finance professionals already understand the end result they need, making it easier for them to become systems-aware and use tools such as Power BI, automation and AI effectively.
Buying another tool is not the solution if the source data is still incomplete, manual or inconsistent.
Try This Monday: Trace One Unanswered Question
Pick one question your leadership asked last month that took too long to answer.
What data point would have answered it?
Where does that data get entered, and who owns that step?
Ask that person for what you need, and tell them why.
Timestamps:
(08:16) - How systems become "designed to forget finance" and push FP&A into Excel
(11:43) - Why heroic Excel workarounds can hide the real problem
(19:12) - Why FP&A and accounting need a seat at system selection
(24:20) - The missing data points that cripple FP&A analysis
(33:21) - Why requirements should come from the person doing the work
(39:45) - Why it is easier for finance to become systems-aware than developers to become finance-aware
(43:52) - "Buying a tool is not the solution" - fix the source first
(53:59) - Rapid fire: keep the annual budget only if you actually use it
(57:29) - Purity’s Monday move: pass the knowledge down
Earn CPE Credit:
If you would like to earn CPE credit for listening to the show, visit:
https://earmarkcpe.com/fpa
Download the app, take a short quiz, and get your CPE certificate.
Further Reading/Listening:
Purity Kibaki, CPA(K) - group reporting, consolidation and finance systems at Hatch Africa; founder of Zirconn Black Group (2021-2025).
Purity on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/puritykibaki/
The most expensive finance hire can be the one that looks senior enough to feel safe but solves the wrong problem.
Tom Hunter of Story Recruitment joins FP&A Today to explain why the first finance hire at a startup is often not a CFO. Story Recruitment focuses on first-CFO and first-finance-hire searches for Australian tech, fintech and deeptech startups, and Tom also hosts The CFO Track Podcast. His starting point is simple: before choosing a title, define the financial problem the business actually needs someone to solve.
That often means building the basics first. Tom describes financial controls, governance and reliable reporting as the foundation that FP&A and strategy have to sit on. He also shares an example of a founder who included GST in ARR, overstating revenue and contributing to a chain of due-diligence concerns that ultimately cost the company its lead investor. For growing businesses, the finance function itself becomes a signal of how organized and decision-ready the company really is.
The back half of the conversation looks at how the finance skill set is changing. As AI and better tooling reduce the moat around some technical work, communication, commercial judgment, project management and the ability to influence better decisions become more valuable. Tom argues that finance professionals should not see themselves as ticket takers or back-office support. The strongest finance people operate as commercial enablers who understand the problem, explain the numbers and help move the business forward.
Key Moments
(03:45) - Why controls and reporting come before FP&A and strategy
If you would like to earn CPE credit for listening to the show, visit:
https://earmarkcpe.com/fpa
Download the app, take a short quiz, and get your CPE certificate.
About Tom Hunter
Tom Hunter, Story Recruitment - first-CFO and first-finance-hire search for Australian tech, fintech and deeptech startups. Host of The CFO Track Podcast.
You can find Tom at:
Tom on LinkedIn:
Story Recruitment:
Anders Liu-Lindberg on finance funding its own transformation:
Building FP&A from scratch isn't primarily a spreadsheet problem. It's a people, process, and alignment problem.
The best FP&A professionals don't just explain the numbers. They understand the business well enough to influence it.
For FP&A, the most dangerous revenue number may be the one that looks credible enough not to question.
A $100 million acquisition was just three weeks from closing. The target had been audited, the opinion had come back clean, and the deal looked compelling. Then Devon Coombs, CPA, spent a weekend digging through the contracts and came back with a very different conclusion: the revenue story did not match the contractual rights and cash flows underneath it.
In this episode of FP&A Today, Devon explains why FP&A cannot automatically treat invoicing as revenue, how principal-versus-agent decisions can make the same transaction appear as either $100 or $3 of reported revenue, and why worsening cash flow can reveal problems that a strong top line hides. The conversation also looks ahead to AI and consumption-based pricing, where minimum commitments, usage, overages, invoicing cadence, and contract structure can make forecasting and revenue recognition substantially more complex.
The bigger lesson for FP&A is simple: understanding revenue means understanding the contracts and economics behind the number, not just the number itself.
05:29 — Should the same transaction produce $100 of revenue or $3?
If you would like to earn CPE credit for listening to the show, visit earmarkcpe.com/fpna. Download the app, take a short quiz, and get your CPE certificate.
Devon Coombs — Website & Resources:
Connect with Devon on LinkedIn:
The 10 Laws of Finance:
Top FP&A business consultant Anders Liu-Lindberg joins FP&A Today four years after his first appearance on the show to talk about the radical changes in FP&A and CFO transformation over that period. In the time since, Anders has cemented his reputation as one of the most in-demand consultants for finance transformation, sharing his practical, on-the-ground experience.
If you would like to earn CPE credit for listening to the show, visit earmarkcpe.com/fpna. Download the app, take a short quiz, and get your CPE certificate.
Further reading/listening
Communicating Financials to Executives: by Anders Liu-Lindberg (Author), Christian Frantz Hansen
FP&A Today: More than 12 ERP implementations later…Cindy Vindasius
Peter McKenzie, GM at a Blackstone portfolio company, professor at IESE Business School, and speaker at 50+ conferences across the world, talks frankly about executive presence for finance professionals, developed through 25+ years of C-suite experience He coaches FP&A teams and CFOs on what exactly separates the executives who get recognised from the ones who don't (Communicate with influence, not just authority and focus on strategy and what boards actually want).
In this episode
After two years in the host's chair, Glenn Hopper passes FP&A Today to its new host, Sarah Schlott: a 20-year FP&A leader. The two swap stories on their unlikely paths into finance (including Glenn's forgotten 2006 indie film ), then dig into what's next for the show: more curiosity, more challenging of FP&A's "sacred cows".
Glenn's new book: The AI-Ready CFO: A Strategic Guide to Evaluating and Implementing AI, Automation, and Analytics https://www.amazon.com/AI-Ready-CFO-Evaluating-Implementing-Automation/dp/1394415885
Two recommended follows for AI content
https://www.youtube.com/@AIDailyBrief
https://www.youtube.com/ @matthew_berman
Colin Moss worked for more than 10 years at Mars, which produces some of the world's best-loved brands including Royal Canin, M&M’s and Snickers. In this role, he partnered with the global Finance leadership team to design to stand up the new FinTech function, strengthening the connection between Finance and IT and leading a portfolio of 40+ initiatives, establishing resource and financial management disciplines (before that he was at famed confectionary maker Cadbury). In 2025 he took the leap to set up his own business, CM Strategies working with organisations navigating growth and complexity, helping them redesign how the finance department partners with the business and builds capability .
His message about the function of FP&A is resonant and powerful:
In this episode
Find out more about CM Strategies at www.cmstrategies.co.uk
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