Frazis Capital Podcast

Frazis Capital Podcast

By Michael FrazisBusinessInvesting
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Frazis Capital Podcast episodes

  • #95 Year-End Market: AI CapEx, Nvidia, Neo-Clouds & 2026 Setup | Frazis Capital Podcast
    • Why markets look “fine” but small caps are quietly crashing

    • The brutal 50 - 60% wipeouts in quantum, nuclear & neo-cloud stocks

    • How 2025 became a one-way market dominated by AI & semiconductors

    • AI CapEx, rate expectations, and why headlines are driving everything

    • OpenAI vs Google Gemini vs Claude, who’s actually winning the AI race?

    • The uncomfortable truth about Nvidia demand and “financed revenue”

    • Neo-clouds explained: why leasing GPUs may signal weakness, not strength

    • The looming AI oversupply risk nobody wants to talk about

    • Why hyperscalers (Microsoft, Amazon) always win in compute cycles

    • How our risk models cut exposure before major drawdowns

    • Shorting as a defensive tools, reducing risk without timing the market

    • Why US biotech quietly became one of the best-performing sectors

    • GLP-1 drugs, oral weight-loss meds & the next healthcare rotation

    • Software stocks at cycle lows, where 2–3x upside could emerge

    • Why fintech and payments keep disappointing investors

    • “Compounder” crashes: Nike, Lululemon & the end of premium multiples

    • Aussie tech pain: Xero, WiseTech & massive valuation resets

    • Defence, drones & insider selling, what signals really matter

    • What would actually trigger the next broad market sell-off

    • Our 2026 setup: where risk is rising and where opportunity is forming

    44 min
  • #93: Retail Driving Red-Hot Rally & the $10B Quest for the Holy Grail: Can Grail Change Cancer Detection?

    0:00 – Intro: Mike & Ellianna catch up after Melbourne investor meetings

    0:45 – Market update: Retail investors driving a red-hot rally

    2:15 – Quants, institutions, and semiconductors hitting profit targets

    3:40 – Why Frazis Capital is rotating into healthcare

    4:30 – Spotlight on Grail: $10B spent chasing a pan-cancer blood test

    6:10 – The Pathfinder 2 trial and physician skepticism

    7:40 – FDA approval, adoption challenges, and cash burn9:00 – Clarity Pharmaceuticals: $203M raise and bold head-to-head trial

    10:40 – Lessons from biotech cycles: Intellia’s 100% rebound

    12:10 – Quant signals, timing, and managing risk in volatile markets

    13:40 – Retail euphoria vs. institutional lag — what comes next?

    15:10 – AI investment boom: data centers, semis, and software plays

    17:00 – Byrna’s results & the “AI in everything” trend

    18:20 – When hype meets fundamentals: the AMD-OpenAI deal

    20:00 – Scaling out, profit-taking, and managing portfolio exposure

    22:10 – Wrap-up and next week’s preview

    24 min
  • Amplia Therapeutics with CEO Chris Burns

    00:00 – Intro & welcome to Chris Burns, CEO of Amplia
    02:00 – Why pancreatic cancer is so deadly & hard to diagnose
    06:30 – Current treatment options: Gem/Abraxane vs FOLFIRINOX
    11:20 – Side effects & challenges with chemotherapy
    15:00 – Why pancreatic cancer is difficult to treat (fibrosis & mutations)
    19:00 – Amplia’s approach: FAK inhibitors and how they work
    23:00 – History of FAK inhibitors & Amplia’s drug development story
    27:00 – ACCENT trial design and early results (response rate, PFS)
    32:00 – Complete responses & long-term responders (12–18+ months)
    36:00 – Next steps: Simplicity trial with FOLFIRINOX
    38:30 – Path to registrational trial & FDA fast track
    41:00 – Combination opportunities: KRAS inhibitors & ADCs
    43:00 – Commercial strategy, pricing, partnerships
    44:30 – Wrap-up & final thoughts

    46 min
  • #91: ChatGPT v Google, SpaceX and Autonomous Driving

    Learn more at: www.fraziscapitalpartners.comNvidia’s Q1 PerformanceImpact of the H20 Chip Ban on ChinaMary Meeker: Big Tech CapEx TrendsAutonomous Driving in San Francisco: Waymo vs. UberLidar vs. Vision Debate and Safety ImplicationsLidar Startup Failures and Industry FalloutSpaceX Starship Test Flight & 2026 Mars Launch WindowHumanoid Robots and Potential Economic ImpactAI Attention Economy & ChatGPT vs. Google SearchDeveloper Growth in Google’s EcosystemAWS CapEx Dynamics & Nvidia as Key Beneficiary

    27 min
  • #86: Mike and Ellianna discuss the latest market moves.

    Mike and Ellianna discuss the latest market moves.Sections00:00 - US Tariffs and Market Reactions06:35 - Managing Risk12:41 - Opportunities in Tech and Healthcare21:18 - Reddit23:54 - Market Dynamics and Short Selling28:54 - Clarity's Market Position and Future Prospects33:43 - Biotech Sector Valuation and Mispricing35:55 - Interest Rates and Economic Implications39:50 - Future Investment Strategies and Growth Opportunities

    28 min

About Frazis Capital Podcast

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Michael Frazis and Ellianna discuss the life sciences, technology, and their latest investment ideas.

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