Geopolitics & Empire

Geopolitics & Empire · Gerald Celente: Market Crash or Correction? War or Posturing? #062

Trends forecaster Gerald Celente discusses the financial crisis, gold, copper, bitcoin and the rumors of war in Korea, Iran and the Middle East.

Website

trendsresearch.com

occupypeace.us

twitter.com/geraldcelente

youtube.com/user/gcelente

About Gerald Celente

Gerald Celente, a pioneer trend strategist, founded the Trends Research Institute in 1980. He is the author of the national bestseller Trends 2000 and Trend Tracking: Far Better than Megatrends (Warner Books), and publisher of the internationally distributed quarterly Trends Journal.

For more than three decades, Celente has built his reputation as a fearless teller of the truth, an accurate forecaster and an analyst whose expertise crosses many arenas, from economics to politics, from health to science, and more. Most important, Celente is a pure political atheist. Unencumbered by political dogma, rigid ideology or conventional wisdom, Celente—whose motto is "think for yourself"—observes and analyzes the current events forming future trends, seeing them for what they are – not as what he'd like them to be.

At the heart of Celente's work - and his remarkable durability as an innovative, accurate forecaster - is his unique perspectives on current events forming future trends. He developed the Globalnomic® methodology to identify, track, forecast and manage trends.To this day, this methodology stands by itself for its accuracy, vision and penetrating insights into the trends taking shape across the globe.

Covering scores of diversified trends fields, Gerald Celente and the Trends Research Institute provide trend research studies and consulting services to individuals, professional organizations, businesses and governments worldwide. Celente also designed the nation’s first professional course in trend forecasting.

Prior to founding the Institute, Celente was a Government Affairs Specialist and an Executive Assistant to the Secretary of the New York State Senate. He earned an Honorary Doctorate Degree in Law from the National University of Health Sciences and a Masters in Public Administration from West Virginia University.

In the final analysis, it's about the quality, frequency and accuracy of the forecasts Celente has made. He earned his reputation as "The most trusted name in trends" by accurately forecasting hundreds of social, business, consumer, environmental, economic, political, entertainment, and technology trends.

*Podcast intro music is from the song "The Queens Jig" by "Musicke & Mirth" from their album "Music for Two Lyra Viols": http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)

Trends forecaster Gerald Celente discusses the financial crisis, gold, copper, bitcoin and the rumors of war in Korea, Iran and the Middle East.

Website

trendsresearch.com

occupypeace.us

twitter.com/geraldcelente

youtube.com/user/gcelente

About Gerald Celente

Gerald Celente, a pioneer trend strategist, founded the Trends Research Institute in 1980. He is the author of the national bestseller Trends 2000 and Trend Tracking: Far Better than Megatrends (Warner Books), and publisher of the internationally distributed quarterly Trends Journal.

For more than three decades, Celente has built his reputation as a fearless teller of the truth, an accurate forecaster and an analyst whose expertise crosses many arenas, from economics to politics, from health to science, and more. Most important, Celente is a pure political atheist. Unencumbered by political dogma, rigid ideology or conventional wisdom, Celente—whose motto is "think for yourself"—observes and analyzes the current events forming future trends, seeing them for what they are – not as what he'd like them to be.

At the heart of Celente's work - and his remarkable durability as an innovative, accurate forecaster - is his unique perspectives on current events forming future trends. He developed the Globalnomic® methodology to identify, track, forecast and manage trends.To this day, this methodology stands by itself for its accuracy, vision and penetrating insights into the trends taking shape across the globe. Covering scores of diversified trends fields, Gerald Celente and the Trends Research Institute provide trend research studies and consulting services to individuals, professional organizations, businesses and governments worldwide. Celente also designed the nation’s first professional course in trend forecasting.

Prior to founding the Institute, Celente was a Government Affairs Specialist and an Executive Assistant to the Secretary of the New York State Senate. He earned an Honorary Doctorate Degree in Law from the National University of Health Sciences and a Masters in Public Administration from West Virginia University. In the final analysis, it's about the quality, frequency and accuracy of the forecasts Celente has made. He earned his reputation as "The most trusted name in trends" by accurately forecasting hundreds of social, business, consumer, environmental, economic, political, entertainment, and technology trends.

*Podcast intro music is from the song "The Queens Jig" by "Musicke & Mirth" from their album "Music for Two Lyra Viols": http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0SOnAOjBhWU

Serial entrepreneur and CEO of The Things Industries Wienke Giezeman talks about Net Neutrality, Title II, the imminent threat to the internet as we've known it and what a free and open internet should look like.

Show Notes

Battle for the Net

The World for Net Neutrality

International Open Letter Warns US: Rolling Back Net Neutrality Rules Could Create “Significant Social and Economic Harms”

European Digital Rights

Websites

Startups for Net Neutrality

The Things Network

https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/419277966/the-things-network

About Wienke Giezeman

Wienke Giezeman is the co-founder of The Things Network. He is on a mission to provide the entire world with a free and open internet of things data network. He managed to provide the city of Amsterdam with coverage in 6 weeks, and he is now building a global IoT data network.

Check: The Things Network, building a global IoT data network in 6 months.

He started his career with KPN but soon after he left the corporate world and founded WappZapp, a video on demand platform providing curated free and paid video. Wappzapp got acquired by Sanoma Publishing at the end of 2014.

Wienke has been fighting for a free and open internet since he founded Startups for Net Neutrality. Together with a group of people he let the EU Parliament know how important net neutrality is for starting online businesses.

He is also the founder and CEO of The Smiths, an app agency, and he is mentor at Rockstart Accellerator. He talks about the Internet of Things, Starups, net neutrality and app development.

*Podcast intro music is from the song "The Queens Jig" by "Musicke & Mirth" from their album "Music for Two Lyra Viols": http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)

Serial entrepreneur and CEO of The Things Industries Wienke Giezeman talks about Net Neutrality, Title II, the imminent threat to the internet as we've known it and what a free and open internet should look like.

Show Notes

Battle for the Net https://www.battleforthenet.com/dc/

The World for Net Neutrality https://www.theworldfornetneutrality.com/

International Open Letter Warns US: Rolling Back Net Neutrality Rules Could Create “Significant Social and Economic Harms” https://hackernoon.com/growing-international-network-warns-the-us-rolling-back-net-neutrality-rules-could-create-20be77ae6c5f

European Digital Rights https://edri.org/

Websites

Startups for Net Neutrality http://www.startupsfornetneutrality.eu/

The Things Network https://www.thethingsnetwork.org/u/wienkegiezeman

About Wienke Giezeman

Wienke Giezeman is the co-founder of The Things Network. He is on a mission to provide the entire world with a free and open internet of things data network. He managed to provide the city of Amsterdam with coverage in 6 weeks, and he is now building a global IoT data network. Check: The Things Network, building a global IoT data network in 6 months.

He started his career with KPN but soon after he left the corporate world and founded WappZapp, a video on demand platform providing curated free and paid video. Wappzapp got acquired by Sanoma Publishing at the end of 2014. Wienke has been fighting for a free and open internet since he founded Startups for Net Neutrality. Together with a group of people he let the EU Parliament know how important net neutrality is for starting online businesses. He is also the founder and CEO of The Smiths, an app agency, and he is mentor at Rockstart Accellerator. He talks about the Internet of Things, Starups, net neutrality and app development.

*Podcast intro music is from the song "The Queens Jig" by "Musicke & Mirth" from their album "Music for Two Lyra Viols": http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)

Geopolitics & Empire · Marie-Hélène Caillol: Political Anticipation of Global Systemic Crisis #060

The president of the European Laboratory of Political Anticipation discusses their method of political forecasting, the global systemic crisis, the transition from petrodollar to petroyuan, Brexit, the Middle East and more.

Show Notes

Western Systemic Crisis 2017-2019 – The Almighty dollar against the Great Petro-Yuan Temptation

2019 / Brexit: Towards the reintegration of the new UK into a new Europe

Website

http://geab.eu/en

http://www.leap2020.net/?lang=en

About GEAB and LEAP

The GEAB is a monthly, affordable, decision and analysis support instrument intended for all those for whom the understanding of future world developments examined from a truly European perspective constitutes a significant part of their work or project: advisors, consultants, financiers, economists, researchers, experts, heads of public institutions, research centres and international businesses, or major NGOs.

GEAB is at the origin of the concept of ‘global systemic crisis’

As early as February 15th, the second issue of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin (GEAB N°2 announced that an international political, economic and monetary crisis was to be triggered in the course of the last week of March 2006. The public announcement summing up this position toured the world, raising virulent criticisms of course, but above all warm thanks and vivid gratefulness for having opened a debate considered a healthy one.

A tribute: three years before he died on July 2nd 2009, French prospectivist Pierre Gonod analyzed LEAP’s work of anticipation

“LEAP has anticipated a “Global Systemic Crisis”, its calendar and its steps. I haven’t come across any such strong positioning in the microcosm of forward studies for a long time. A brave attitude contrasting with the profession’s current pusillanimity. Years ago already, French forward studies have given up on global anticipation. Why? Probably because of the growing complexity of the world that a simplistic way of thinking cannot grasp. Maybe also because our time is invaded by political correctness and has become unable to envisage radical breaks. LEAP must be praised for changing this….

From January 2006 to October 2012 the GEAB was edited and coordinated by Franck Biancheri, LEAP’s director of studies and strategies and creator of the political anticipation method. Since Franck Biancheri’s death, each issue is edited by Marie-Hélène Caillol and coordinated by Sylvain Périfel, using our research teams to the full.

Contents

Global systemic crisis watch

Analysis of topical political, economic and financial subjects

Identification of relevant pointers, trend analysis, anticipating changes

Monitoring the Dollar, the US economy, the global economy, financial markets,…; anticipating changes

Monitoring the Euro, the European economy, developments in European governance…; anticipating changes

Monitoring the BRICS countries’ emergence, economic indicators, global rebalancing, global governance…; anticipating changes

Implications of the crisis for security and defence, politics, public opinion…

Identifying promising future paths

Strategic recommendations to directors and managers

Investment advice and asset protection

*Podcast intro music is from the song "The Queens Jig" by "Musicke & Mirth" from their album "Music for Two Lyra Viols": http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)

The president of the European Laboratory of Political Anticipation discusses their method of political forecasting, the global systemic crisis, the transition from petrodollar to petroyuan, Brexit, the Middle East and more.

Show Notes

Western Systemic Crisis 2017-2019 – The Almighty dollar against the Great Petro-Yuan Temptation

2019 / Brexit: Towards the reintegration of the new UK into a new Europe

Website

http://geab.eu/en

http://www.leap2020.net/?lang=en

About GEAB and LEAP

The GEAB is a monthly, affordable, decision and analysis support instrument intended for all those for whom the understanding of future world developments examined from a truly European perspective constitutes a significant part of their work or project: advisors, consultants, financiers, economists, researchers, experts, heads of public institutions, research centres and international businesses, or major NGOs.

GEAB is at the origin of the concept of ‘global systemic crisis’

As early as February 15th, the second issue of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin (GEAB N°2 announced that an international political, economic and monetary crisis was to be triggered in the course of the last week of March 2006. The public announcement summing up this position toured the world, raising virulent criticisms of course, but above all warm thanks and vivid gratefulness for having opened a debate considered a healthy one.

A tribute: three years before he died on July 2nd 2009, French prospectivist Pierre Gonod analyzed LEAP’s work of anticipation

“LEAP has anticipated a “Global Systemic Crisis”, its calendar and its steps. I haven’t come across any such strong positioning in the microcosm of forward studies for a long time. A brave attitude contrasting with the profession’s current pusillanimity. Years ago already, French forward studies have given up on global anticipation. Why? Probably because of the growing complexity of the world that a simplistic way of thinking cannot grasp. Maybe also because our time is invaded by political correctness and has become unable to envisage radical breaks. LEAP must be praised for changing this….

From January 2006 to October 2012 the GEAB was edited and coordinated by Franck Biancheri, LEAP’s director of studies and strategies and creator of the political anticipation method. Since Franck Biancheri’s death, each issue is edited by Marie-Hélène Caillol and coordinated by Sylvain Périfel, using our research teams to the full.

Contents

Global systemic crisis watch

Analysis of topical political, economic and financial subjects

Identification of relevant pointers, trend analysis, anticipating changes

Monitoring the Dollar, the US economy, the global economy, financial markets,…; anticipating changes

Monitoring the Euro, the European economy, developments in European governance…; anticipating changes

Monitoring the BRICS countries’ emergence, economic indicators, global rebalancing, global governance…; anticipating changes

Implications of the crisis for security and defence, politics, public opinion…

Identifying promising future paths

Strategic recommendations to directors and managers

Investment advice and asset protection

*Podcast intro music is from the song "The Queens Jig" by "Musicke & Mirth" from their album "Music for Two Lyra Viols": http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)

Geopolitics & Empire · Bahauddin Foizee: The Geopolitics of Asia-Pacific #059

Geopolitical analyst Bahauddin Foizee discusses the Rohingya conflict in Myanmar and its spillover into Bangladesh. He also discusses Bangladesh's role in China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and how the US is seeking to undermine the New Silk Road by supporting India while Russia moves closer to Pakistan.

Show Notes

http://southasiajournal.net/trump-adds-intensity-to-obamas-policy-of-partnering-india-gradually-deserting

http://www.atimes.com/bangladesh-showcases-readiness-security-threats

https://bahauddinfoizee.wordpress.com/2017/04/09/quick-read-direct-us-china-or-us-russia-confrontation-is-unlikely

http://www.atimes.com/irans-rising-influence-raises-saudi-eyebrows

https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20170401-shared-regional-agendas-are-stimulating-the-rapid-rise-of-turkey-qatar-cooperation

http://thediplomat.com/2016/12/the-real-reason-bajwa-was-appointed-pakistans-chief-of-army-staff

http://www.dw.com/en/opinion-the-gray-area-in-myanmars-rohingya-conflict/a-40384101

Website

https://bahauddinfoizee.wordpress.com

About Bahauddin Foizee

Bahauddin Foizee is an international affairs columnist, and specializes in greater Asia-Pacific and Middle Eastern geopolitics. His articles have appeared in many international outlets such as The Diplomat, Asia Times, Eurasia Review, Modern Diplomacy and leading Dhaka-based English papers, including The Independent, The Financial Express and Daily Observer. Also a legal practitioner, he holds a law degree from the University of London.

*Podcast intro music is from the song "The Queens Jig" by "Musicke & Mirth" from their album "Music for Two Lyra Viols": http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)

Geopolitical analyst Bahauddin Foizee discusses the Rohingya conflict in Myanmar and its spillover into Bangladesh. He also discusses Bangladesh's role in China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and how the US is seeking to undermine the New Silk Road by supporting India while Russia moves closer to Pakistan.

Show Notes

http://southasiajournal.net/trump-adds-intensity-to-obamas-policy-of-partnering-india-gradually-deserting

http://www.atimes.com/bangladesh-showcases-readiness-security-threats

https://bahauddinfoizee.wordpress.com/2017/04/09/quick-read-direct-us-china-or-us-russia-confrontation-is-unlikely

http://www.atimes.com/irans-rising-influence-raises-saudi-eyebrows

https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20170401-shared-regional-agendas-are-stimulating-the-rapid-rise-of-turkey-qatar-cooperation

http://thediplomat.com/2016/12/the-real-reason-bajwa-was-appointed-pakistans-chief-of-army-staff

http://www.dw.com/en/opinion-the-gray-area-in-myanmars-rohingya-conflict/a-40384101

Website

https://bahauddinfoizee.wordpress.com

About Bahauddin Foizee

Bahauddin Foizee is an international affairs columnist, and specializes in greater Asia-Pacific and Middle Eastern geopolitics. His articles have appeared in many international outlets such as The Diplomat, Asia Times, Eurasia Review, Modern Diplomacy and leading Dhaka-based English papers, including The Independent, The Financial Express and Daily Observer. Also a legal practitioner, he holds a law degree from the University of London.

*Podcast intro music is from the song "The Queens Jig" by "Musicke & Mirth" from their album "Music for Two Lyra Viols": http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8npPSB90ZU&t=15s

The founder of peace and conflict studies, Dr. Johan Galtung, discusses his predictions of the US Empire collapsing and becoming a dictatorship, before eventually rebuilding its democracy.

Show Notes

USA–Where Are You Heading?

Pentagon Study Declares American Empire Is Collapsing

DOD Risk Assessment in a Post-Primacy World

US Power Will Decline Under Trump Says Futurist Who Predicted Soviet Collapse

Websites

https://www.transcend.org

https://www.galtung-institut.de

Books

https://www.transcend.org/tup/index.php?book=5

About Johan Galtung

Johan Galtung, dr, dr hc mult, a professor of peace studies, was born in 1930 in Oslo, Norway. He is a mathematician, sociologist, political scientist and the founder of the discipline of peace studies. He founded the International Peace Research Institute, Oslo (1959), the world's first academic research center focused on peace studies, as well as the influential Journal of Peace Research (1964). He has helped found dozens of other peace centers around the world. He is currently the president of the Galtung-Institut for Peace Theory & Peace Practice.

He has served as a professor for peace studies at universities all over the world, including Columbia (New York), Oslo, Berlin, Belgrade, Paris, Santiago de Chile, Buenos Aires, Cairo, Sichuan, Ritsumeikan (Japan), Princeton, Hawai'i, Tromsoe, Bern, Alicante (Spain) and dozens of others on all continents. He has taught thousands of individuals and motivated them to dedicate their lives to the promotion of peace and the satisfaction of basic human needs.

He has mediated in over 150 conflicts between states, nations, religions, civilizations, communities, and persons since 1957. His contributions to peace theory and practice include conceptualization of peace-building, conflict mediation, reconciliation, nonviolence, theory of structural violence, theorizing about negative vs. positive peace, peace education and peace journalism. Prof. Galtung's unique imprint on the study of conflict and peace stems from a combination of systematic scientific inquiry and a Gandhian ethics of peaceful means and harmony. [spoiler]

Johan Galtung has conducted a great deal of research in many fields and made original contributions not only to peace studies but also, among others, human rights, basic needs, development strategies, a world economy that sustains life, macro-history, theory of civilizations, federalism, globalization, theory of discourse, social pathologies, deep culture, peace and religions, social science methodology, sociology, ecology, future studies.

He is author or co-author of more than 1600 articles and over 160 books on peace and related issues, including Peace By Peaceful Means (1996), Macrohistory and Macrohistorians (with Sohail Inayatullah, 1997), Conflict Transformation By Peaceful Means (1998), Johan uten land (autobiography, 2000), Transcend & Transform: An Introduction to Conflict Work (2004, in 25 languages), 50 Years - 100 Peace and Conflict Perspectives (2008), Democracy - Peace - Development (with Paul Scott, 2008), 50 Years - 25 Intellectual Landscapes Explored (2008), Globalizing God (with Graeme MacQueen, 2008), The Fall of the US Empire - And Then What (2009), Peace Business (with Jack Santa Barbara and Fred Dubee, 2009), A Theory of Conflict (2010), A Theory of Development (2010), Reporting Conflict: New Directions in Peace Journalism (with Jake Lynch and Annabel McGoldrick, 2010), Korea: The Twisting Roads to Unification (with Jae-Bong Lee, 2011), Reconciliation (with Joanna Santa Barbara and Diane Perlman, 2012), Peace Mathematics (with Dietrich Fischer, 2012), Peace Economics (2012), A Theory of Civilization (forthcoming 2013), and A Theory of Peace (forthcoming 2013). In 2008, he founded the TRANSCEND University Press. 36 of his books have been translated into 33 languages, for a total of 134 book translations.

He is the weekly editorialist for TRANSCEND Media Service-TMS, which features solutions-oriented peace journalism.

He is founder (in 2000) and rector of the TRANSCEND Peace University, the world's first online Peace Studies University. He is also the founder and director of TRANSCEND International, a global non‑profit network for Peace, Development and the Environment, founded in 1993, with over 500 members in more than 70 countries around the world. As a testimony to his legacy, peace studies are now taught and researched at over 500 universities across the globe and some are contributing to peacemaking efforts in conflicts around the world wihtout buying into the securitization sell out.

He was jailed in Norway for six months at age 24 as a Conscientious Objector to serving in the military, after having done 12 months of civilian service, the same time as those doing military service. He agreed to serve an extra 6 months if he could work for peace, but that was refused. In jail he wrote his first book, Gandhi's Political Ethics, together with his mentor, Arne Naess.

As a recipient of over a dozen honorary doctorates and professorships and many other distinctions, including a Right Livelihood Award (also known as Alternative Nobel Peace Prize), Johan Galtung remains committed to the study and promotion of peace. [/spoiler]

Transcript

Interviewer:

We are speaking with the renowned founder of Peace and Conflict Studies, Dr. Johan Galtung, author of countless publications, conflict mediator, founder of Transcend International, and the Galtung Institute, consultant to governments, the UN, and so much more.

I'd like to cover two central themes today. First, the fall of the US empire and its consequences, either a blossoming republic or a catastrophe as you say, and second, what global issues you consider the most pressing today and what suggestions you have to resolve these conflicts.

In 1980, you successfully predicted the fall of the Soviet Union, which you said would happen in 1990. You used six indicators to do this, and then in recent years, you doubled those indicators to twelve and applied them in analyzing the fall of the other superpower, the USA. You brought up the subject in an article recently on Transcend Media, citing an essay by Nafeez Ahmed and a new Pentagon study which seemed to further confirm your findings that Empire America is approaching its final death throes. Even renowned researcher Alfred McCoy has published a book that will be out soon on the same theme. He has set 2030 as the Empire's time marker for passing. You recently revised your prediction for the collapse, from 2025 to 2020. Is this the most important event of our time, and can you unpack the key points and implications of the empires and for us and help us understand what is about to happen? [spoiler]

Johan Galtung:

Well, let us first be very clear about the terms here. You see, the other person you quoted, I think he gets it wrong. An "empire" means that you have a client state that does the job for you, and when I predicted the decline and fall of the US empire, I did not predict the decline and fall of US violence. I did not predict the decline and fall of the United States of America. I predicted that we would do the killing for the United States, because the empire would collapse.

Now, the situation is the following. You may have noticed that in Bratislava, November 6th last year, they had a big discussion about this in the European Union countries. What they said, again and again and again, was, "We are no longer going to fight the wars of the United States." That was a very clear statement, and that is the kind of thing I'm looking for.

However, there are some countries that are still, and still have been fighting wars of the United States, more particularly three countries. United Kingdom, Denmark, and Norway. Denmark and Norway were rewarded by the United States for fighting in Libya by being appointed Secretary General of NATO one after the other. The present one is a former Norwegian Prime Minister.

Why United Kingdom, Denmark and Norway? Well you see here you have to look into history. I could say immediately, because they're Evangelical Protestant countries like the United States, but I'm not saying that these are religious wars. I'm just saying that being Evangelical Protestants, the United States, England, with the famous Anglican Church from which very many people came to United States, Norway and Denmark, being that they have something in common, some kind of loyalty, solidarity, and the countries that refuse to fight US wars, the Catholic countries, and Orthodox countries. You see, we are not saying that this is religious. I'm only saying that old ties of solidarity play an enormous role.

If I then predicted a decline and fall of the United States Empire by 2020, one might say, "We are today 2017 and we are into the month of September, so Johan Galtung, about your prediction. You said before 2020." Yes, I stand by that one, but I think the three countries I mentioned, United Kingdom, Denmark, and Norway, will distance themselves from United States killing, and that it's already happening, and of course it's particularly easy to distance oneself when the president of the United States is a clinically insane person, Donald Trump.

Clinically insane, suffering from throughout his autism, living in his own little bubble and deriding this so-called foreign policy from his bubble. In other words, I stand by my prediction, but it's a little bit more complicated than the person you quoted. I think he got almost everything wrong, and I prefer to forget about it.

Interviewer:

In your research, you say you were inspired by analyzing the fall of the Roman Empire. Could we say that Trump is not a cause, but a symptom of the end, a degenerating face of the empirical cycle?

Johan Galtung:

He's a part of it. He's a part of it, but what is collapsing now is more than the United States empire. What is collapsing right now is the United States

The founder of peace and conflict studies, Dr. Johan Galtung, discusses his predictions of the US Empire collapsing and becoming a dictatorship, before eventually rebuilding its democracy.

Show Notes

USA–Where Are You Heading? https://www.transcend.org/tms/2017/09/usa-where-are-you-heading/

Pentagon Study Declares American Empire Is Collapsing https://medium.com/insurge-intelligence/pentagon-study-declares-american-empire-is-collapsing-746754cdaebf

DOD Risk Assessment in a Post-Primacy World https://ssi.armywarcollege.edu/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=1358

US Power Will Decline Under Trump Says Futurist Who Predicted Soviet Collapse https://motherboard.vice.com/en_us/article/d7ykxx/us-power-will-decline-under-trump-says-futurist-who-predicted-soviet-collapse

Websites

https://www.transcend.org

https://www.galtung-institut.de

Books

https://www.transcend.org/tup/index.php?book=5

About Johan Galtung

Johan Galtung, dr, dr hc mult, a professor of peace studies, was born in 1930 in Oslo, Norway. He is a mathematician, sociologist, political scientist and the founder of the discipline of peace studies. He founded the International Peace Research Institute, Oslo (1959), the world's first academic research center focused on peace studies, as well as the influential Journal of Peace Research (1964). He has helped found dozens of other peace centers around the world. He is currently the president of the Galtung-Institut for Peace Theory & Peace Practice.

He has served as a professor for peace studies at universities all over the world, including Columbia (New York), Oslo, Berlin, Belgrade, Paris, Santiago de Chile, Buenos Aires, Cairo, Sichuan, Ritsumeikan (Japan), Princeton, Hawai'i, Tromsoe, Bern, Alicante (Spain) and dozens of others on all continents. He has taught thousands of individuals and motivated them to dedicate their lives to the promotion of peace and the satisfaction of basic human needs.

He has mediated in over 150 conflicts between states, nations, religions, civilizations, communities, and persons since 1957. His contributions to peace theory and practice include conceptualization of peace-building, conflict mediation, reconciliation, nonviolence, theory of structural violence, theorizing about negative vs. positive peace, peace education and peace journalism. Prof. Galtung's unique imprint on the study of conflict and peace stems from a combination of systematic scientific inquiry and a Gandhian ethics of peaceful means and harmony. [spoiler]

Johan Galtung has conducted a great deal of research in many fields and made original contributions not only to peace studies but also, among others, human rights, basic needs, development strategies, a world economy that sustains life, macro-history, theory of civilizations, federalism, globalization, theory of discourse, social pathologies, deep culture, peace and religions, social science methodology, sociology, ecology, future studies.

He is author or co-author of more than 1600 articles and over 160 books on peace and related issues, including Peace By Peaceful Means (1996), Macrohistory and Macrohistorians (with Sohail Inayatullah, 1997), Conflict Transformation By Peaceful Means (1998), Johan uten land (autobiography, 2000), Transcend & Transform: An Introduction to Conflict Work (2004, in 25 languages), 50 Years - 100 Peace and Conflict Perspectives (2008), Democracy - Peace - Development (with Paul Scott, 2008), 50 Years - 25 Intellectual Landscapes Explored (2008), Globalizing God (with Graeme MacQueen, 2008), The Fall of the US Empire - And Then What (2009), Peace Business (with Jack Santa Barbara and Fred Dubee, 2009), A Theory of Conflict (2010), A Theory of Development (2010), Reporting Conflict: New Directions in Peace Journalism (with Jake Lynch and Annabel McGoldrick, 2010),