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In our forecast, which the consensus and market have come to over the past months (resilient growth, sticky inflation, hawkish central banks), the distinctiveness has diminished. However, this doesn’t stop us from worrying about things, or arguing about them. The baseline is still for continued expansion with a bit of upside risk driven by an unstoppable consumer, but downsides can still be seen in the tail.
Speakers:
Bruce Kasman
Joseph Lupton
This podcast was recorded on 10 July 2026.
By J.P. Morgan Global Research4.1
2828 ratings
In our forecast, which the consensus and market have come to over the past months (resilient growth, sticky inflation, hawkish central banks), the distinctiveness has diminished. However, this doesn’t stop us from worrying about things, or arguing about them. The baseline is still for continued expansion with a bit of upside risk driven by an unstoppable consumer, but downsides can still be seen in the tail.
Speakers:
Bruce Kasman
Joseph Lupton
This podcast was recorded on 10 July 2026.

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