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Oil prices ignore reports of progress in the Russia-Ukraine and US-Iran conflicts. President Trump desperate for a diplomatic win ahead of difficult midterm elections. Risk sentiment remains fragile as AI-related stocks face valuation and earnings pressures. Euro struggle persists, while the pound gains on strong CPI and PPI prints.

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Dollar trades mixed as improving appetite supports euro, aussie and kiwi.
French political uncertainty remains a significant downside risk for the euro.
Yen faces intervention risks, but BoJ policy may keep it under pressure.
Wall Street rebounds amid tech gains; major earnings to test AI optimism.

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Euro pressured as French yields jump after weekend unrest. Oil rally cools after Trump waives Russian sanctions. Dollar steady as Treasury yields continue to retreat. Stocks mixed as AI jitters heightened ahead of crucial earnings test.

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Warsh gives no hints on October hike, adding pressure on dollar and
yields. Traders shrug off alarming US inflation data. Stocks pare losses
after brutal week for AI sector, but caution remains. Oil prices drift lower but
supply risks persist; gold on firmer footing

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Inflation data in the UK and Japan, alongside UK employment figures, will be in focus this week. However, the spotlight will fall on October’s flash PMIs across the Eurozone, UK and US, as traders assess the outlook for interest rates amid elevated oil prices. Gain insight into potential market direction, trading strategy considerations, risk management, and key levels to watch in this week’s market outlook.

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Hot US CPI lifts dollar and yields, but not for long as bonds rally on chip selloff. AI stocks plunge again on Chinese competition and AI spending fears. Stellar earnings by TSMC and AMSL unable to stop the bleeding. Gold bounces back ahead of more key US data and Fed speakers.

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Dollar slides as Fed’s Williams sees no hikes in 2027. Oil prices extend rebound, adding to inflation concerns. Hotter-than-expected inflation could strengthen Fed hike bets. Wall Street trades cautiously after mixed bank earnings, ahead of CPI data.

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Fed’s Hammack sounds hawkish, Middle-East tensions escalate. Oil prices revive inflation fears, but Fed hike steady ahead of US CPI data. RBA leaves door open to additional hikes, BoJ expected to hike gradually. Wall Street trades cautiously as major US banks kick off earnings season.

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Event-packed week as US data and earnings take centre stage. Trump-Russia agreement and criticism of Zelenskyy draw attention. Mixed risk appetite today as the drop in US Treasury yields pauses. Euro/dollar trades sideways, gold slides as headline risk remains high.

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Trump says won’t attack Iran before midterms, easing escalation fears. Oil prices wipe weekly gains, helping bond markets to stabilize. Dollar also pares gains, lifting gold. Mood improves in equities, with OpenAI further boosting sentiment.

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