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Dollar unable to capitalize on ‘higher for longer’ Fed bets. Yen and gold feel the heat of rising US yields instead. Stocks remain resilient, but risk/reward is unattractive.

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nvestors will receive another dose of crucial data releases next week that can fuel market volatility. The highlight will be the minutes of the last FOMC meeting, where there’s a risk that policymakers strike a different tone than Powell did back then. Over in New Zealand, the central bank is about to roll out another rate hike. Meanwhile, the latest set of business surveys will provide a timely update on the health of the global economy. 

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US producer prices accelerate, initial jobless claims slide. Fed’s Mester and Bullard appear in their hawkish suits. Dollar extends gains, Wall Street slides as Fed hike bets grow.

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US retail sales rebound strongly, adding to soft landing hopes. Dollar climbs higher as investors maintain Fed hike bets. Pound falls as slowing inflation alleviates pressure on BoE. Equities gain, but gold extends decline.

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Rental and food prices fuel US CPI. Dollar gains as investors add to Fed hike bets. Eurozone employment hits new record. ECB President Lagarde steps onto the rostrum.

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Stocks rebound as bond yields fall back, but US inflation report poses a risk. Yen firmer after Ueda confirmed as nominee for BoJ governor. Pound inches higher on UK jobs data, gold finds support ahead of US CPI.

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Stocks, yields and US rate futures fall in line with Fed’s ‘higher for longer’ message. Worries about upside surprise in US CPI report weighs on mood, dollar firms. Yen reverses gains as contender for BoJ chief dents hawkish expectations.

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Wall Street headed for weekly losses as hawkish Fed talk pushes up
yields. But dollar mixed as investors await more clues on inflation. Yen
gains on BoJ nomination reports, oil jumps as Russia cuts output.

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A tsunami lies ahead for FX traders. The dollar staged a recovery lately as markets priced in a higher peak for Fed rates, but whether this comeback has scope to continue will depend on the upcoming US inflation report. Over in Japan, the nation will enter a new chapter with the nomination of its next central bank chief, putting the yen in the spotlight.

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After Powell, investors listen to more Fed members. But implied path on interest rates stays unchanged. Jobless claims and next week’s CPI data are the dollar’s next tests.

Risk Warning: 78.17% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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In-depth forex news analysis on all major currencies, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, AUD/USD.