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Gold and equities bounce back, capitalizing on retreat in US rates. Dollar
drifts lower despite strong data, pressured by cheerful mood. Massive week
lies ahead with three central banks and US payrolls.

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Market participants are in for a wild ride, as the coming week is loaded with promising events. The ball will get rolling with central bank meetings in Australia and Canada. Those will serve as appetizers for the Bank of Japan’s decision, which might be a close call, feeding volatility in the yen. In the US, the latest employment report and testimony by the Fed chief before Congress will decide whether the dollar’s recovery still has miles left in the tank.

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Dollar eases from highs as yields rally pauses for breath ahead of ISM services PMI. But Wall Street bounces back as Fed officials hint at ‘steady as she goes’ approach. Euro fights back as ECB hawkish soundbites keep coming, yen mixed on BoJ doubts.

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Dollar slips as Chinese PMIs spark risk-on. But pares losses after ISM manufacturing PMI data. Euro traders await Eurozone inflation numbers. Rising Fed hike bets hurt Wall Street.

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Strong China factory data boosts equities but rate hike fears limit gains. Dollar pulls back, euro climbs as ECB starts QT. Aussie and loonie up on China optimism but soft GDP numbers weigh.

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Dollar slides as durable goods orders slip more than expected. Pound outperforms on New Northern Ireland deal. Equities gain, but outlook stays dim.

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Yen retreats after incoming BoJ Governor strikes cautious tone. Dollar
grinds higher, pushing gold to lowest levels of 2023. Stock markets close in
the green, Nvidia does the heavy lifting.

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Following a relatively busy week, the calendar becomes lighter next week. However, that doesn’t mean there are no important economic releases on the agenda. On the contrary, with market participants trying to figure out how many more rate hikes the US economy can withstand, they may pay extra attention to the ISM PMIs for February. Also, with most ECB policymakers arguing that more 50bps worth of rate hikes are needed to tame inflation, the Eurozone’s preliminary CPI numbers for February will likely take center stage as well.


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Fed minutes show that almost all officials backed 25bps hike. Dollar strengthens as they remain willing to adjust as necessary. Yen traders await Ueda’s first speech after his nomination.

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Dollar strengthens as better PMIs add to Fed hike bets. Eurozone and UK PMIs also surprise to the upside. Equities and risk-linked currencies feel the heat of hike bets.

Risk Warning: 78.17% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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