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Stocks extend gains as banking turmoil continues to subside. Dollar catches up with firmer Treasury yields, yen tumbles. Oil rises to 2-week high on improving tone and on Iraq supply concerns.

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Banking turmoil subsides further, sparking rotation away from tech into financials. Deutsche Bank joins in the rally as officials play down concerns. Dollar stays pressured as Fed rate cut bets remain in play, US data eyed.

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Speculation for Fed rate cuts intensifies, keeping dollar in slow gear. Yen
advances as yields edge lower, stock markets resume selloff. European
PMIs exceed forecasts, but euro gets smoked by bank risks.

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Amid ongoing jitters about the fallout from the banking sector, inflation will fall back into the limelight next week. The flash CPI readings for the euro area as well as the PCE inflation figures out of the United States will grab most of the headlines, in an otherwise quiet week. Hot CPI numbers could roil markets as central banks have indicated that they are not about to take their eye off the ball during these turbulent times.

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Fed hikes by 25bps, opens the door to a pause. Dollar slides across the board. Wall Street falls on Powell and Yellen remarks. SNB delivers double hike, BoE to proceed with 25bps.

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With banking nerves calming down, Fed is set to raise interest rates today. Market reaction will depend mostly on rate projections and Powell’s tone. Sterling advances after hot inflation numbers telegraph BoE rate hike.

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Nerves around banking sector recede for now, as traders bet on Fed cuts. Gold loses some of its safe-haven appeal, stock markets bounce back. Dollar remains under pressure, unable to capitalize on market turbulence.

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Banking fears persist despite contingency plans. Yen gains as equities and
bond yields slide. Fed is seen pausing and initiating rate cuts. Gold
skyrockets above $2,000, oil falls to 15-month low.

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ECB delivers what it promised but abandons forward guidance, euro climbs. US banks pour $30 billion into troubled First Republic in rescue deal. Stocks rise in relief rally, yields make unconvincing rebound, dollar slips. But some caution today as triple witching looms.

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With cracks appearing in the US banking system, markets think there’s a chance the Fed won’t raise rates at all next week. But considering that the Fed has already taken measures to ease financial stress and that inflation is still raging, the most likely outcome is a rate increase accompanied by high rate projections, which boost the dollar. The Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank meet as well.

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