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Tech earnings and US data awaited for direction as outlook remains
clouded. Lingering uncertainties drag US yields and the dollar lower; debt
ceiling in focus. Yen firms slightly after Ueda opens the door to future policy
tightening.

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US business activity picks up in April, but Fed still seen pausing after May.
Mixed start for dollar and stocks before barrage of tech earnings and US
data. Yen steady ahead of BoJ decision; euro firmer after PMIs, hawkish
ECB, GDP next.

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Disappointing US data revives Fed pivot speculation. ECB to stay the
course on rate hikes. Yen enjoys safe-haven flows, inflation data also help.
Wall Street skids after gloomy earnings.

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The Bank of Japan will hold its first policy meeting under the stewardship of Kazuo Ueda next week, although it’s looking unlikely that he will kick things off with a bang. The focus may therefore quickly shift to GDP numbers out of the United States and Eurozone where both economies are expected to have dodged a recession, while the all-important PCE inflation report will be one of the final pieces of the rate puzzle before the Fed’s May decision.

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Gold refuses to decline as central bank demand remains in play. Drop in oil prices hits Canadian dollar, Tesla earnings disappoint. Focus turns to onslaught of Fed speakers and Japanese inflation.

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Hot UK inflation print adds fuel to BoE rate bets, lifting pound. Yen gets scorched by revival in US yields, but dollar can’t rally. Stock markets in cheery mood ahead of Tesla earnings today.

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There are no major central bank decisions scheduled for next week, but
that doesn’t mean markets will be quiet as there’s a ton of data releases
that can fuel volatility. The highlight will be China’s economic growth, which
will reveal exactly how powerful the reopening boost was. Meanwhile in
Europe, the latest business surveys could decide whether the euro’s rally
still has some miles left in the tank.

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Headline CPI rate drops by a full percentage point, core ticks up. Investors still expect another 25bps hike, but maintain rate cut bets. Fed minutes reveal that some officials considered pausing.

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Dollar slides as traders seem reluctant to buy ahead of CPI figures. Wall Street mixed ahead of today’s data, bank earnings on Friday. Gold climbs back above $2,000 on the back of a weak dollar. Bank of Canada decision also on tap.

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US stocks stage late rebound despite ratcheting up of Fed rate hike bets.
Asian mood also perks up as regional central banks seen on pause. Dollar
extends post-NFP gains before easing again; US CPI the main focus.

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